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The Seattle Seahawks went 11-5 and reached the divisional round of the NFC playoffs in 2019, but want more than that. The first step towards a Super Bowl run starts Sunday on the road against Dan Quinn, a former defensive coordinator in Seattle. Taking on the Atlanta Falcons means delivering a defense that can mute pass-happy quarterback Matt Ryan and star receivers Julio Jones and Calvin Ridley. However, the Seahawks went strong on defense in the offseason, adding All-Pro safety Jamal Adams and standout defensive back Quinton Dunbar.

Atlanta is favored by one in the latest Falcons vs. Seahawks odds from William Hill after opening as a one-point underdog, while the over-under is 49. Before entering any Seahawks vs. Falcons picks, you'll want to see the NFL predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up over $7,000 for $100 players on its top-rated NFL picks since its inception five years ago. It also enters the 2020 NFL season on an incredible 96-65 roll on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. The model ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch in three of the past four years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports office pool players three times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has set its sights on Falcons vs. Seahawks. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NFL betting lines for Seahawks vs. Falcons:

  • Falcons vs. Seahawks spread: Falcons -1
  • Falcons vs. Seahawks over-under: 49 points
  • Falcons vs. Seahawks money line: Atlanta -120, Seattle +100

Why the Seahawks can cover

The Seahawks have won three of the past four meetings between the teams, including a 27-20 road victory in Week 8 of the 2019 season. Russell Wilson has six TDs and one interception and a 104 QB rating in four career starts vs, Atlanta. Tyler Lockett set career highs in receptions (82) and yards (1,057) last year. DK Metcalf established an NFL record for receiving yards by a rookie in a playoff game when he totaled 160 against Philadelphia in the Wild Card Round last year.

Chris Carson rushed for a career-high 1,230 yards last season. Seattle also added tight end Greg Olsen, who ranks fifth all-time in receptions at his position. No acquisition, though, was bigger than former New York Jets superstar safety Jamal Adams, who joined the Seahawks via a blockbuster offseason trade. His 6.5 sacks last year were the fourth-most by a DB since 1982. 

Why the Falcons can cover

Atlanta already had several offensive weapons on the roster, but the offseason acquisition of running back Todd Gurley provides the Falcons a ground component to go along with quarterback Matt Ryan and receivers Julio Jones and Calvin Ridley. If Gurley's left knee holds up, he could see 15 to 25 touches per game and be a prime red-zone scoring threat. 

Jones and Ridley are already a potent double punch through the air, and both could surpass 1,500 receiving yards if they stay healthy. Ryan could also utilize former Ravens tight end Hayden Hurst in the same way he used Austin Hooper, who was leading all tight ends in fantasy points before he was injured last season, 

The Falcons are not allowing fans at 71,000-seat Mercedes-Benz Stadium for at least their first two home games because of the coronavirus pandemic, which diminishes any home-field advantage. The Falcons are on a four-game winning streak against the spread and are 5-1 against the number in their last six games as an underdog.

How to make Seahawks vs. Falcons picks

The model has simulated Falcons vs. Seahawks 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning over, and it also says one side of the spread cashes in over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Falcons vs. Seahawks? And which side of the spread hits over half the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Seahawks vs. Falcons spread to jump on Sunday, all from the model that enters the 2020 NFL season on an incredible 96-65 roll.