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If you were drafting an NFL team from scratch, Patrick Mahomes has a strong case for the No. 1 overall pick after leading the Chiefs to back-to-back Super Bowl titles. However, Mahomes finished as QB8 overall last year and QB12 on a points-per-game basis. He's not surrounded by elite receivers and Travis Kelce is another year older, so should Mahomes remain among the top options in the 2024 Fantasy football QB rankings? Sam LaPorta had a strong rookie season and finished as the top-scoring tight end overall and on a points-per-game basis. How should you factor this into your 2024 Fantasy football rankings? 

It's critical to target 2024 Fantasy football sleepers and 2024 Fantasy football breakouts while avoiding 2024 Fantasy football busts. Before setting your 2024 Fantasy football draft strategy, be sure to check out the 2024 Fantasy football rankings and cheat sheets from the proven computer model at SportsLine.

Last year, the model accurately predicted that Buccaneers running back Rachaad White was being dramatically undervalued. White was coming off the board in the seventh round on average in 12-team PPR leagues, but he emerged as Tampa Bay's workhorse ball carrier and provided significantly more value than expected, finishing No. 4 at his position. White rushed for 990 yards and six touchdowns while adding 64 catches for 549 yards and three more scores as a receiver. Anybody who followed the model's advice scored an every week starting running back in the middle rounds.

The same model has a proven track record providing Fantasy football tips, identifying A.J. Brown as a sleeper in 2020 and nailing Jonathan Taylor's monstrous season in 2021. Additionally, it's called past Fantasy football sleepers like Derrick Henry in 2019, Christian McCaffrey and Alvin Kamara in 2018, and Davante Adams in 2017. Anybody who banked on players like those made a run at their league title.

The model is powered by the same people who generated projections for all three major Fantasy sites, and it beat human experts last season when there was a big difference in ranking. The 2024 Fantasy football PPR rankings and 2024 Fantasy football standard projections update multiple times daily, so you're always getting the best Fantasy football advice.

Now, SportsLine has simulated the entire NFL season 10,000 times and released its latest 2024 Fantasy football rankings, along with plenty of sleepers, breakouts and busts. Head to SportsLine now to see them

Top 2024 Fantasy football sleepers

One of the 2024 Fantasy football sleepers the model is predicting: Texans wide receiver Stefon Diggs. He has gone over 1,000 receiving yards in each of the last six seasons, racking up 52 total touchdowns for the Vikings and Bills during that stretch. Diggs now heads to Houston as a featured wide receiver for young quarterback C.J. Stroud, who is coming off a breakout rookie season.

Stroud threw for 4,108 yards, 23 touchdowns and just five interceptions, winning Offensive Rookie of the Year and earning a Pro Bowl nod. The Texans also have Nico Collins and Tank Dell in their wide receiver room, but Diggs could certainly step right in as the top target. SportsLine's model believes Diggs is being overlooked due to the other weapons in Houston's offense, ranking him ahead of wide receivers like Mike Evans, DJ Moore and Deebo Samuel, who are all going off the board before Diggs in average Fantasy drafts. See more Fantasy football sleepers 2024 here.

Top 2024 Fantasy football breakouts

One of the 2024 Fantasy football breakouts the model is predicting: Chargers wide receiver Ladd McConkey. Los Angeles had to cut ties with Mike Williams and Keenan Allen this offseason to salvage a desolate salary cap situation. After adding protection for Justin Herbert in the first round by selecting Notre Dame OL Joe Alt, the Chargers scored McConkey in round two with the No. 34 overall pick.

McConkey caught 119 passes for 1,687 yards and 14 touchdowns in three years as a contributor at Georgia and also added four rushing touchdowns. Considered one of the nation's premier route runners, McConkey boosted his draft profile by running a 4.39-second 40-yard dash and now he's expected to start in the slot for the Chargers. He's already drawing rave reviews at Chargers OTAs and the model ranks him ahead of rookies who went in the first round like Malik Nabers and Rome OdunzeSee more Fantasy football breakouts 2024 here.

Top 2024 Fantasy football busts

As for players to avoid, the model lists Giants receiver Malik Nabors as one of its 2024 Fantasy football busts. The No. 6 overall pick in the 2024 NFL Draft had 89 receptions for 1,569 yards and 14 touchdowns last season. He was second in college football in receiving yards and tied for third in touchdowns. The 6-foot receiver was one of the most dominant players in college football last season and he enters the 2024 Fantasy football season with huge expectations. Maybe a little inflated expectations based on his ADP.

The rookie is being selected ahead of established receivers such as Tee Higgins, Calvin Ridley and Christian Kirk in 2024 Fantasy football drafts. However, the Giants offense hasn't produced a 1,000-yard receiver since Odell Beckham Jr. was catching passes from Eli Manning in 2018. Daniel Jones has proven unable to stay healthy over the majority of his career and if Jones suffers another injury, Nabers will be catching passes from Drew Lock or Tommy DeVito. There's a lot to be excited about regarding Nabers' natural talent, but the Giants may not be the best landing spot for him to develop into a near-top 25 Fantasy football wide receiver as a rookie, which is where he's being selected despite being ranked outside the top 35 according to the SportsLine model. See more Fantasy football busts 2024 here

How to find proven 2024 Fantasy football football rankings

SportsLine is also extremely high on a surprising quarterback you aren't even thinking about being taken in the middle rounds of 2024 Fantasy football drafts. This quarterback is listed as a shocking top-10 option ahead of stars like Trevor Lawrence and Aaron RodgersYou can only see who it is, and the 2023 Fantasy football rankings for every player, at SportsLine.

So which 2024 Fantasy Football sleepers, breakouts and busts should you target and fade, and which QB shocks the NFL with a top-10 performance? Visit SportsLine now to get 2024 Fantasy Football cheat sheets for every single position, all from the model that nailed Deebo Samuel as a bust last year, and find out.