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The 2024 Kentucky Derby promises plenty of excitement for horse racing fans. The Kentucky Derby is heralded as one of the most exciting sporting events in the world, serving as the first leg of horse racing's coveted Triple Crown. The Kentucky Derby 2024 will get underway from Churchill Downs on Saturday, May 4. Only 13 horses have won the Triple Crown, with Justify (2018) being the most recent. The favorite to win the first leg of the Triple Crown among the 2024 Kentucky Derby horses is Fierceness, a Todd Pletcher-trained horse that has won three of his last five races. Fierceness is the 3-1 favorite in the latest 2024 Kentucky Derby odds.

Other top 2024 Kentucky Derby contenders include Sierra Leone (7-2), Catching Freedom (8-1) and Forever Young (10-1). Before making any 2024 Kentucky Derby picks, be sure to see the horse racing predictions and futures bets from SportsLine's elite horse racing expert Jody Demling

A fixture in the horse racing world who has been writing about, talking about and betting on races for years, Demling enters the 2024 Kentucky Derby having nailed the winner of the Belmont Stakes four of the last six years, including an exacta in 2022 with Mo Donegal and Nest. He also called Flightline's win at the Breeders' Cup Classic in November of that year. 

Demling is at his best in the biggest horse races in the world like the Kentucky Derby 2024. In fact, he has hit 10 of the last 15 Derby-Oaks doubles at Churchill Downs. That means he held a ticket with the winners of both races all but five times in the last 15 years. He's also called 10 of the last 19 Preakness winners, including nailing his Preakness winner, exacta and superfecta picks in 2023, keenly understanding when the Kentucky Derby winner was poised for victory or a massive upset. Anyone who has followed him is up huge.

Now, with the 2024 Kentucky Derby odds already on the board, Demling is sharing his picks and 2024 Kentucky Derby predictions over at SportsLine. Go here to see them.

Top 2024 Kentucky Derby predictions

One of Demling's surprising 2024 Kentucky Derby picks: He is fading Fierceness, even though he's the top favorite and just won the Florida Derby. Fierceness is coming from a stable that has had poor luck at Churchill Downs in recent years, as Uncle Mo (2011) and Forte (2023) were both late withdrawals from Repole Stable. Owner Mike Repole is hoping for better luck this year, especially since Fierceness was the 2023 juvenile champion and is coming off a win in the Florida Derby.

Fierceness has been inconsistent up to his point in his career, though, finishing seventh in the Champagne Stakes last October to go along with a third-place finish in the 2024 Holy Bull. This will be his first attempt at this length and will also be the toughest field of horses he has raced against. Trainer Todd Pletcher won the Kentucky Derby with Always Dreaming in 2017, but he has not hit the board with a horse since 2018, so Demling is picking another horse to win this race. See which other 2024 Kentucky Derby horses to avoid at SportsLine.

Another stunner: Demling is high on Resilience, even though he's a 35-1 longshot. He's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. Resilience will enter the 2024 Kentucky Derby full of confidence. He's won two of his last three starts, which includes a victory at the Wood Memorial on April 6.

Resilience is trained by William Mott, a four-time Eclipse Award winner as outstanding trainer in North America. Mott is the all-time winningest trainer at Churchill Downs, so he knows what it takes to win at the historic track. Resilience has shown tactical speed as a three-year-old and with his speed figures on the rise, Demling believes he could be a serious threat in May at Churchill Downs. See which other horses to back at SportsLine

How to make 2024 Kentucky Derby picks, bets

Demling is especially high on an epic double-digit longshot who "keeps getting better and better." Demling is sharing which horse it is, along with his entire projected 2024 Kentucky Derby leaderboard, over at SportsLine.

Which horse wins the Kentucky Derby 2024, and which double-digit longshot is a must-back? Check out the latest 2024 Kentucky Derby odds below, then visit SportsLine to see Demling's picks for the Kentucky Derby, all from the expert who nailed 10 Derby-Oaks doubles.

2024 Kentucky Derby odds, futures

HorseOddsProjection
Fierceness3-1SEE PICKS
Sierra Leone7-2SEE PICKS
Catching Freedom8-1SEE PICKS
Forever Young10-1SEE PICKS
Dornoch12-1SEE PICKS
Track Phantom15-1SEE PICKS
Honor Marie16-1SEE PICKS
Mystik Dan16-1SEE PICKS
Domestic Product18-1SEE PICKS
Endlessly20-1SEE PICKS
Just A Touch20-1SEE PICKS
Deterministic20-1SEE PICKS
Just Steel25-1SEE PICKS
Resilience 35-1SEE PICKS
Stronghold35-1SEE PICKS
West Saratoga80-1SEE PICKS
No More Time85-1SEE PICKS
Catalytic100-1SEE PICKS
Hades100-1SEE PICKS
T O Password100-1SEE PICKS
Society Man101-1SEE PICKS
Grand Mo the First125-1SEE PICKS
Encino350-1SEE PICKS
Liberal Arts350-1SEE PICKS
Common Defense500-1SEE PICKS
Epic Ride 500-1SEE PICKS
Lucky Jeremy 500-1SEE PICKS