Hornets vs. Warriors odds: Picks from computer model on 33-18 NBA run

The Golden State Warriors are unbeaten through four games of their six-game road trip but will be without Stephen Curry when they take on the Charlotte Hornets on Wednesday in a nationally televised matchup at 8 p.m. ET (ESPN). The Warriors are five-point road favorites.

The over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 215.5, down sharply from the open of 219.5.

Before picking either side of the spread, you need to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say. This model would have won over 96 percent of CBS Sports office pools in football last season and has put together a blistering 33-18 run on its top-rated NBA point spread picks this season by simulating each game 10,000 times.

Now, the model has examined every matchup, every player and every trend in Warriors-Hornets and locked in against-the-spread, Over-Under and money-line picks.

We can tell you that the computer says the over hits in just 52 percent of simulations. The public is backing the over almost two-thirds of the time, so tread lightly before you do, too. But what about against the spread?

The defending NBA champion Warriors are 19-6 and have won their last three games by 21 points (at Orlando), 28 (at Miami) and 10 (at New Orleans), scoring at least 123 points in all four games of the current road trip.

But Curry sprained his ankle in Monday's win over the Pelicans and left the arena on crutches. He's expected to miss at least two weeks. Curry led the team in scoring (26.3 points per game) and his plus/minus of 11.5 ranks second in the NBA behind Eric Gordon of the Rockets.

If there's a team that can survive the loss of such a star, it's the Warriors, who have three more of them to fall back on in Kevin Durant (24.6 points, 6.4 rebounds, 5.0 assists per game), Klay Thompson (20.5 ppg) and Draymond Green (10.4 ppg, 7.3 rpg, 7.1 apg).

The Hornets, meanwhile, snapped a four-game losing streak on Monday with a 104-94 win over the Magic. Leading scorer Kemba Walker returned from a two-game absence to pour in 29 points, plus seven assists, three steals and two rebounds.

Charlotte has been a team of streaks this season. Since Oct. 29, it has won three in a row, lost six straight, won three straight and lost four straight before Monday's win. 

Each team had a player scuffle in Monday night victories to boot. Kevin Durant was tossed after getting two technical fouls following an altercation with the Pelicans' DeMarcus Cousins. It was the second time Durant's been tossed during this four-game road trip.

And Cody Zeller was thrown to the ground by Orlando's Marreese Speights, who cited a 40-14 free-throw discrepancy in favor of the Hornets. 

Does a new streak begin tonight for the Hornets, or will Golden State continue its own road win streak without their MVP leader? The SportsLine Projection Model's picks are in. Visit SportsLine now to see the strong point-spread pick for Warriors-Hornets, all from the model that has absolutely crushed the NFL and is 33-18 on NBA picks.

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