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Spain has its eye on revenge, but it won't look past Greece as it travels to Athens for a 2022 UEFA World Cup Qualifying group-stage match on Thursday. Spain (4-1-1) has a rematch Sunday with Sweden, which leads the group and handed the Spaniards their only loss in World Cup Qualifying. But first up is Greece (2-3-1), which needs a victory to remain in contention for the No. 2 spot in Group B. Sweden faces Georgia on Thursday, and it leads Spain by two points, so La Roja will be desperately pusing for the win. But the Greeks are no pushover, as they handed Sweden its only loss of the tournament and played to a 1-1 draw with Spain in the World Cup Qualifying group stage opener in March.

Kickoff is set for 2:45 p.m. ET at Olympic Stadium. Spain is the -275 favorite (risk $275 to win $100) on the 90-minute money line in Caesars Sportsbook's latest Greece vs. Spain odds, and Greece is the +700 underdog. A draw is listed at +280 and the over-under for total goals is 2.5. Before making any Spain vs. Greece picks or 2022 FIFA World Cup Qualifying predictions, you have to see what proven soccer insider Martin Green has to say. 

After working in the sports betting industry for several years, Green became a professional sports writer and handicapper and has covered the game worldwide. Since then, his European soccer picks have been spot-on. Green has generated well over $36,000 for $100 bettors since the 2017-18 season, and he has his finger on the pulse of the game all over the globe.

Now, Green has taken a close look at Spain vs. Greece and locked in his coveted picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see all of Green's picks. Here are the betting lines and trends for Greece vs. Spain:  

  • Greece vs. Spain: Spain -1.5 (+125)
  • Greece vs. Spain over-under: 2.5 goals 
  • Greece vs. Spain money line: Greece +700, Spain -275, Draw +280
  • GRE: Vangelis Pavlidis has 31 goals in 84 career club games 
  • SPA: Alvato Morata has 60 goals over his past five club seasons

Why you should back Spain

The Spaniards can still reach the second-round playoff even if they collapse and finish third. That's because they reached the Nations League final last month, losing 2-1 to France. But they want to win the group, and they have been tough to beat anywhere. The loss to Sweden was their first qualifying loss away from home since 1993. They held the ball for 75 percent of that match and kept possession for 80 in the draw against Greece. Though they have struggled to score at times, they dominate possession with a midfield led by captain Sergio Busquets.

Spain has three of its top forwards out with injuries, but it has superior depth to Greece and will have a real sense of urgency. Alvaro Morata had 11 goals last season with Juventus and has one in limited time with Spain this year. He is expected to lead an attack that should also feature Pablo Sarabia and Dani Olmo. Greece has posted one clean sheet in its past 10 matches, and Spain has scored multiple goals in four of its past five. The Spain defense is in good hands with Pau Torres and Aymeric Laporte manning the middle and Athletic Bilbao's Unai Simon in net.     

Why you should back Greece

Greece is tough defensively and tries to keep the game close, and it worked out well in its March meeting with Spain. It scored on its only shot of the game, with Anastasios Bakasetas converting a penalty kick. The captain also scored in the win against Sweden but will miss out on Thursday's proceedings with a booking suspension. Vangelis Pavlidis also scored in that victory, and the 22-year-old is an active striker who could trouble Spain's back line. 

Petros Mantalos is likely to take the place of Bakasetas, and he has nine goals and 26 assists in his past three seasons in the Greek Super League. Dimitris Goutas could make his international debut, and the center back has four goals in 10 matches this season in the Turkish Super Lig. The Greeks lost the return match with Sweden 2-0, so they need to win and will come in with a do-or-die attitude. Greece hasn't allowed more than one goal in a competitive match since October 2019, and it has allowed only six in the six qualifying games. 

How to make Greece vs. Spain picks

Green has taken an in-depth look at Spain vs. Greece from every angle, and he is leaning over on the goal total. He also has three confident best bets, two of them offering plus-money payouts, and a full breakdown of the match. He's only sharing those World Cup Qualifying picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Greece vs. Spain? And where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see the best bets for Spain vs. Greece, all from the European soccer expert who has generated well over $36,000 for $100 bettors over the past four seasons, and find out.