The 2023-24 English Premier League season gets underway on Friday when Burnley hosts Manchester City at Turf Moor. Manchester City are coming off a historic season, winning the treble and claiming their fifth Premier league title in the last six years. Meanwhile, Burnley won the Championship a season ago, helping the Clarets secure promotion to the English Premier League. Burnley racked up a whopping 101 points in the Championship, losing just one match on home soil.
Kickoff in Burnley, England is set for 3 p.m. ET. The latest Burnley vs. Manchester City odds list Manchester City as -310 favorites (risk $310 to win $100). Burnley are +900 underdogs, a draw is priced at +390, and the over/under for total goals scored is 2.5. Before locking in any Manchester City vs. Burnley picks, make sure you check out the EPL predictions and betting advice from proven SportsLine soccer insider Martin Green.
After working in the sports betting industry for several years, Green became a professional sports writer and handicapper and has covered the game worldwide. Since last year's World Cup, Green has been profitable in multiple areas on his soccer picks, including the Champions League (+4.78 units), the FA Cup (+3.07) and the EFL Cup (+3.64), Euro 2024 qualifiers (+3.01) and Europa League (+1.60).
Now, Green has broken down the Burnley vs. Manchester City matchup from every angle and locked in his Premier League picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see his picks. Here are the betting lines and trends for Manchester City vs. Burnley:
- Man City vs. Burnley spread: City -1.5 (-110)
- Man City vs. Burnley over/under: 2.5 goals
- Man City vs. Burnley money line: Burnley +900, City -310, Draw +390
- BUR: The Clarets scored at least once in 42 of their 46 matches last season
- MCY: The Citizens have won 11 straight meetings by a combined score of 40-1
- Man City vs. Burnley picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why you should back Manchester City
A heartbreaking loss to Arsenal last Sunday in the Community Shield is all the motivation City need to start the EPL season on a high note. The Citizens looked to have the game sewn up after youngster Cole Palmer's goal in the 77th minute. The Gunners equalized on a wicked deflection 11 minutes into second-half stoppage time before winning on penalties. The visitors won't take Burnley lightly, but they are the far superior team. The Clarets finished 17th and 18th in their past two EPL seasons, while City come off a season where they won the EPL, FA Cup and Champions League.
Manchester City are 16-6-1 with a whopping 26-1 goal advantage in the past 23 league meetings between these teams. The champs also led the league in most meaningful metrics in 2022-23. They scored the most goals (94), tied for fewest conceded (33) and led the league in possession (64.7%) by a wide margin. Haaland scored an EPL-record 36 goals, and midfielder Kevin De Bruyne led the league with 16 assists. Phil Foden and Jack Grealish combined for 16 goals and 13 assists. See which team to pick here.
Why you should back Burnley
The Clarets had a record-setting season in the Championship and are no strangers to the Premier League. A founding member of the English FA, Burnley spent six years in the top flight before the 2021-22 relegation. They clinched promotion with seven games left, a Championship record, and had a 10-game win streak to tie another league mark. Burnley went 16-6-1 at Turf Moor last season, with a plus-34 goal differential. Five of their seven victories during the 18th-place 2021-22 EPL campaign came in Lancashire, one of those including 1-0 against Spurs.
Burnley scored 87 goals while conceding 35 in 46 league matches last season. They allowed 15 in 23 home matches. Clarets top scorer Nathan Tella (17 goals) is back with Southampton, but Benson Manuel (11) and several other young newcomers can be electrifying. Midfielders Josh Brownhill (seven goals, eight assists) and the ever-present Josh Cullen have excelled under manager Vincent Kompany. New goalkeeper James Trafford is a blossoming star brought over from Man City, and Kompany is a City legend who will have his men believing in an upset. See which team to pick here.
How to make Burnley vs. Manchester City picks
Green has scrutinized the Burnley vs. Manchester City match from every angle, and he is leaning Under on the goal total. He also has two best bets, including a plus-money play on a goal-scorer, and has a full breakdown of the match. He's only sharing his Premier League picks and analysis at SportsLine.
So, who wins Manchester City vs. Burnley in Friday's English Premier League matchup, and where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see the best bets for Burnley vs Manchester City, all from the European soccer expert who has been profitable in multiple areas since last year's World Cup, and find out.
