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Robert Hanashiro / USA TODAY Sports

The Tampa Bay Rays will look to improve their home fortunes when they take on the New York Yankees in a key early-season American League East Division matchup on Tuesday. The Rays (19-17), who are just 7-10 on their home field, are 6-4 in their last 10 games. The Yankees (18-16), who are 7-7 on the road, took two of three against the Washington Nationals this past weekend. New York is 6-2 in May, while Tampa Bay is 6-3.

The game will start at 7:10 p.m. ET from Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Fla. The Rays are 14th in MLB with 153 runs scored, while the Yankees are 21st with 138. New York is a -121 favorite (risk $121 to win $100) on the money line in the latest Yankees vs. Rays odds from William Hill Sportsbook, while the over-under for total runs scored is eight. Before making any Rays vs. Yankees picks, check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

This model, which simulates every pitch of every game 10,000 times, had a banner 2019 season, the league's last full schedule, returning more than $1,400 on its top-rated money-line and run-line MLB picks. It is off to a fast start in 2021, going 44-31 on top-rated MLB money-line picks through six weeks, returning over $700. Anyone following it has seen huge rewards. 

Now, the model has dialed in on Yankees vs. Rays. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the MLB lines and trends for Rays vs. Yankees:

  • Yankees vs. Rays money line: New York -121, Tampa Bay +110
  • Yankees vs. Rays run line: New York -1.5 (+130)
  • Yankees vs. Rays over-under: 8 runs
  • NY: The Yankees are 6-1 in their last seven games against a right-handed starter
  • TB: The Rays are 5-1 in their last six home games following a road trip of seven or more days
Featured Game | Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees

Why you should back the Yankees

New York will send left-hander Jordan Montgomery (1-1, 4.41 ERA) to the mound. Montgomery matched his longest outing of the year against the Houston Astros on Wednesday, throwing six innings while allowing three earned runs on eight hits. Despite third baseman Gio Urshela being sidelined with a knee injury, the New York offense remains formidable. Second baseman DJ LeMahieu has been red hot and went 5-for-12 (.417) in the weekend series with Washington. On Friday, he slugged a pair of homers. For the season, LeMahieu is hitting .281 with three homers and nine RBIs. 

Shortstop Gleyber Torres also appears to be heating up. He is 3-for-9 with a homer and three RBIs over the past two games. For the year, he is hitting .242 with one homer and 10 RBIs with 12 runs scored. He has struggled at times throughout his career against the Rays, but still has clubbed two homers and driven in 11 runs in 41 games. He has hits in nine of his past 11 games, including a 2-for-4 performance with three RBIs against Detroit on May 1.

Why you should back the Rays

Right-hander Luis Patino (1-0, 1.17 ERA) takes the ball for Tampa Bay. Although he is expected to go only a few innings, he's been solid so far this season. He has allowed just four baserunners and struck out 10 batters in 7 2/3 innings pitched over three outings. This will be the first time he is facing New York. In two career games at Tropicana Field, Patino has pitched 4 2/3 innings, allowing one hit and one walk, while striking out five.

Second baseman Joey Wendle is among the Rays' leaders in hitting at .287 with three home runs and 16 RBIs. Wendle has been on a tear against Yankees pitching this season, batting .526 with two homers and five RBIs in five games. He has a .571 on-base percentage and .895 slugging percentage against them. In 42 career games vs. the Yankees, he has three homers and 13 RBIs.

How to make Rays vs. Yankees picks

SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total, as the teams combine for 9.5 runs in the simulations, and it also says one side of the money line has all the value. You can only see the pick at SportsLine

So who wins Rays vs. Yankees? And which side of the money line has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the money line to jump on, all from the advanced model off to a hot start in 2021.