The Las Vegas Raiders will conclude a stretch with five of six games at home when they begin Week 15 of the 2023 NFL schedule against the AFC West-rival Los Angeles Chargers on Thursday Night Football. Las Vegas (5-8) won its first two home contests over the span, but has lost the last two after dropping a 3-0 decision to Minnesota last Sunday. Los Angeles (5-8) is coming off its fourth defeat in five games, a 24-7 home setback against Denver, and will be without quarterback Justin Herbert due to a season-ending finger injury. The Chargers have won four of their last six meetings with the Raiders, including a 24-17 triumph at home in Week 4.

Kickoff from Allegiant Stadium is set for 8:15 p.m. ET. Las Vegas is a 3-point favorite in the latest Raiders vs. Chargers odds, while the over/under for total points scored is 34.5. Before making any Chargers vs. Raiders picks of your own, you need to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's Advanced Computer Model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 15 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 176-129 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 30-21 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season.

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has set its sights on Raiders vs. Chargers and just locked in its picks and Thursday Night Football predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Chargers vs. Raiders: 

  • Raiders vs. Chargers spread: Las Vegas -3
  • Raiders vs. Chargers over/under: 34.5 points
  • Raiders vs. Chargers money line: Las Vegas -158, Los Angeles +134
  • LV: Raiders have scored 17 points or fewer in four consecutive games
  • LAC: Chargers have amassed a total of 23 points over their last three contests
  • Raiders vs. Chargers picks: See picks at SportsLine
  • Raiders vs. Chargers live stream: Stream TNF on Amazon

Why the Raiders can cover

Las Vegas has been limited to 17 points or fewer in four straight contests and six of its last seven. However, Los Angeles has given up an average of 21.7 points this season and is ranked 29th in total defense (375.1 yards allowed) and against the pass (261.9). The Raiders have scored at least 27 points in their three meetings with the Chargers in Las Vegas, winning twice while losing the other game in overtime.

The Raiders hope to have the services of running back Josh Jacobs, who left last week's game with a quadriceps injury but racked up 139 scrimmage yards and ran for a touchdown against Los Angeles in Week 4 after rushing for 144 yards and a TD versus the club at home last year. Wideout Davante Adams has come up with strong performances against the Chargers in his career, as he has averaged 108.5 receiving yards over four contests. The 30-year-old, who is 133 yards away from posting his fourth consecutive 1,000-yard season, made eight catches for 75 yards at Los Angeles earlier this season and amassed 318 yards and three touchdowns in two meetings last year. See which team to pick here.

Why the Chargers can cover

Stick made the second appearance of his NFL career last week after Herbert went down in the first half with his injury and finished with 179 yards on 13-of-24 passing. The 28-year-old's only previous action in the league came in 2020, when he took two snaps against Jacksonville in Week 7. Stick seemed to develop a connection with rookie wideout Quentin Johnston and may need to strengthen it since veteran Keenan Allen is out for Thursday Night Football with a heel injury.

The 22-year-old Johnston, who was the 21st overall pick in the 2023 NFL Draft, led the Chargers last weekend with 91 receiving yards, 79 of which came on back-to-back receptions during the team's fourth-quarter touchdown drive. Allen made six catches for 68 yards against the Broncos and leads the league with a career-high 108 receptions. The 31-year-old, who is fourth in the NFL with 1,243 receiving yards, has hauled in 106 passes for 1,178 yards and seven touchdowns in 18 career games against the Raiders. See which team to pick here.

How to make Raiders vs. Chargers picks on TNF

SportsLine's model is leaning Over the point total, calling for 35 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread is the better value. You can only see the model's TNF picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Chargers vs. Raiders on Thursday Night Football, and which side of the spread is the better value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Chargers vs. Raiders spread you need to jump on, all from the model on a 176-129 roll on NFL picks, and find out.