Former NFL MVP Lamar Jackson will try to avoid his first losing streak in almost two years when the Baltimore Ravens host the rival Cincinnati Bengals in the Week 11 Thursday Night Football game at M&T Bank Stadium in Baltimore. The 26-year-old Jackson has not lost back-to-back games since Weeks 13 and 14 of the 2021 season. Since then, he has started 22 games, going 15-7. This season he has led the Ravens (7-3) to the top of the AFC North. His Cincinnati counterpart, Joe Burrow, battled a calf injury to begin the season but has led the Bengals (5-4) to four wins in their last five games. Bengals wide receiver Tee Higgins will sit with a hamstring injury.
Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. ET. Baltimore is a 3.5-point favorite in the latest Bengals vs. Ravens odds, while the over/under for total points scored is 46.5. Before you make any Ravens vs. Bengals picks or NFL predictions, you need to see the NFL betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up more than $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 8 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 174-125 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 28-17 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has zeroed in on Ravens vs. Bengals and just revealed its picks and predictions. You can see the model's picks only at SportsLine. Here are several NFL odds and betting lines for Bengals vs. Ravens:
- Bengals vs. Ravens spread: Baltimore -4
- Bengals vs. Ravens over/under: 46.5 points
- Bengals vs. Ravens money line: Baltimore -190, Cincinnati +160
- BAL: Ravens lead the league in rushing yards per game (154.9)
- CIN: Bengals are tied for the NFL lead in turnover differential (+10)
- Bengals vs. Ravens: See picks here
Why the Ravens can cover
Baltimore has been playing lights-out defense for most of the season. Led by linebacker Roquan Smith, the Ravens lead the league in scoring defense (15.7 points per game allowed), sacks (39) and opponent yards per play (4.2) this season. They also rank second in total defense (273.6 yards per game allowed).
In addition, Baltimore faces a Cincinnati team that has struggled in primetime games on the road. The Bengals have lost 14 straight road primetime games (including the postseason). That is the longest such losing streak dating back to 2000. See which team to pick here.
Why the Bengals can cover
Cincinnati quarterback Joe Burrow has a history of success against Baltimore. The former No. 1 overall pick has two games of at least 400 passing yards against the Ravens in his career. That's tied for the fourth most 400-yard passing games against a single opponent in NFL history. Only Dan Marino against the Jets (four), Drew Bledsoe against the Dolphins (three) and Peyton Manning against the Texans (three) have more.
In addition, the Bengals face a Baltimore team that has struggled closing out teams in the fourth quarter. Since 2021, the Ravens have been outscored, 264-138, with a fourth quarter lead. The -126 point differential is the worst in the league over that time. Baltimore also ranks 30th in yards per play allowed with a fourth quarter lead in the last three seasons (6.1). See which team to pick here.
How to make Ravens vs. Bengals picks
SportsLine's model is leaning Under the point total, calling for 46 total points. The model also says one side of the spread cashes in over 50% of simulations. You can see the model's NFL picks and analysis only at SportsLine.
So who wins Ravens vs. Bengals on Thursday Night Football, and which side of the spread hits over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Ravens vs. Bengals spread you should jump on, all from the advanced model that is up well over $7,000 on top-rated NFL picks, and find out.