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USATSI

For most of the offseason, Dallas Goedert was viewed as one of the top breakout candidates at tight end because we thought he'd see more target share without Zach Ertz. In Week 6 the same argument makes Ertz a near must-start against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers because Goedert is on the Covid-19 list.

Unsurprisingly, the Eagles have had one of the highest tight end target rates in the NFL at 25.5%. But what has been a little shocking is how many of them have gone to Ertz. Through Week 5, the veteran had a 14.5% target share, which was second on the Eagles only to DeVonta Smith. Goedert, on the other hand, was tied with Miles Sanders for fifth on the team with an 11% target share.

For Week 6 I have Ertz projected at a 20% target share, which equals eight targets in a pass-heavy game script against the league's best run defense. While this defense is awesome against the run, the Bucs have allowed an average of 16.8 PPR Fantasy points per game to tight ends. Dalton Schultz, Tyler Higbee, Hunter Henry, Jonnu Smith, and Kyle Pitts have all scored at least 10 Fantasy points against them. So I'll start Ertz with relative confidence on Thursday Night Football.

Here's everything else you need to know about tight end in Week 6:

Week 6 TE Preview
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Who's Out

The following players are not being projected to play Week 6 at this time. Here's what it means:

ARI Arizona • #87
Age: 27 • Experience: 7 yrs.
We'd expect Williams' targets to be absorbed mostly by the wide receivers.
PHI Philadelphia • #88
Age: 26 • Experience: 4 yrs.
Start Ertz if you have him
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Numbers to Know
  • 18.6% -- Robert Tonyan's crazy touchdown rate from 2020. Dawson Knox's is two points higher than that.
  • 21 -- Ertz has 21 targets over the past three weeks. That should go up without Goedert.
  • 24.6% -- Darren Waller leads all tight ends with a 24.6% target share. Despite recent struggles, he's still a top-three tight end rest of season.
  • 159 -- David Njoku has 159 yards after catch, behind only Travis Kelce and George Kittle.
  • 325 -- Kyle Pitts' 325 air yards are fourth amongst tight ends behind Waller, Kelce, and Mark Andrews.

So who should you start and sit this week? And which surprising quarterback could lead you to victory? Visit SportsLine now to get Week 6 rankings for every position, plus see which QB is going to come out of nowhere to crack the top 10, all from the model that has out-performed experts big-time.

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Matchups that matter
PHI Philadelphia
Age: 30 • Experience: 9 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
vs TB TB -7 O/U 52.5
OPP VS TE
27th
PROJ PTS
9.2
TE RNK
9th
YTD Stats
REC
14
TAR
25
REYDS
160
TD
1
FPTS/G
7.2
MIA Miami • #88
Age: 26 • Experience: 4 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
@ JAC MIA -3.5 O/U 47
OPP VS TE
24th
PROJ PTS
10.8
TE RNK
7th
YTD Stats
REC
22
TAR
34
REYDS
227
TD
1
FPTS/G
10.1
WAS Washington • #83
Age: 26 • Experience: 4 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
vs KC KC -7 O/U 55.5
OPP VS TE
29th
PROJ PTS
7.2
TE RNK
15th
YTD Stats
REC
8
TAR
13
REYDS
79
TD
1
FPTS/G
4.4
TEN Tennessee • #86
Age: 26 • Experience: 4 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
vs BUF BUF -5.5 O/U 54
OPP VS TE
11th
PROJ PTS
4.9
TE RNK
21st
YTD Stats
REC
9
TAR
13
REYDS
75
TD
0
FPTS/G
5.5
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Waiver Wire Targets
Week 6 Streamers
JAC Jacksonville • #85
Age: 26 • Experience: 5 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
vs MIA MIA -3 O/U 47
OPP VS TE
18th
TE RNK
11th
ROSTERED
25%
YTD Stats
REC
15
TAR
21
REYDS
177
TD
0
FPTS/G
6.1
The Jaguars specifically targeted Arnold in their trade with the Panthers and then gave him a quarter of the team's targets in his second game with the team. He may just have one of the biggest roles at tight end in the coming weeks.
WAS Washington • #83
Age: 26 • Experience: 4 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
vs KC KC -6.5 O/U 55.5
OPP VS TE
29th
TE RNK
13th
ROSTERED
15%
YTD Stats
REC
8
TAR
13
REYDS
79
TD
1
FPTS/G
4.4
He came much closer to replicating the Logan Thomas role than I expected in Week 5 and now he gets the Chiefs in Week 6. The absence of Curtis Samuel only helps.
CLE Cleveland • #85
Age: 25 • Experience: 5 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
vs ARI CLE -3 O/U 49.5
OPP VS TE
2nd
TE RNK
18th
ROSTERED
32%
YTD Stats
REC
14
TAR
17
REYDS
260
TD
1
FPTS/G
9.2
I'm not starting Njoku this week, but we can't leave a tight end on the waiver wire after a 149-yard game.
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DFS Plays
Top Play
Projections powered by Sportsline
BAL Baltimore • #89
Age: 26 • Experience: 4 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
vs LAC BAL -3 O/U 51.5
OPP VS TE
28th
PROJ PTS
15.2
TE RNK
2nd
YTD Stats
REC
29
TAR
38
REYDS
400
TD
2
FPTS/G
17
Andrews' Monday night boom is not factored into the pricing, which is fine, because he isn't going to repeat that. But the savings from Kelce and Waller is worth it in what should be one of the highest-scoring games of the weekend.
Contrarian Play
Projections powered by Sportsline
DEN Denver • #87
Age: 23 • Experience: 3 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
vs LV DEN -3.5 O/U 44.5
OPP VS TE
22nd
PROJ PTS
11.9
TE RNK
10th
YTD Stats
REC
21
TAR
31
REYDS
176
TD
2
FPTS/G
10.1
Like most low-end tight end starters, Fant has had an up-and-down season. But he's still the second-best option for the Broncos in the passing game, so I'd expect a bounce back from last week's four-target game. The Raiders have surrendered 63.1 PPR Fantasy points to tight ends over their past three games.
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Heath's Projections

So who should you start and sit this week? And which surprising quarterback could lead you to victory? Visit SportsLine now to get Week 6 rankings for every position, plus see which QB is going to come out of nowhere to crack the top 10, all from the model that has out-performed experts big-time.