Getty Images

Texas State (2-5) has never defeated Louisiana-Lafayette (6-1), but the bobcats are looking to make history with a huge upset on Saturday. The closest finish between the two sides came exactly one year ago, when Texas State came within 10 points, but lost 44-34. The Ragin' Cajuns sit just outside the AP Top 25 rankings, and are 27-5 overall going back to 2019.

The game kicks off at noon ET in Lafayette, where ULL is 15-3 since the beginning of 2018. The Ragin' Cajuns are favored by 21.5 points in the latest Louisiana vs. Texas State odds from Caesars Sportsbook, and the over-under is set at 58.5. Before making any Texas State vs. Louisiana picks, you need to see the college football predictions and betting advice from the model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $3,900 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. It also enters Week 9 of the 2021 season on a 26-11 run on all top-rated college football side picks. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Louisiana vs. Texas State and just locked in its Week 9 college football picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several college football odds and betting lines for Louisiana vs. Texas State:

  • Louisiana vs. Texas State spread: Louisiana -21.5
  • Louisiana vs. Texas State over-under: 58.5 points
  • Louisiana vs. Texas State money line: TXST +850, ULL -1600

What you need to know about Louisiana

After blowing the doors off of Appalachian State two weeks ago, Louisiana nearly lost a close one last week against Arkansas State, 28-27. Redshirt senior quarterback Levi Lewis started the season hot, but has had a rough run of play over the past three weeks. he only completed 45 percent of his passes against South Alabama on October 2 for 49 yards, and last week against Arkansas State, he had just 122 yards and an interception.

Fortunately, the running game has been effective for the Ragin' Cajuns, and Chris Smith carried the team, with 238 yards on 24 carries with two touchdowns. Freshman running back Montrell Johnson had a big day on the ground as well, rushing for 150 yards on 17 carries with two touchdowns. That could spell trouble for the Bobcats, who have given up just over 192 rushing yards per game this season.

What you need to know about Texas State

Texas State scored first but couldn't keep the lead against Georgia State last Saturday, losing 28-16. The Bobcats' only offensive touchdown came on a rush from QB Brady McBride. McBride has put up decent passing totals throughout the season, but has had trouble protecting the football, and has tossed 10 interceptions this season. Louisiana hasn't picked off opposing quarterbacks too often this season, but McBride has thrown seven in his last three games.

Although the Ragin' Cajuns aren't snatching too many passes out of the air from opponents, they are getting after the QB. Louisiana is tied for 37th in the nation in sacks, with 19. The Bobcats should be concerned about that, as they have allowed 21 sacks this season. Texas State's rushing attack isn't overly threatening, but it has some juice, led by redshirt freshman Calvin Hill, who has 384 yards on 79 attempts in 2021.

How to make Texas State vs. Louisiana picks

The model has simulated Louisiana vs. Texas State 10,000 times and the results are in. We can tell you that the model is leaning over on the point total, and it also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only see the model's pick at SportsLine.

Who wins Louisiana vs. Texas State? And which side of the spread is a must-back? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has crushed its college football picks, and find out.