Case Keenum parlayed a spectacular career-year with the Vikings into the starting job with the Denver Broncos. Not only did he set personal records, but he also finished among the top-10 passers in adjusted completion percentage, deep passing and passes under pressure, according to Pro Football Focus. Most importantly, he finished as a top-10 passer. It seems like a lot asking for Keenum to not only do all of this again (particularly since he hasn't done it before), but with a new team. Those reasons will keep him from being selected in typical Fantasy leagues. But he will run a variant of the spread offense, and do so with Demaryius Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders snaring his passes, which is pretty nice. Draft Keenum with a mid-round pick if you can start multiple quarterbacks, but don't pick him otherwise.
Keenum completed one of four passes for five yards during Saturday's 42-28 preseason loss to Minnesota. Keenum completed a short pass to Demaryius Thomas on his first throw of the game and then missed on his final three attempts before leaving the game after two unsuccessful drives. Denver reportedly treated the contest as an opportunity to test out specific concepts as opposed to going up against an opposing team. A clearer sense as to how Keenum is performing in Denver should come into greater focus in the coming week or two as the coaching staff seeks to establish the offense's in-season identity.
Keenum was lockstep with his receivers on Sunday, Nicki Jhabvala of The Athletic reports Several reporters have noted the reduction in balls hitting the turf to start this training camp as compared to those in recent years. Keenum's strengths are his quickness and accuracy, which play into what should be a horizontal Denver offense this season. That doesn't mean, however, that fans should expect Keenum to be Captain Checkdown. The veteran quarterback reportedly hit several receivers, including Demaryius Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders, with deep balls during Sunday's practice. All signs point to a significant upgrade at quarterback for the Broncos this season.
Keenum's completion percentage could notice a boost within offensive coordinator Bill Musgrave's scheme, which features quick, short throws, Tyler Polumbus of The Athletic reports. Polumbus traced some of Musgrave's past stops to predict that this year's Broncos offense is likely to resemble former head coach Gary Kubiak's West Coast attack, albeit more simplified and sped up similar to how Chip Kelly ran things with Musgrave on staff in Philadelphia in 2014. This should be welcome news for Keenum, who got his start in the NFL with the Texans under Kubiak. Keenum ranked second in the NFL with a 67.6 percent completion rate in 2017, so he doesn't have quite the room for improvement a young Derek Carr had under Musgrave's tutelage a few seasons ago. Still, an offense built around quick passes and run-pass options seems like a strong fit for somebody with Keenum's accuracy and mobility.
Keenum has received all of the repetitions with the first-team offense during organized team activities, Aric DiLalla of the Broncos' official site reports. Unlike last offseason, the Broncos are committing to an established starter -- Keenum -- which makes offensive coordinator Bill Musgrave a happy coach. "Case is working hard," Musgrave said. "It's a new system for him, it's a new system for everybody. Case is getting - exclusively - all the reps with the ones. We're not splitting them like you would if you didn't have an established starter, so he's getting more concentrated work, and it's paying dividends." The approach last year, when Trevor Sieman, Brock Osweiler and Paxton Lynch all had turns with the ones resulted in the Broncos ranking 20th in passing offense en route to a 5-11 record. The trio combined to throw 19 touchdown passes, 25th in the NFL. With Keenum locked in as the starter, the team's receivers can focus on building chemistry with just one quarterback during OTAs.
Keenum intends to sign with Denver when free agency begins Wednesday, ESPN reports. It sounds like the Vikings are set to try and sign Kirk Cousins. Keenum will thus move to Denver. However, none of this is official and players could change their minds before signings can officially begin Wednesday. Keenum threw for 3,547 yards and 22 touchdowns in leading the Vikings to the NFC championship game.
|* indicates player did not play that week|
|WK||DATE||OPP||OPP RANK||OPP FPTS|
|4||10/02||Kansas City Chiefs||25||20.41|
|5||10/07||@New York Jets||26||21.00|
|6||10/14||Los Angeles Rams||9||16.65|
|8||10/28||@Kansas City Chiefs||25||20.41|
|11||11/18||@Los Angeles Chargers||3||14.50|
|14||12/09||@San Francisco 49ers||27||21.00|
|17||12/30||Los Angeles Chargers||3||14.50|
Red Zone Trends
|3 Year Avg||64.4||2192||12||6||72||1||164|