josh-allen-bills-2.jpg
USATSI

The first Week 18 in the history of Fantasy Football is a lot like Week 17 used to be, or Week 16 before that. More than 80% of leagues are over, but there's still plenty to discuss. 

We'll break down DFS more in depth this week, and we'll start talking 2022. For those of you more interested in 2022, Jamey Eisenberg will have our early 2022 rankings published next week. For those of you interested in. beyond 2022, I'll have a full Dynasty update the week after that. And yes, for those of you playing Week 18, I have waiver wire adds below.

One thing the Week 18 rankings have in common with my 2022 rankings and my Dynasty quarterback rankings is that Josh Allen and Patrick Mahomes are first and second in both. Who ends up first is not something I'm really ready to commit to, at least in Dynasty. In Week 18 it's pretty clearly Allen because he faces the Jets and needs to win the game to win the division.

As for the future, there's a case to be made for each. For Allen, it's that he's been better this year and he was just as good as Mahomes last year. He also has more depth in his weapons, with Dawson Knox and Gabriel Davis emerging. And, of course, there are the rushing touchdowns. 

The case for Mahomes is basically that he showed upside in 2018 that Allen hasn't matched. But 2018 is now four years ago. I do also think Mahomes is less of an injury risk and at least some of Allen's rushing production is likely to decline over the next five years. For that reason, I will likely still have Mahomes No. 1 in Dynasty even if I rank Allen is No. 1 in 2022.

Let's get to the rest of the Week 18 preview:

Week 18 QB Preview
QB Preview
Numbers to know
  • 10 -- Tom Brady only needs 10 passing yards to top 5,000 for the second time in his career.
  • 69.5 -- Josh Allen has averaged 69.5 rushing yards per game in his past four games. He only averaged 35.2 in his first 12 games.
  • 3.2% -- Kyler Murray has a 3.2% touchdown rate since he returned from injury. This has plagued him without DeAndre Hopkins.
  • 21.6 -- The Falcons have allowed opposing QBs to score 21.6 FPPG. Only Washington has been worse against the position.
QB Preview
Matchups that matter
Matchups that Matter
Projections powered by Sportsline
NO New Orleans • #7
Age: 33 • Experience: 7 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
@ ATL NO -4.5 O/U 40
OPP VS QB
30th
PROJ PTS
22.3
QB RNK
9th
YTD Stats
PAYDS
871
RUYDS
356
TD
8
INT
5
FPTS/G
10.7
DAL Dallas • #15
Age: 23 • Experience: 3 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
@ LAR LAR -4 O/U 44
OPP VS QB
4th
PROJ PTS
16.2
QB RNK
12th
YTD Stats
PAYDS
603
RUYDS
168
TD
6
INT
2
FPTS/G
12.5
MIA Miami • #1
Age: 25 • Experience: 4 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
vs NE NE -7 O/U 40
OPP VS QB
2nd
PROJ PTS
13.5
QB RNK
NR
YTD Stats
PAYDS
2544
RUYDS
90
TD
18
INT
10
FPTS/G
16.5
LAR L.A. Rams
Age: 31 • Experience: 8 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
@ JAC IND -15.5 O/U 44
OPP VS QB
24th
PROJ PTS
20.7
QB RNK
15th
YTD Stats
PAYDS
3378
RUYDS
198
TD
27
INT
6
FPTS/G
18.7
QB Preview
Waiver Wire Targets
Waiver Wire/Streamers
BAL Baltimore • #2
Age: 26 • Experience: 4 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
vs PIT BAL -5.5 O/U 42
OPP VS QB
16th
QB RNK
11th
ROSTERED
33%
YTD Stats
PAYDS
940
RUYDS
222
TD
5
INT
2
FPTS/G
13.6
If Lamar Jackson remains out, Huntley would be my favorite quarterback who is widely available. Just make sure Taysom Hill or Carson Wentz isn't out there.
DAL Dallas • #15
Age: 23 • Experience: 3 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
@ LAR LAR -4 O/U 44
OPP VS QB
4th
QB RNK
12th
ROSTERED
42%
YTD Stats
PAYDS
603
RUYDS
168
TD
6
INT
2
FPTS/G
12.5
If Garoppolo remains out, Lance would be a solid QB2 against a much more difficult matchup.
QB Preview
DFS Plays
Top Play
Projections powered by Sportsline
BUF Buffalo • #17
Age: 27 • Experience: 6 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
vs NYJ BUF -16.5 O/U 43.5
OPP VS QB
28th
PROJ PTS
28.8
QB RNK
1st
YTD Stats
PAYDS
4168
RUYDS
700
TD
40
INT
15
FPTS/G
27.9
I expect Allen to torch the Jets, and there will be enough value at the other positions to pay up for him.