Kyle Busch will try to secure back-to-back wins early in the NASCAR Cup Series season when he travels to Las Vegas for the 2023 Pennzoil 400 on Sunday. Busch won the Pala Casino 400 last weekend and has finished in the top five at Las Vegas the past two years. His current form and prior success at this track have led to him being a 6-1 co-favorite with Kyle Larson in the 2023 Pennzoil 400 odds at Caesars Sportsbook. Ross Chastain and Joey Logano are also 2023 Las Vegas NASCAR contenders at 8-1 on the NASCAR odds board.

Larson won this race in 2021 and came in second place last year. He is in desperate need of a strong showing on Sunday after finishing outside the top 15 in the first two races of the season. Before scouring the 2023 Pennzoil 400 starting lineup and making any 2023 NASCAR at Las Vegas predictions, be sure to see the latest 2023 Pennzoil 400 picks from SportsLine's proven NASCAR model.

Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results.

McClure's model is off to a red-hot start this season, already nailing Martin Truex Jr.'s Clash win (20-1), Joey Logano's Duel win (8-1), and Kyle Busch's Fontana victory (10-1). It also impressively nailed five of Kyle Larson's wins during his historic season in 2021. All told, the model has nailed a whopping nine winners since 2021. Anyone who followed its lead on those NASCAR picks saw huge returns.

Now, the model simulated the 2023 Pennzoil 400 10,000 times. Head to SportsLine to see the complete projected 2023 NASCAR at Las Vegas leaderboard.

Top 2023 Pennzoil 400 predictions

One surprise: the model is high on Kevin Harvick, even though he's a 15-1 long shot in the latest 2023 NASCAR at Las Vegas odds. He's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. The veteran might be retiring at the end of the season, but he has not shown any signs of slowing down through the first two races of the campaign. He has recorded back-to-back top-15 finishes to open the season, coming in fifth place at Auto Club Speedway last week after starting tenth.

Harvick has finished fifth or better in five of his last six Cup Series seasons, making him one of the most consistent drivers in the sport. He has competed at Las Vegas Motor Speedway every year since it began hosting races in 1996, including 27 starts in the Cup Series. Harvick won in Vegas in 2015 and 2018, and the model likes his chances of adding one more victory before retirement sets in. See who else to back at SportsLine.

And a massive shocker: Ross Chastain, one of the top Vegas favorites at 8-1, stumbles big-time and doesn't even crack the top five. There are far better values in the 2023 Pennzoil 400 starting lineup. After becoming one of the most polarizing figures in the sport during a rapid rise to fame in 2022, Chastain enters the third race on the NASCAR schedule as the points-leader thanks to a pair of top-10 finishes.

However, Chastain couldn't find his way to victory lane in either of those races despite leading six laps at Daytona and a race-high 91 in Fontana last week. Despite having the most dominant car in Las Vegas last season, Chastain failed to get to victory lane in either race and had finished 20th or worse in his previous seven starts there. See which other drivers to avoid at SportsLine.

How to make 2023 NASCAR at Las Vegas picks

The model is also targeting two other drivers with 2023 NASCAR Las Vegas odds longer than 10-1 to make a serious run at the checkered flag. Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it big. You can see all of the model's NASCAR picks over at SportsLine.

So who wins the Pennzoil 400 2023? And which longshots are a must-back? Check out the latest 2023 NASCAR at Las Vegas odds below, then visit SportsLine now to see the full projected 2023 Pennzoil 400 leaderboard, all from the model that already called winners at the Clash, Duel and Pala Casino 400.

2023 Pennzoil 400 odds, lineup

See full 2023 Pennzoil 400 picks at SportsLine

Kyle Busch 6-1
Kyle Larson 6-1
Ross Chastain 8-1
Joey Logano 8-1
Martin Truex Jr. 10-1
Denny Hamlin 10-1
Ryan Blaney 10-1
Christopher Bell 12-1
William Byron 12-1
Kevin Harvick 15-1
Alex Bowman 20-1
Tyler Reddick 20-1
Daniel Suarez 25-1
Bubba Wallace 28-1
Austin Dillon 35-1
Brad Keselowski 40-1
Chase Briscoe 40-1
Erik Jones 50-1
Austin Cindric 50-1
A.J. Allmendinger 75-1
Noah Gragson 75-1
Ty Gibbs 75-1
Aric Almirola 100-1
Chris Buescher 100-1
Ryan Preece 125-1
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 125-1
Harrison Burton 250-1
Justin Haley 300-1
Michael McDowell 500-1
Corey Lajoie 750-1
Ty Dillon 1000-1
Todd Gilliland 1000-1
J.J. Yeley 2500-1
Cody Ware 2500-1
B.J. McLeod 2500-1