The 2022 Guaranteed Rate Bowl features power-conference foes at Chase Field in Phoenix on Tuesday evening. The Wisconsin Badgers face the Oklahoma State Cowboys in the finale of a four-game Tuesday college football bowl schedule. Wisconsin is in the midst of a coaching change, with former Cincinnati head coach Luke Fickell taking over, and the Badgers are 6-6 this season. This will be the final game for interim head coach Jim Leonhard, who has been leading Wisconsin since early October. Oklahoma State is 7-5 overall under the leadership of Mike Gundy. Both teams will be missing multiple key players due to NFL opt-outs and transfers. That includes both starting quarterbacks with Wisconsin's Graham Mertz and Oklahoma State's Spencer Sanders both in the transfer portal.

Caesars Sportsbook lists the Badgers as 4.5-point favorites for this 10:15 p.m. ET kickoff. The total number of points Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over/under, is 44.5 in the latest Wisconsin vs. Oklahoma State odds. Before locking in any Oklahoma State vs. Wisconsin picks, make sure you check out the college football predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of almost $2,500 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has locked in on Wisconsin vs. Oklahoma State and just revealed its Guaranteed Rate Bowl 2022 predictions. You can head to SportsLine to see the model's picks. Here are the CFB odds and betting lines for Oklahoma State vs. Wisconsin:

  • Wisconsin vs. Oklahoma State spread: Wisconsin -4.5
  • Wisconsin vs. Oklahoma State over/under: 44.5 points
  • Wisconsin vs. Oklahoma State money line: Wisconsin -205, OK State +170
  • WISC: The Badgers are 5-7 against the spread this season
  • OSU: The Cowboys are 6-6 against the spread this season
  • Wisconsin vs. Oklahoma State picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why Wisconsin can cover

Wisconsin projects to take advantage of Oklahoma State's issues on defense this season. The Cowboys are allowing 32.6 points per game in the last seven contests, leading to an overall downturn in team quality. For the full season, Oklahoma State is allowing more than 440 yards per game, third-most in the Big 12, and the Cowboys allowed more passing yards (269.5 per game) than any Big 12 team. The Cowboys also give up 4.6 yards per carry, and Wisconsin is excellent on the ground. 

Wisconsin is averaging more than 170 rushing yards per game and 4.6 yards per carry for the season, and that efficiency helps the Badgers to convert 41.3% of third down chances. Braelon Allen is one of the best running backs in the country, with back-to-back seasons with at least 1,100 rushing yards and a career rushing average of 6.1 yards per carry.

Why Oklahoma State can cover

Oklahoma State should benefit from Wisconsin's uncertainty at quarterback. Mertz has committed to transfer to Florida, and the Badgers had only 11 passing attempts from anyone other than him in 2022. Even with Mertz on board, Wisconsin finished in the bottom four of the Big Ten in passing yards (189.5 per game) and only completed 57.3% of passes. Oklahoma State allowed opponents to complete only 57% of passes this season, and the Cowboys gave up only 6.9 yards per attempt. 

On the other end, Oklahoma State was prolific through the air with four pass-catchers finishing with at least 480 receiving yards. The Cowboys were No. 2 in the Big 12 with 283.8 passing yards per game, and Oklahoma State scored almost 32 points per game.

How to make Oklahoma State vs. Wisconsin picks

The model is leaning Under on the total, projecting 41 combined points. It also says one side of the spread hits more than 60% of the time. You can see who to back at SportsLine.

So who wins Wisconsin vs. Oklahoma State? And which side of the spread hits more than 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread to back, all from the advanced model that has been crushing its top-rated college football picks, and find out.