LOOK: Packers-Lions win probability chart is a wild roller-coaster ride
The Lions and Packers were involved in a wild one on Thursday night.
By
Will Brinson
•
1 min read
Thursday Night Football ended in a wild finish between the Packers and Lions, with Aaron Rodgers hitting Richard Rodgers with one of the longest in-the-air throws you'll ever see for a heart-ripping (and cover-busting) walk-off touchdown catch.
There are many issues with this play, including the disastrous defense played by Detroit, but it's also fun to just sit back and watch the play. Or stare open-mouthed at the roller-coaster ride that was the win probability chart for this game, courtesy of ESPN's Brian Burke.
By popular demand, here's the test version of the WP chart from the GB-DET game. pic.twitter.com/fim0wuBAT4
— Brian Burke (@bburkeESPN) December 4, 2015
Before that final Hail Mary throw from Rodgers, the Lions had a pretty high likelihood of winning the game.
High point for DET was 0.999999989988599, but of course that's absurd precision. Model doesn't handle un-timed final downs well either.
— Brian Burke (@bburkeESPN) December 4, 2015
And somehow they managed to lose. It's what happens when you get outcoached on a Hail Mary play.
