NBA Finals 2019: Warriors vs. Raptors odds, Game 3 picks, predictions from model on 85-61 run

Oracle Arena in Oakland has been the epicenter of NBA Finals action in recent years, and on Wednesday it will again be the center of the basketball universe when the Golden State Warriors host the Toronto Raptors for Game 3 of the 2019 NBA Finals at 9:00 p.m. ET. The series is level at 1-1 after the Raptors took Game 1 behind big nights from Pascal Siakam and Marc Gasol. The Warriors grabbed Game 2 thanks to huge games from Draymond Green, Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson. Golden State will be without Kevin Durant (calf) and a hamstring injury late in Game 2 has created uncertainty surrounding Thompson. He has been adamant about playing through it, but he's considered a game-time decision. Golden State is a 4.5-point favorite with the total at 213.5 in the latest Warriors vs. Raptors odds. But before locking in your Warriors vs. Raptors picks for Game 3, you'll want to see the NBA Finals 2019 predictions from SportsLine's proven projection model.

The model, which simulates every game 10,000 times, is crushing its NBA picks. It entered the 2019 NBA Finals with a sterling record on its top-rated picks, returning more than $3,000 in profit to anybody following them this season. And it has been particularly red-hot on its A-rated NBA money line picks, entering the 2019 NBA Finals on a strong 85-61 run. Anybody who has followed it is way up.

Now the model has honed in on Game 3 of Warriors vs. Raptors. We can tell you it is leaning over, and it says one side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations. That pick is available only at SportsLine.

Despite the fact that the Warriors could be missing some scoring punch with Durant out and Thompson questionable, the model knows that they still have the star power to overcome it. Curry is averaging 28.5 points per game so far this postseason and Green is averaging 13.5 points, 10 rebounds and 9.5 assists per contest.

If Thompson does wind up sitting out, they could also look to Andre Iguodala, Shaun Livingston and DeMarcus Cousins to take on bigger roles offensively. And if Thompson does play and isn't 100 percent, he should still be healthy enough to stretch the floor after averaging 23 points in the first two finals games.

Those injuries, however, could take a toll and there's no guarantee Golden State will be able to cover the Warriors vs. Raptors spread in Game 3 on Wednesday. 

After holding down the Warriors for the Game 1 win, the Raptors looked like the better team at halftime of Game 2 before the wheels came off and Golden State went on an 18-0 run to open the third quarter.

But it took some far-below-average efforts from several of Toronto's standouts for Golden State to hold on. Siakam and Gasol combined to score 34 fewer points in Game 2, and Kyle Lowry has yet to get going at all, averaging just 10 points, 3.5 rebounds and 4.5 assists in this series. If that trio plays to season averages, and Kawhi Leonard -- who had 34 points and 14 rebounds in Game 2 -- does his thing, Toronto should be confident in a Game 3 bounce back. The Raptors also had the third-best road record in the NBA and the Warriors have covered just once in their last nine games following a spread win. 

So who wins Game 3 of Raptors vs. Warriors? And which side of the spread hits in well over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Raptors vs. Warriors spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that returned more than $3,000 on top-rated NBA picks this season.

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