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Spain and Croatia both need one more victory to lift a trophy when they square off Sunday in the 2022-23 UEFA Nations League final in Rotterdam, Netherlands. Spain are looking for their first major trophy since Euro 2012, and they knocked off reigning European champion Italy 2-1 in Thursday's Nations League semifinal. La Furia Roja had a chance to win the 2021 Nations League but lost 2-1 to France in the final. Croatia have never won a major trophy but were World Cup runners-up in 2018 and finished third in 2022. They upset the hosts in Wednesday's Nations League semifinal, getting two goals in extra time to knock off the Netherlands 4-2. These teams last met in the Round of 16 at Euro 2020. Spain scored twice in extra time for a 5-3 victory in that June 2021 match in Copenhagen, Denmark.

Kickoff at Feyenoord Stadium is set for 2:45 p.m. ET. Spain are +103 favorites (risk $100 to win $103) on the 90-minute money line in Caesars Sportsbook's latest Croatia vs. Spain odds. Croatia are +275 underdogs, a draw is priced at +230, and the over/under for total match goals is set at 2.5. Before you lock in ant Croatia vs. Spain picks or bets, make sure you check out the UEFA Nations League predictions from proven SportsLine soccer expert Martin Green.

After working in the sports betting industry for several years, Green became a professional sports writer and handicapper and has covered the game worldwide. Since last year's World Cup, Green has been profitable in multiple areas on his soccer picks, including the Champions League (+4.78 units), FA Cup (+3.07) and EFL Cup (+3.64) and Euro Qualifying (+1.28).

Now, Green has broken down the Spain vs. Croatia matchup from every angle and just locked in his picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see his picks. Here are the betting lines and trends for Croatia vs. Spain: 

  • Spain vs. Croatia spread: Spain -0.5 (-105)
  • Spain vs. Croatia over/under: 2.5 goals 
  • Spain vs. Croatia 90-minute money line: Spain +103, Croatia +275, Draw +230 
  • Spain vs. Croatia to lift the trophy: Spain -200, Croatia +150
  • SPA: They lost to Morocco on penalties in the Round of 16 at Qatar 2022 
  • CRO: They beat Morocco 2-1 to take third place at the 2022 World Cup 
  • Spain vs. Croatia picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why you should back Spain 

La Furia Roja have won three European titles (1964, 2008, 2012) and a World Cup (2010), so they are used to high-stakes matches. They also have some serious motivation after coming up short in 2021. They had a 1-0 lead with less than 30 minutes left against Les Bleus but couldn't hold on. Spain have scored 19 goals over their 10 matches since the start of 2022, and Alvaro Morata remains a dangerous attacker. The 30-year-old has 30 goals in 63 international games. 

Yeremy Pino and Joselu had the goals against Italy as Spain held the ball for 63% of the match and had a 19-8 advantage in shots (7-3 on target). Manchester City's Rodri and Barcelona youngster Gavi are supreme playmakers in the midfield, and Marco Asensio had 12 goals and eight assists in all competitions for Real Madrid this season. See which team to pick here.

Why you should back Croatia

The Checkered Ones have one of the world's best midfields, with captain Luka Modric, Mateo Kovacic and Marcelo Brozovic creating the attacking chances. Modric has 24 international goals and 15 assists in 153 appearances, the most all-time for Croatia. The Real Madrid star is one of the sport's all-time greats and continues to produce at age 37. Ivan Perisic is tied for second on the nation's all-time list with 33 goals in 126 matches (third-most), and Andrej Kramaric has scored 24.       

Kramaric scored the opener against the Dutch on Wednesday, and Mario Pasalic's goal looked like it would be the difference before a 97th-minute equalizer. Bruno Petkovic restored the lead early in extra time, and Modric sealed the victory by converting a penalty. Croatia are 7-5-1 since the start of 2022, with the only setback a 3-0 loss to eventual champion Argentina in the World Cup semifinals. They allowed more than one goal just one other time over that span -- in Wednesday's semifinal. See which team to pick here.

How to make Croatia vs. Spain picks

Green has examined the Spain vs. Croatia match from every angle, and he is leaning Over on the goal total. He also provides his three confident best bets and has a full breakdown of the match. He's only sharing his Nations League picks and analysis at SportsLine.

So, who wins Croatia vs. Spain in Sunday's 2022-23 UEFA Nations League final, and where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see the best bets for Spain vs. Croatia, all from the European soccer expert who knows the sport inside and out, and find out.