The NFL's 103rd season begins Thursday night with the 2022 NFL Kickoff Game between the defending Super Bowl champion Los Angeles Rams and the oddsmakers' preseason Super Bowl favorite, the Buffalo Bills. Buffalo is led by preseason NFL MVP favorite Josh Allen, who has averaged 37 passing touchdowns each of the last two seasons. On the other side, Rams QB Matthew Stafford looks to repeat his first season in L.A., when he threw for nearly 4,900 yards and 41 touchdowns. The oddsmakers are expecting a high-scoring affair in a potential Super Bowl LVII preview with the total set at 52. According to the latest Bills vs. Rams props at Caesars Sportsbook, Allen's over/under for passing touchdowns is 1.5, while Stafford's over/under for passing yards is 268.5. Which NFL prop bets have the most value? Before making any NFL prop bets for the 2022 NFL Kickoff Game, you need to see the Rams vs. Bills prop predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up over $7,500 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters the 2022 NFL season on an incredible 138-97 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. Amazingly, it hasn't missed a top-rated pick since Week 15 last season.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
It can also be used to crush NFL prop picks. Last season, its NFL prop bets went 41-29 from Week 7 on, returning over $800.
With Bills vs. Rams on Thursday, the model has evaluated the NFL player props from Caesars and found five strong bets. You can only see them here.
Top NFL player prop bets for Rams vs. Bills
After simulating Bills vs. Rams 10,000 times, the model predicts that Bills quarterback Allen goes under 275.5 passing yards. Last year, Allen failed to achieve that total in 11 of 17 regular season games. In addition, the Rams boast a Super Bowl-winning defense which remains largely intact led by future Hall of Fame defensive tackle Aaron Donald and shutdown cornerback Jalen Ramsey.
With Rams QB Matthew Stafford dealing with a balky elbow, it might be in Los Angeles' best interest to run the ball more frequently and control the clock. The simulation projects Allen to only complete 23 passes for 242 yards, which falls significantly short of his prop yardage. Find more NFL props for tonight's game here. See other NFL props here.
How to make NFL player prop bets for Rams vs. Bills
In addition, the model says another star surpasses his yardage total and has another plus-money prop payout you'll want to jump on. You need to see the model's analysis before making any Bills vs. Rams prop bets for the 2022 NFL Kickoff Game.
Which Rams vs. Bills prop bets should you target in the NFL Kickoff Game 2022? And which plus-money prop is a must-back? Visit SportsLine now to see the top Bills vs. Rams props, all from the model that's up over $7,500 on top-rated NFL picks.