Golden 1 Center showcases a matchup between Western Conference squads on Tuesday. The Sacramento Kings host the Golden State Warriors in a 2023 NBA In-Season Tournament tilt, with Sacramento looking to clinch Group C with a win. The Kings are 9-6 overall and 4-1 at home this season, while the Warriors are 8-9 overall and 5-3 on the road in 2023-24. Keegan Murray (back) is out for Sacramento.

For this game, SportsLine consensus lists the Kings as 2-point favorites, and tip-off is scheduled for 10 p.m. ET. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over/under, is 236.5 in the latest Warriors vs. Kings odds. Before making any Kings vs. Warriors picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions from SportsLine's proven model

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past five-plus seasons. The model enters Week 6 of the 2023-24 NBA season on an 86-50 roll on all top-rated NBA picks dating back to last season, returning more than $3,000. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.

The model has set its sights on Warriors vs. Kings and locked in its NBA predictions. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several NBA odds and betting lines for Kings vs. Warriors:

  • Warriors vs. Kings spread: Kings -2
  • Warriors vs. Kings over/under: 236.5 points
  • Warriors vs. Kings money line: Kings -130, Warriors +109
  • Golden State: The Warriors are 6-11 against the spread this season
  • Sacramento: The Kings are 9-6 against the spread this season
  • Warriors vs. Kings picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why the Warriors can cover

Golden State is led by one of the NBA's best players and most consistent threats in Stephen Curry. The nine-time All-Star and two-time NBA MVP is averaging 29.7 points per game on 44.2% shooting from 3-point range, and Curry leads the league with 80 3-pointers already this season. He is the engine of a team that is comfortably in the top 10 in 3-pointers (14.4 per game) and 3-point percentage (36.5%), and Golden State is also tremendous on the offensive glass. The Warriors are in the top six in offensive rebound rate (32.0%) and second-chance (17.2 per game), and Golden State is elite in generating 27.9 assists per contest.

Golden State is also stout on the defensive end, headlined by 3-point resistance. Opponents are shooting only 34.9% from 3-point range against the Warriors, and Golden State is above-average in field goal percentage allowed (46.2%) and 2-point percentage allowed (53.2%). The Warriors also remain stout in transition, yielding only 13.2 fast break points per game to opponents. See which team to pick here

Why the Kings can cover

Sacramento is a different team with De'Aaron Fox in the lineup. The Kings are 7-3 when the star guard plays this season, and he is averaging 29.9 points and 6.0 assists per game. Fox is also averaging 34.7 points per game at home this season, and he produced 36 points, 12 rebounds and seven assists in Sacramento's last game against Minnesota. Fox is complemented by a standout big man in Domantas Sabonis, who is averaging 19.9 points, 12.3 rebounds and 7.0 assists per game while shooting 62% from the field. 

He is averaging 22.6 points and 7.9 assists in the last nine games, and Sacramento ranks in the top 10 of the NBA in 2-point accuracy, assists per game and second-chance points per game. Defensively, the Kings have elite metrics on the glass and in transition. Sacramento is in the top three of the NBA in defensive rebound rate (73.9%), second-chance points allowed (12.1 per game) and fast break points allowed (10.4 per game) in 2023-24. See which team to pick here.

How to make Kings vs. Warriors picks

The model has simulated Warriors vs. Kings 10,000 times and is leaning Under the total, projecting 236 combined points. It also says one side of the spread hits well over 60% of the time. You can only see the picks over at SportsLine.

Who wins Warriors vs. Kings, and which side of the spread hits well over 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see the picks, all from the model that is on an 86-50 roll on top-rated NBA picks, and find out.