The Golden State Warriors host the Boston Celtics for a pivotal Game 5 matchup in the 2022 NBA Finals on Monday evening. It's been a back-and-forth affair as the teams enter Monday's matchup knotted at 2-2. The Warriors look to hold home court, while the Celtics aim to win their second game this series at the Chase Center. Boston lists Robert Williams III (knee) as questionable. Andre Iguodala (knee) and Otto Porter Jr. (foot) have the same designation for Golden State, though all three of those players are widely expected to be available.
Tipoff from San Francisco is at 9 p.m. ET. Caesars Sportsbook lists Golden State as the four-point home favorite, while the over-under, or total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, is 210.5 in the latest Warriors vs. Celtics odds. Before locking in any Celtics vs. Warriors picks, be sure to see the NBA Finals 2022 predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model enters the second week of the 2022 NBA Finals on a stunning 88-60 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $2,100. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has locked in its Warriors vs. Celtics picks and NBA playoff predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting trends for Celtics vs. Warriors:
- Warriors vs. Celtics spread: Golden State -4
- Warriors vs. Celtics over-under: 210.5 points
- Warriors vs. Celtics money line: Golden State -170, Boston +145
- Warriors vs. Celtics tickets: See tickets at StubHub
- BOS: The Celtics are 14-8 against the spread in playoff games
- GS: The Warriors are 11-9 against the spread in playoff games
Why the Celtics can cover
This series has been a back-and-forth affair, with the teams alternating between wins and losses in the first four games. Golden State needed one of the best performances of Curry's career on Friday night in order to mask its other deficiencies and tie the series. Boston still has more ways to win than Golden State, as it has better defense and a more balanced scoring attack.
Jayson Tatum has been bouncing back from poor performances throughout the playoffs, so the Celtics can expect a better outing from him on Monday night. Meanwhile, Klay Thompson continues to struggle for the Warriors, scoring fewer than 20 points in seven of his last nine games. Curry needs another massive game if Golden State is going to take the series lead, but Boston might be the safer team to back in Game 5. The Celtics have covered the spread in 13 of their last 15 road games.
Why the Warriors can cover
The Warriors are averaging 112.7 points per game this postseason, and they've scored 107 or more points in three of their last four meetings against the Celtics. Stephen Curry leads the charge for Golden State and he's coming off his best performance of the 2022 NBA playoffs. In Golden State's Game 4 victory, Curry stuffed the stat sheet with 43 points, 10 rebounds and four assists. The eight-time NBA All-Star is now averaging 34.3 points per game against the Celtics in the NBA Finals.
Andrew Wiggins has also been extremely productive for the Warriors this postseason. The former No. 1 overall pick recorded 17 points and a career-high 16 rebounds in Friday's victory. Wiggins' presence is also felt on the defensive end of the floor where he held Jayson Tatum to just 23 points on 23 shot attempts in Game 4.
How to make Celtics vs. Warriors picks
SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total, projecting 212 combined points. The model also says one side of the spread hits in over 60 percent of simulations. You can only get that NBA Finals pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Warriors vs. Celtics? And which side of the spread hits in over 60 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.