We are seeing some big-time movement when it comes to Super Bowl odds as we enter Week 13. It's no longer just teams moving up and down, but the odds for the favorites are beginning to see major changes as well. If you like a team like the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Kansas City Chiefs or Green Bay Packers to win it all, it may be time to place your bet, because the potential payoff keeps dropping.
The Chiefs (+550) were the early favorite to win the 2022 Super Bowl, according to Caesars Sportsbook. The Packers (+900), Buccaneers (+1100), Baltimore Ravens (+1200), Buffalo Bills (+1200) and Los Angeles Rams (+1300) followed them. Things have changed in a big way since then. Here's a breakdown of the 10 teams that currently own the best odds to win Super Bowl LVI, which will take place at SoFi Stadium in Inglewood, California, on Sunday, Feb. 13, 2022.
|Last week's odds
1. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
2. Kansas City Chiefs
3. Green Bay Packers
4. Buffalo Bills
7. Baltimore Ravens
8. Los Angeles Rams
10. Tennessee Titans
The Buccaneers are still No. 1 after Week 12, as they defeated the Indianapolis Colts, 38-31. It took a second-half comeback, but the Bucs covered the spread for the second straight game, and their Super Bowl odds moved more than I anticipated they would, from +600 to +525. Even the Chiefs saw their odds get shorter, and they were off this week. The Packers were a big climber this week, as they are now in the top three. Their 36-28 win over the Rams certainly was a statement, and there's no denying this is one of the best teams in the NFL. However, Aaron Rodgers is dealing with a toe injury that he will be hampered by all season and into the playoffs. He's playing good ball, but there's still reason to worry. The reigning MVP was limping around in the fourth quarter on Sunday. A team that continues to climb are the Patriots. In fact, they were +2500 just two weeks ago! They could be at +900 or +950 with a big win over the Bills this week. The Patriots could be a tough out in the postseason, but I still don't believe a rookie quarterback is going to restore New England to glory in Year 1.
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As for big fallers, the Rams headline this list. On Sunday morning, ESPN's Dianna Russini reported that Matthew Stafford is dealing with pain in his throwing arm, his elbow, a sore ankle and chronic back pain. He certainly looked banged-up on Sunday in the loss to Green Bay, although the defense didn't play well either. I was high on the Rams entering this season, but I have serious doubts about their potential as contenders now. Another team that fell was the Titans, but that was to be expected. They have 18 players on injured reserve including Julio Jones, A.J. Brown, Derrick Henry and Bud Dupree, and just broke the NFL record for most players used in a single season -- in just 12 games.
The Titans are supposed to return several important players towards the end of the season, so maybe we can't rule them out for a playoff run just yet. If you are one of those people interested in taking a flier on Tennessee, I would wait a few weeks. Their odds could get even longer.