corbin-carroll.jpg

Dynasty leagues are perceived as being all about the long haul, and while that's certainly part of the equation, the goal, ultimately, is to win a championship. Older, more established players can help with that, particularly if they're sliding down draft boards in favor of younger, less proven players.

So how do you weigh these two competing factors? That's what these rankings are intended to demonstrate. And actually, there's a third factor to consider. Whether you're talking about a player's short-term or long-term value, you're talking about something that hasn't happened yet, so just as important as how good he should be or could be is how certain you are of it. To develop these rankings, then, I've assigned each player a score (with one being the lowest and five the highest) across the three different factors:

  1. Present value: What a player is expected to be in 2024
  2. Future value: What his peak looks like and how much peak he has left
  3. Confidence rating: How confident I am in him meeting his present and future value

Add the three numbers, adjust for age and preference, and lo and behold, rankings.

Of course, the value of a player to you in Dynasty largely depends on where you are in the contention/rebuild cycle, to the extent you believe in such things, so even if you can't see yourself drafting in strict adherence to this list, it might have value to you as a trade guide. In fact, I'd say that's its primary use in longstanding Dynasty leagues.

Top 150 for dynasty leagues
RankPlayerAge (on 7/1)PresentFutureConfidence
1 265 5 5
2 24 5 5 5
3 23 5 5 5
4 235 5 5
5 255
54
6 255
54
7 275
54
8 295
4
4
9 27
5 5
3
10 31535
11 30
5
4
4
12 30
5 4 4
13 255 5 3
14 27
4
4
5
15 27
4
4
5
16 2545
4
17 23454
18 31
5
3
4
19 315
34
20 31
5
34
21 34
5
2
5
22 274
44
23 294
3
5
24 3043
5
25 26
4
4
4
26 2345
3
27 3253
3
28 33
5
2
4
29 202
5 4
30 203
5
3
31 223
5
3
32 223
5
3
33 26 4 4
3
34 25 4 5
2
35 31
43
4
36 28443
37 2745
2
38 263
4
4
39 29 4 33
40 233
43
41 202
5
3
42 2535
2
43 2434
3
44 24343
45 21352
46 21
343
47 28
44
2
48 3143
3
49 3442
4
50 29433
51 283
4
3
52 27334
53 26
3
5
2
54 2733
4
55 263
43
56 30
3
34
57 324
3
3
58 30
3
3
4
59 334
2
3
60 33423
61 34
42
3
62 2534
2
63 26
3
4
2
64 26
3
4
2
65 263
4
2
66 2215
3
67 221
5
3
68 31
4
2
3
69 3142
3
70 3043
2
71 31
4
3
2
72 283
4
2
73 29
3
3
3
74 303
33
75 293
33
76 31
33
3
77 2833
3
78 2733
3
79 2633
3
80 22
2
5
2
81 25
34
2
82 2434
2
83 2434
2
84 2234
2
85 2534
2
86 30
33
3
87 33
4
2
3
88 2932
4
89 2934 2
90 26 3 42
91 2634
2
92 273
3
3
93 31
4
2
3
94 21152
95 263
3
2
96 211
4 3
97 212
42
98 22
14
3
99 211
4
3
100 21
152
101 26332
102 263
3
2
103 263
3
2
104 243
41
105 28
34
1
106 28
3 4
1
107 25
2
4
2
108 2833
2
109 29
32
3
110 24
34
1
111 273
3
2
112 253
3
2
113 25
34
1
114 21
1
5
2
115 19
1
5
2
116 221
43
117 211
43
118
player headshot
Colt Keith DET 3B
22
1
4
3
119 18 1 5
2
120 27341
121 222
4
2
122 242
42
123 211
5
2
124 2115 2
125 24242
126 201
5
2
127 19
15
2
128 36
4
1
3
129 32
32
3
130 29
33
2
131 30
3
3
2
132 30
3
3
2
133 313
2
3
134 273
3
2
135 313
2
3
136 23
1
5
2
137 232
4
2
138 242
3
3
139 23 1 5
2
140 222
4
2
141 283
3
2
142 273
41
143 27
3
3
2
144 24341
145 262
33
146 242
4
2
147 232
4
2
148 26242
149 242
42
150 262
42