An AFC West rivalry will renew when the Las Vegas Raiders host the Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday. The Raiders have won two of their three games since firing head coach Josh McDaniels. The Chiefs, meanwhile, enter Sunday's showdown fresh off a defeat against the Philadelphia Eagles. According to the latest Week 12 NFL odds, the Chiefs are nine-point favorites on the road. Should your Week 12 NFL picks include backing Kansas City to cover the spread or should you target another divisional matchup like Jaguars vs. Texans (+1) or Rams vs. Cardinals (+1)? Before you make any Week 12 NFL picks or NFL parlays, be sure to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven computer model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 12 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 175-126 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 29-18 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season. 

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

Now, the model has locked in five confident NFL best bets for Week 12. If you successfully parlay its picks, you'd be looking at a massive payout of around 25-1. You can only see the model's Week 12 NFL picks at SportsLine.

Top Week 12 NFL picks

After simulating every game 10,000 times, the model is high on the Pittsburgh Steelers (-2) to cover on the road against the Cincinnati Bengals. The Steelers have lost four of their last five games against the Bengals, but Cincinnati will be without star quarterback Joe Burrow on Sunday. Burrow suffered a season-ending wrist injury, so the Bengals will turn to Jake Browning at quarterback.

Browning will make his first NFL start against a dynamic Pittsburgh defense that has been stifling its opponents in recent weeks. In fact, the Steelers have given up 20 points or less in each of their last six games. In addition, the Bengals are just 4-16 in their last 20 games at home against Pittsburgh, a big reason why the model is projecting the Steelers to cover the spread in nearly 60% of simulations. See which other NFL parlay picks to make here.

How to make Week 12 NFL parlays

The model also jumped on four other NFL matchups where it says the line is way off, including two underdogs that win outright. You can only see the model's NFL Week 12 best bets and parlay at SportsLine. 

What are the model's top Week 12 NFL picks? And which other NFL matchups should you target for a strong 25-1 payout? Visit SportsLine now to see the Week 12 NFL best bets from a model on a 175-126 run on top-rated picks, and find out.