There could be plenty of fireworks on Sunday when the Kansas City Chiefs host the Cincinnati Bengals in the 2022 AFC Championship Game. The Chiefs (14-5) have one of the league's most prolific offenses, led by quarterback Patrick Mahomes, and have won 11 of their past 12 games. That includes an epic battle with Buffalo last week that Kansas City won 42-36 in overtime. The Bengals (12-7) also have a highly productive passing game spearheaded by the dynamic duo of quarterback Joe Burrow and rookie wide receiver Ja'Marr Chase. They have won five of their past six and scrapped to a 19-16 win against the top-seeded Titans last week.
Kickoff at Arrowhead Stadium is set for 3 p.m. ET. Kansas City is a seven-point favorite in the latest Bengals vs. Chiefs odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total points scored is 54.5. Before making any Chiefs vs. Bengals picks or 2022 NFL Playoffs predictions, be sure to check out what SportsLine NFL expert R.J. White has to say.
CBS Sports' Fantasy and gambling editor, White ended the 2020 season on an 80-59 run on all NFL picks, returning more than $1,400 during that span. It's no surprise, as White has cashed huge twice in the world's most prestigious football handicapping competition, the Las Vegas SuperContest.
In addition, White has gone an impressive 39-28-2 on his last 69 picks involving the Bengals, bringing a profit of more than $800 for $100 bettors. Anyone who has followed him is way up.
Now, White has set his sights on Chiefs vs. Bengals, and he just revealed his expert picks and 2022 AFC Championship Game predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see White's picks. Now, here are several NFL lines for Bengals vs. Chiefs:
- Bengals vs. Chiefs spread: Kansas City -7
- Bengals vs. Chiefs over-under: 54.5 points
- Bengals vs. Chiefs money line: Kansas City -360, Cincinnati +285
- CIN: Bengals are 13-7 as road underdogs under coach Zac Taylor (since 2019)
- KC: Chiefs are 7-3 against the spread in the playoffs under Patrick Mahomes (2018)
Why the Chiefs can cover
The Chiefs have won eight straight at Arrowhead, and the home team is 5-2 against the spread in the last seven meetings between these teams. Quarterback Patrick Mahomes threw for 378 yards and three touchdowns last week against the Bills, with Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce combining for 246 yards and two TDs. Hill scored a 64-yard TD that triggered the scoring frenzy in the final minutes, while Kelce had a crucial catch on the tying drive and scored the OT winner.
The Chiefs are averaging 37.3 points (best in NFL) over their past seven games, with Mahomes averaging 319.6 passing yards with 20 TDs and two interceptions. The Kansas City defense will make it a point to get Burrow off his game, and while it doesn't produce a lot of sacks, it gets plenty of pressure. The Bengals' QB has been taken down 62 times this season, including the NFL playoffs 2022. That's tied for ninth-most in NFL history. K.C. has just 31 sacks, but it is sixth in the league in pressures (178) and hurries the throw on 13 percent of dropbacks (third in NFL).
Why the Bengals can cover
Cincinnati is 10-4 against the spread versus AFC teams this season and has been building a winning mindset behind Joe Burrow. The quarterback was a champion at LSU and is intent on getting the Bengals a title. The addition of former Tigers teammate Chase to the mix has made the passing game dangerous. Burrow led the NFL in completion percentage (70.4) and yards per attempt (8.9) and averaged 288.4 passing yards per game during the regular season. Chase was fourth in the NFL with 1,455 yards in the regular season and has 225 in the 2022 NFL playoffs.
Chase had an NFL rookie-record 266 yards and three TDs against Kansas City's 27th-ranked pass defense in a Week 17 victory. The unit allows more than 251 passing yards per game and has the fourth-fewest sacks (31). Receivers Tee Higgins and Tyler Boyd have combined for 155 catches (including playoffs) and running back Joe Mixon has 1,700 total yards in his 18 games, so Chase isn't the only concern. The Bengals have five takeaways and no turnovers in the NFL playoffs 2022, and linebacker Logan Wilson snagged his fifth interception of the season last week. Defensive end Trey Hendrickson has at least one sack in 13 games this season for the Bengals, who are 5-1 against the spread as road underdogs.
How to make Bengals vs. Chiefs AFC Championship Game picks
White has analyzed this matchup from all angles and is leaning Over on the point total. He also has discovered a critical X-factor that has him jumping all over one side of the spread. He's only sharing what it is, and which side of the Chiefs vs. Bengals spread to back, at SportsLine.
So who wins Chiefs vs, Bengals in Sunday's 2022 AFC Championship Game? And which critical X-factor makes one side of the spread a must-back? Visit SportsLine now to see R.J. White's Bengals vs. Chiefs picks and predictions, all from the NFL expert who's 39-28 on his picks involving Cincinnati, and find out.