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The Dallas Mavericks aim to bounce back from a pair of road losses in the second half of a 2022 NBA Playoff doubleheader on Friday. The Mavericks host the Phoenix Suns for Game 3 of a second round series at 9:30 p.m. ET. The top-seeded Suns are in control, with the Mavericks needing a win to avoid a difficult 3-0 hole. Dallas is a one-point favorite at Caesars Sportsbook in Game 3, with an over-under total of 218 points in the game.

Earlier in the evening, the Miami Heat look to put a stranglehold on a series against the Philadelphia 76ers at 7 p.m. ET. Miami leads Philadelphia by a 2-0 margin after back-to-back double-digit wins at home and the Wells Fargo Center will host the Game 3 action. Miami is favored by one point at Caesars Sportsbook, with an over-under total of 210.5 points. Before locking in any NBA picks or parlays, be sure to check out the NBA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons. The model entered the third full week of the 2022 NBA playoffs on a stunning 86-58 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, returning over $2,100. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

Now, it has set its sights on Friday's NBA playoff schedule and revealed its best bets. If you parlay its picks, you could be looking at a payout of over 12-1. You can only see the model's NBA picks at SportsLine.

Top NBA playoff picks for Friday, May 6

One selection the pick recommends on Friday evening is the over 210.5 points in the Game 3 matchup between the Heat and 76ers. There are many factors in play, including star power on both sides. Philadelphia guard Tyrese Maxey is averaging 22.6 points on 50.4 percent shooting in the playoffs and, with or without Joel Embiid (face/concussion) who is listed as doubtful, the 76ers have another star in James Harden. The former MVP averaged 21.0 points, 10.5 assists, and 7.1 rebounds per game after joining Philadelphia, and he is capable of an explosion at any time.

On the other side, Miami's offense has been dynamic in the playoffs, and Jimmy Butler is playing at a high level. Butler is averaging 26.5 points on 50.9 percent from the floor and 39.1 percent from three-point range in the postseason, and he is also averaging 6.0 assists per game. Miami's Tyler Herro won the NBA's Sixth Man of the Year award while being the leading scorer in the NBA off the bench, and Bam Adebayo is shooting more than 74 percent from the field in the series. The Heat are scoring nearly 1.2 points per possession in the series, and both teams make fantastic use of the free throw line, making more than 80 percent of attempts over a large sample.

How to make NBA playoff picks and parlays today

The model also has identified three other extremely strong picks that need to be in your NBA parlays, including another pick that hits well over 50 percent of the time, bringing plenty of value. You can only see the model's best bets at SportsLine.

What are the top NBA picks for Friday? And which pick can you bank on well over 50 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see the NBA best bets for Friday, all from the model that is on an 86-58 roll on all top-rated NBA picks, and find out.