Kyle Larson already has punched his ticket to the Round of 12 in the NASCAR Cup Series Playoffs thanks to his win at Darlington last weekend. The 2021 series champion would like to post back-to-back victories for the first time since that stellar season when he takes part in the 2023 Hollywood Casino 400 at Kansas Speedway on Sunday. Larson captured three consecutive checkered flags during the 2021 playoffs, a streak that concluded with a victory in this race. He has finished eighth or better in each of his last four starts at Kansas, including a runner-up in May.

Larson is listed at +500, while Denny Hamlin, who won this race in 2019, is the +450 favorite in the 2023 Hollywood Casino 400 odds. Regular-season champion Martin Truex Jr. is +575 and William Byron is +650 while Christopher Bell and Tyler Reddick round out the top 2023 NASCAR at Kansas contenders at +900. The NASCAR at Kansas Round-of-16 playoff race is scheduled to begin at 3 p.m. ET. You'll want to check out the NASCAR at Kansas predictions from Micah Roberts, the legendary Vegas bookmaker who pioneered wagering on racing, before locking in any 2023 Hollywood Casino 400 picks of your own.

Roberts was the first to offer expanded NASCAR betting and now hands out NASCAR winners to his followers on SportsLine. Roberts is the nation's premier NASCAR betting expert, and his top pick, Hamlin, won the HighPoint.com 400 on July 23 at +500. He also predicted Truex's victory at +650 in the Crayon 301 the previous week and Ross Chastain's triumph at +1000 in the Ally 400 in June. In addition, Roberts correctly called Larson's win at +650 in the NASCAR All-Star Race in May and nailed the EchoPark Automotive Grand Prix winner in March by hitting Reddick's victory at +1000.

The expert also correctly predicted Chase Elliott to win the YellaWood 500 at +1200 last October and the Jockey Made in America 250 in 2021, nailed the 2021 Coca-Cola 600 winner by hitting Larson's victory at +550 and was on point by targeting Elliott as the winner of the EchoPark Texas Grand Prix at +160 the previous week. Anyone who has followed his picks has cashed ticket after ticket.

Now, Roberts has analyzed the field and odds for Sunday's NASCAR at Kansas 2023 race. He's only sharing his winner and leaderboard right here.

2023 Hollywood Casino 400 expert predictions

One shocker: Roberts is fading Tyler Reddick, even though he is one of the favorites at +900. In fact, Roberts says Reddick, who was ninth at Kansas in May and has posted top-10 finishes in five of his last eight starts, barely even cracks the top 20.

"Reddick led 23 laps or more in each of his last three starts at Kansas, but his best finish was ninth," Roberts told SportsLine. "He has recorded only three top-10s in eight races at the track." See who else to fade here.

Another curveball: Roberts is high on Ty Gibbs, even though he's a +3500 longshot in the Hollywood Casino 400 odds. The 20-year-old native of North Carolina was named this season's Rookie of the Year, but remains in search of his first Cup Series victory as he makes his 43rd start. Gibbs crashed and finished 34th in both of his previous series races at Kansas, but was successful at the track in the Xfinity Series, winning his start in 2021 and finishing third last year.

"He drives a JGR Toyota, so he's got the right brand," Roberts told SportsLine. "It's the perfect track for him... It just feels right this week." See who else to back here.

How to make 2023 Hollywood Casino 400 picks 

Roberts is high on a longshot who "was always a threat to win at Kansas." This driver is being underestimated by oddsmakers, but anyone who backs him could hit it big. You can only see who it is here.

So who wins the 2023 Hollywood Casino 400, and which longshot stuns NASCAR? Visit SportsLine now to see the projected 2023 NASCAR at Kansas leaderboard from the nation's premier NASCAR handicapper, and find out.

2023 Hollywood Casino 400 odds, field, starting grid 

See full NASCAR at Kansas picks, best bets at SportsLine
Denny Hamlin +450
Kyle Larson +500
Martin Truex Jr. +575
William Byron +650
Christopher Bell +900
Tyler Reddick +900
Bubba Wallace +1200
Ross Chastain +1300
Chris Buescher +1500
Kyle Busch +1500
Ryan Blaney +2000
Kevin Harvick +2000
Brad Keselowski +2000
Joey Logano +2000
Chase Elliott +2500
Alex Bowman +3000
Ty Gibbs +3500
Daniel Suarez +7500
Erik Jones +20000
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. +20000
A.J. Allmendinger +25000
Aric Almirola +25000
Michael McDowell +25000
Chase Briscoe +30000
Austin Cindric +30000
Austin Dillon +30000
Carson Hocevar +35000
Ryan Preece +35000
Justin Haley +45000
Harrison Burton +75000
Corey LaJoie +100000
Sheldon Creed +150000
Todd Gilliland +200000
Cole Custer +500000
Ty Dillon +500000
J.J. Yeley +500000