Downs' early-August groin strain wasn't considered serious, but in the days following the injury the Colts added veteran Keenan Allen. That move hurts the upside case for Downs, who was assumed as Indy's top short- and intermediate-area target. Downs is still a decent breakout candidate, but no one should reach for him past Round 8, even in full-PPR leagues. If the Colts commit to him as a slot receiver with a modest average depth of target as they have for three seasons, then there's certainly a chance he still leads the team in targets. The team also wants to use him more downfield, which could help grow his efficiency. However, Allen would snare some of those easy targets away from Downs, hurting the number of chances per game Downs has to make plays. It also doesn't help that Downs' explosive play rate over his career isn't really that far from where Allen's has been over his last two years (2.9% for Downs, 2.5% for Allen), so anticipating a big jump there is a little problematic. Tack on the work Tyler Warren will get downfield and the eventual return of deep threat Alec Pierce, and Downs has more competition for Daniel Jones' attention than we initially believed. 

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