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The Milwaukee Bucks will look to continue their success at Fiserv Forum when they face the Golden State Warriors on Tuesday night. The Bucks (19-7), who are 12-3 on their home court, have won three of their last four in Milwaukee. The Warriors (14-13), who are 2-11 on the road, have lost two straight away from home. Golden State has won two of its last three meetings with the Bucks, including a 122-109 home win on March 12, the last time they played.

The game is scheduled to tip off at 7:30 p.m. ET. The Warriors are averaging 117.6 points per game this season, while the Bucks average 112. The Bucks are 4-point favorites in the latest Warriors vs. Bucks odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under for total points scored is set at 233. Before making any Bucks vs. Warriors picks, see what SportsLine's advanced computer model has to say.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past four-plus seasons. The model enters Week 9 of the 2022-23 NBA season on a stunning 26-10 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning more than $1,400. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Warriors vs. Bucks. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting trends for Bucks vs. Warriors:

  • Warriors vs. Bucks spread: Bucks -4
  • Warriors vs. Bucks over/under: 233 points
  • Warriors vs. Bucks money line: Warriors +150, Bucks -178
  • GS: The Warriors are 4-1 against the spread in their last five games overall
  • MIL: The Bucks are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 Tuesday games
  • Warriors vs. Bucks picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why the Bucks can cover

Center Brook Lopez continues to alter opposing offenses and leads the team with 2.9 blocks per game. In 25 games, Lopez is averaging 14.6 points, 5.9 rebounds and 1.1 assists, connecting on 48.9% of his shots from the floor, including 40.7% from 3-point range. In a 105-96 win at Charlotte on Dec. 3, Lopez matched his season high of six blocks. He made a season-high seven 3-pointers in a win over Cleveland on Nov. 16, going 10 of 13 from the field, and scored a season-high 29 points.

The Bucks, who may be without Jrue Holiday (illness), will rely on shooting guard Grayson Allen to help provide some offense. Allen is averaging 10.9 points, 3.6 rebounds and 2.7 assists in 27.4 minutes per game, while connecting on 44.3% of his field goals, including 40.9% from 3-point range. Allen matched his career high with seven 3-pointers, and went for a season-high 25 points, in a win over the Dallas Mavericks on Nov. 27. His threes all came in the first half, setting a Bucks record for most threes in either half.

Why the Warriors can cover

Despite that, Milwaukee isn't a lock to cover the Warriors vs. Bucks spread. That's because the defending champions are led by point guard Stephen Curry. In 34.9 minutes per game, he is averaging 30 points, seven assists, 6.6 rebounds and one steal. In Saturday's win over the Celtics, Curry connected for 32 points, including six 3-pointers, grabbed six rebounds and dished out seven assists. Curry's current streak of 213 consecutive games with at least one 3-pointer made is an NBA record.

Small forward Andrew Wiggins, the team's second-leading scorer, will miss his fourth game in a row with a groin injury. Helping pick up the scoring slack is forward Jordan Poole, who averages 17.8 points, 4.6 assists and 2.1 rebounds per game. In the win over Boston, Poole scored 20 points, dished out four assists and grabbed three rebounds. In his last five games, he is averaging 26 points, scoring 20 or more in each game, including two 30-point efforts. He has made 21 of 23 free-throw attempts (91.3%) in his last two games.

How to make Bucks vs. Warriors picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 236 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in well over 50% of simulations. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Warriors vs. Bucks? And which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.