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Aston Villa attempt to strengthen their hold on a top-four spot in the table when they visit Luton Town on Saturday for a 2023-24 English Premier League showdown. Aston Villa (16-4-6), who have won three of their last four league matches, are fourth in the EPL, five points ahead of Tottenham. The Villans are coming off a 4-2 home victory against Nottingham Forest last weekend. Luton Town (5-5-15) dropped a 4-1 decision at Liverpool in their last outing for their third straight loss and trail Nottingham by four points for 17th place and safety from relegation. Aston Villa defeated the Hatters 3-1 at home in their first meeting this season.

Kickoff at Kenilworth Road is set for 12:30 p.m. ET. The Villans are -145 favorites (risk $145 to win $100) in the latest Aston Villa vs. Luton Town odds, while the Hatters are +360 underdogs. A 90-minute draw is priced at +300 and the over/under for total goals scored is 3.5. Before locking in any Luton Town vs. Aston Villa picks, you need to see what proven SportsLine's soccer expert Martin Green has to say.

After working in the sports betting industry for several years, Green became a professional sports writer and handicapper and has covered the game worldwide. In 2023, Green was profitable in multiple areas on his soccer picks, including the Champions League (+3.05 units), FA Cup (+3.07), EFL Cup (+4.47) and Euro 2024 Qualifiers (+6.30), among others. He started 2024 on an 8-2 run on Premier League picks, bringing a profit of $447 to $100 bettors.

Now, Green has broken down Aston Villa vs. Luton Town from every angle and just revealed his picks and English Premier League predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see Green's picks. Here are the betting lines and trends for Luton Town vs. Aston Villa:

  • Aston Villa vs. Luton Town money line: Villans -145, Hatters +360, Draw +300
  • Aston Villa vs. Luton Town over/under: 3.5 goals
  • Aston Villa vs. Luton Town spread: Villans -0.5 (-150)
  • AV: The Villans have allowed just one goal while going 3-2-0 on the road across all competitions in 2024
  • LT: The Hatters have won their last three home meetings with Aston Villa
  • Aston Villa vs. Luton Town picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why you should back Aston Villa 

The Villans have one of the most effective offensive weapons in the Premier League in forward Ollie Watkins. The 28-year-old is tied for third in the league with 14 goals, five of which he has recorded while converting in four of his last five matches. With an EPL-leading -- and career-best -- 10 assists, Watkins is even with Liverpool's Mohamed Salah for the most direct scoring contributions (24) in the league this season.

Watkins did not score in Aston Villa's victory against Luton Town in October, but captain John McGinn and 24-year-old French winger Moussa Diaby managed to convert. The 29-year-old McGinn is fourth on the Villans with six tallies, while Diaby has netted four. Brazilian midfielder Douglas Luiz, who recorded a brace versus Nottingham Forest, ranks second on the club with a career-high nine goals and Jamaican winger Leon Bailey has converted seven times. The 26-year-old Bailey, who scored against the Tricky Trees as well, also is tied for sixth in the EPL with seven assists. See which team to pick here.

Why you should back Luton Town

Despite their struggles, the Hatters have converted in 21 of their 25 matches this season, including each of the last 13. Luton Town will be without leading scorer Elijah Adebayo (nine goals) on Saturday due to a hamstring injury, but they hope Carlton Morris continues his offensive surge. The 28-year-old striker is second on the club with seven tallies and has converted in four of his last six Premier League contests while also notching two of his four assists during that span.

The Hatters also will look to midfielder Ross Barkley and winger Chiedozie Ogbene for offense. The 30-year-old Barkley, who netted three tallies in 24 matches with Aston Villa in 2020-21, has matched that total in 20 contests this season. He also has recorded three assists, while the 26-year-old Ogbene converted in Luton's loss to Liverpool to pull even with Barkley in goals this campaign. See which team to pick here.

How to make Aston Villa vs. Luton Town picks

Green has broken down Saturday's match from every possible angle and is leaning Over on the total. He also has locked in a pair of confident best bets and is offering a full breakdown of this Premier League match. He's sharing his Premier League picks and analysis only at SportsLine.

So who wins Aston Villa vs. Luton Town, and where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see which wagers in Luton Town vs. Aston Villa have all the value, all from the soccer expert who started 2024 on an 8-2 run on Premier League picks, and find out.