Case Keenum parlayed a spectacular career-year with the Vikings into the starting job with the Denver Broncos. Not only did he set personal records, but he also finished among the top-10 passers in adjusted completion percentage, deep passing and passes under pressure, according to Pro Football Focus. Most importantly, he finished as a top-10 passer. It seems like a lot asking for Keenum to not only do all of this again (particularly since he hasn't done it before), but with a new team. Those reasons will keep him from being selected in typical Fantasy leagues. But he will run a variant of the spread offense, and do so with Demaryius Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders snaring his passes, which is pretty nice. Draft Keenum with a mid-round pick if you can start multiple quarterbacks, but don't pick him otherwise.
Keenum has received all of the repetitions with the first-team offense during organized team activities, Aric DiLalla of the Broncos' official site reports. Unlike last offseason, the Broncos are committing to an established starter -- Keenum -- which makes offensive coordinator Bill Musgrave a happy coach. "Case is working hard," Musgrave said. "It's a new system for him, it's a new system for everybody. Case is getting - exclusively - all the reps with the ones. We're not splitting them like you would if you didn't have an established starter, so he's getting more concentrated work, and it's paying dividends." The approach last year, when Trevor Sieman, Brock Osweiler and Paxton Lynch all had turns with the ones resulted in the Broncos ranking 20th in passing offense en route to a 5-11 record. The trio combined to throw 19 touchdown passes, 25th in the NFL. With Keenum locked in as the starter, the team's receivers can focus on building chemistry with just one quarterback during OTAs.
Keenum finalized a two-year, $36 million contract with the Broncos on Wednesday, Aaron Wilson of the Houston Chronicle reports. Coming off a shocking breakout season in Minnesota, Keenum joins another team with a potent wideout duo (Demaryius Thomas and Emmanuel Sanders) and a promising defense, though the move to Denver still represents an overall downgrade in his supporting cast. Keenum's signing doesn't preclude the Broncos from using an early draft pick on a quarterback in April, but it's safe to assume the 30-year-old will receive the Week 1 start. Denver still appears to need a tight end, a No. 3 receiver and a couple more starting-caliber offensive linemen.
Keenum intends to sign with Denver when free agency begins Wednesday, ESPN reports. It sounds like the Vikings are set to try and sign Kirk Cousins. Keenum will thus move to Denver. However, none of this is official and players could change their minds before signings can officially begin Wednesday. Keenum threw for 3,547 yards and 22 touchdowns in leading the Vikings to the NFC championship game.
Keenum could draw interest from the Broncos, Browns, Cardinals and Vikings, Mike Klis of 9News Denver reports. With the Vikings shaping up as the early favorites for Kirk Cousins, it won't come as any surprise if Keenum is forced to find a new team. In addition to the franchises mentioned above, the Jets and Bills figure to be in the market for quarterbacks. Keenum will be an unrestricted free agent when the new league year begins March 14.
The Vikings don't intend to use their franchise tag on Keenum before the March 6 deadline, allowing the quarterback to instead hit unrestricted free agency, Ian Rapoport of NFL Network reports. The franchise tag for quarterbacks is projected at around $23 million in 2018, so the Vikings weren't eager to pony up to keep Keenum at that price coming off just one season as a full-time starter, albeit an effective one. Minnesota's reluctance to use the tag on Keenum doesn't necessarily indicate the club isn't interested in retaining the 30-year-old, but he may rate as a fallback option at this point in the event the Vikings aren't able to ink the top quarterback available on the market in Kirk Cousins, who isn't expected to receive the franchise tag from Washington after the Redskins agreed earlier this offseason to acquire Alex Smith from the Chiefs.
|* indicates player did not play that week|
|WK||DATE||OPP||OPP RANK||OPP FPTS|
|4||10/02||Kansas City Chiefs||25||20.41|
|5||10/07||@New York Jets||26||21.00|
|6||10/14||Los Angeles Rams||9||16.65|
|8||10/28||@Kansas City Chiefs||25||20.41|
|11||11/18||@Los Angeles Chargers||3||14.50|
|14||12/09||@San Francisco 49ers||27||21.00|
|17||12/30||Los Angeles Chargers||3||14.50|
Red Zone Trends
|3 Year Avg||64.4||2192||12||6||72||1||164|