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It finally happened. I had a good week in all three areas of picking games. 

I went 4-2 with my best bets as part of the Pick Six podcast, 11-3 straight up and 7-5-2 against the spread in my expert picks. 

That raises my best bet record to 38-25-2, which I am glad about. The straight-up record is now 95-69 and the ATS record is 74-82-8. The last one needs to get back up over .500, so that's the goal for the next few weeks.

Let's hope the holiday week is good to me, starting with a sweep on Thanksgiving in games that feature teams with some impressive records.

Denver Broncos at Carolina Panthers (+2.5)

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox, FuboTV)

This is the dog game of the week with two horrible offenses. First one to 10 wins? Denver has the better defense, but at home I think the Panthers will find a way to win this one. Denver continues to struggle. 

Pick: Panthers 17, Broncos 13

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-3.5) at Cleveland Browns

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox, FuboTV)

The Bucs come off the bye in first place and seemingly ready to get their season going like they expected. They are getting healthier, and that will matter down the stretch, starting here in this one. The Browns are bad on defense, so look for Tom Brady to have a solid day. The Browns running game is limited. Bucs take it. 

Pick: Bucs 30, Browns 17

Baltimore Ravens at Jacksonville Jaguars (+4)

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)

The Jaguars come off their bye with a tough home game against the Ravens. The Baltimore defense has come alive in recent weeks and will present a real challenge for Trevor Lawrence. Lamar Jackson and the offense have to pick it up. This will be low scoring, but it's close.

Pick: Ravens 21, Jaguars 20

Houston Texans at Miami Dolphins (-13)

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)

The Dolphins come off their bye as big favorites. The Texans could be making a quarterback change, but it doesn't matter. The Dolphins have been explosive on offense all year, and that won't change in this one. Tua Tagovailoa keeps it rolling in a blowout. 

Pick: Dolphins 36, Texans 14

Chicago Bears at New York Jets (-4.5)

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox, FuboTV)

This won't be pretty if Justin Fields can't play. Both offenses would be severely limited. The Jets have the much better defense, one that is on the verge of becoming dominant. That is the difference, no matter who plays quarterback for these two. 

Pick: Jets 20, Bears 14

Cincinnati Bengals at Tennessee Titans (+1.5)

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)

This is a rematch from the playoff game from last January in which the Bengals upset the Titans on the road. The Bengals have played much better lately, but they are playing consecutive road games, while the Titans will be rested after playing last Thursday. Derrick Henry wasn't himself when they played in the playoffs last season. He is now. Titans take it behind his running.

Pick: Titans 27, Bengals 21

Atlanta Falcons at Washington Commanders (-4)

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET (Fox, FuboTV)

This is a playoff game of sorts. Both teams are sill alive. Washington has turned the season around thanks to its defense. Taylor Heinicke is also making timely plays. The Falcons are limited on offense, which is the difference. Washington stays hot. 

Pick: Commanders 27, Falcons 17

Los Angeles Chargers (-4.5) at Arizona Cardinals

Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)

The Cardinals looked awful in losing to the 49ers in Mexico and now play with their playoff hopes on the line. The Chargers are coming off a loss to the Chiefs, but they showed some life in that game on offense. That continues as Justin Herbert has a big day. 

Pick: Chargers 30, Cardinals 20

Las Vegas Raiders at Seattle Seahawks (-3.5)

Sunday, 4:05 p.m. ET (CBS, Paramount+)

The Seahawks are coming off a bye, while the Raiders are playing a second straight road game. Bad combination. The Raiders have major defensive issues, which will show up against a good Seattle offense. Geno Smith and the Seahawks take it. 

Pick: Seahawks 31, Raiders 24

Los Angeles Rams at Kansas City Chiefs (-14.5)

Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET (Fox, FuboTV)

The Rams are a mess, while the Chiefs are riding high. The Rams have health issues and probably won't have Matthew Stafford. That's a problem. The Chiefs have Patrick Mahomes and he will carve up this Rams defense. Blowout city. 

Pick: Chiefs 37, Rams 13

New Orleans Saints (+9) at San Francisco 49ers

Sunday, 4:25 p.m. ET (Fox, FuboTV)

The 49ers are coming off an impressive victory over the Cardinals in Mexico. They look to be rolling with all their weapons on offense. The Saints beat the Rams last week, with Andy Dalton playing well. I think they will hang around in this game as the 49ers are on a short week. It's closer than expected. 

Pick: 49ers 24, Saints 20

Green Bay Packers (+7) at Philadelphia Eagles

Sunday, 8:20 p.m. ET (NBC, FuboTV)

The Packers' playoff chances are barely alive, but this is a real challenge to try and keep them alive. Aaron Rodgers did not play well last week, but I think he plays better here. The Eagles haven't looked great the past two games. The Packers keep it close. 

Pick: Eagles 26, Packers 21

Pittsburgh Steelers (+2.5) at Indianapolis Colts

Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET (ESPN, FuboTV)

The Colts looked to be on their way to going 2-0 last week under Jeff Saturday, but blew a lead against the Eagles late. The Steelers hung around against the Bengals, with Kenny Pickett showing better at quarterback. The Steelers defense is much better with T.J. Watt back, and I think that front will keep the Steelers in this game. 

Pick: Colts 20, Steelers 19