The SMU Mustangs attempt to continue their dominance in the all-time series when they host the North Texas Mean Green in an AAC showdown on Friday. SMU (7-2, 5-0) has posted a 35-6-1 record against North Texas and won each of the last 12 meetings at home. The Mustangs enter this matchup with a five-game overall winning streak, while the Mean Green (3-6, 1-4) are in the midst of a three-game slide following a 37-29 setback against UTSA last week. SMU could be without quarterback Preston Stone, who is in concussion protocol after taking a hard hit in last week's 36-31 victory at Rice.
Kickoff at Gerald J. Ford Stadium in Dallas is scheduled for 9 p.m. ET. The Mustangs are 19.5-point favorites in the latest SMU vs. North Texas odds, while the over/under for total points scored is 65. Before making any North Texas vs. SMU picks, you need to see the college football predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, it has generated a stunning profit of well over $2,000 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on SMU vs. North Texas and just revealed its picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine to see the model's CFB picks. Here are several college football odds and trends for North Texas vs. SMU:
- SMU vs. North Texas spread: Mustangs -19.5
- SMU vs. North Texas over/under: 65 points
- SMU vs. North Texas money line: Mustangs -1151, Mean Green +717
- SMU: The Mustangs are 4-2 against the spread as favorites this season
- UNT: The Mean Green are 3-0 ATS as road underdogs in 2023
- SMU vs. North Texas picks: See picks at SportsLine
- SMU vs. North Texas live stream: fubo (try for free)
Why SMU can cover
Not only have the Mustangs won a dozen consecutive home wins against the Mean Green, they've recorded them in dominant fashion. Each victory during the streak has been by 11 or more points, with half coming by at least 22 -- including their 35-12 triumph in 2021. Senior running back Tyler Lavine played in that contest and did not score but rushed for a touchdown in last year's 48-10 win at North Texas, as well as each of his last two outings this season.
Another player who found the end zone against the Mean Green in 2022 is Roderick Daniels Jr., who hauled in a 75-yard TD pass. The junior wideout has the second-most scoring catches on the Mustangs this season with four, including one in last week's triumph at Rice. SMU's four-game overall winning streak against the Mean Green has seen the team score 35 or more points and rack up over 500 yards of total offense in each contest. See which team to pick here.
Why North Texas can cover
The Mean Green have an extremely potent offensive unit as they lead the AAC in total offense (482.3 yards) and scoring (40.0 points), are second in passing (302.1 yards) and rank fourth in rushing (180.2). The aerial attack is guided by Chandler Rogers, who is tied for first in the conference and 11th in the nation with 21 touchdown passes. The junior quarterback, who is second in the AAC with 2,445 passing yards, has made multiple TD tosses in seven of his last eight contests and has been intercepted just three times this year.
Ja'Mori Maclin has formed a strong connection with Rogers as he tops North Texas with 44 catches and 766 receiving yards. The sophomore wide receiver is tied for first in the country with 11 scoring receptions, recording at least one in each of the Mean Green's first eight games before being blanked last week. North Texas' ground attack features junior Ayo Adeyi, who is coming off his second straight and fifth overall 100-yard performance of the season, and fellow junior Oscar Adaway III, who has rushed for a touchdown in three of his last four games and ran for 117 yards and a score in last year's 48-10 loss to SMU. See which team to pick here.
How to make SMU vs. North Texas picks
SportsLine's model is going Over on the total, projecting the teams to combine for 76 points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in almost 60% of simulations. You can only see the model's pick at SportsLine.
So who wins SMU vs. North Texas, and which side of the spread hits almost 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the North Texas vs. SMU spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has notched a profit of well over $2,000 on its top-rated college football spread picks, and find out.