The Week 12 NFL schedule continues Sunday and one of the early kicks is the NFC South clash between the New Orleans Saints (5-5) and Atlanta Falcons (4-6). Both teams have struggled to find consistency this season, but the division is wide open with New Orleans currently leading Atlanta and Tampa Bay by just one game. Saints quarterback Derek Carr has cleared concussion protocol and is in line to start. Atlanta has returned to Demond Ridder as its starting quarterback after briefly turning to Taylor Heinicke.

Kickoff is at 1 p.m. ET at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta. New Orleans is favored by 2 points in the latest Falcons vs. Saints odds from SportsLine consensus, and the over/under is 42 points. Before making any Saints vs. Falcons picks, you'll want to see the NFL predictions and betting advice from the proven computer simulation model at SportsLine.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up well over $7,000 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception. The model enters Week 12 of the 2023 NFL season on an incredible 175-126 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season. It is also on a 29-18 roll on top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of last season. 

The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past six years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94% of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

The model has set its sights on Saints vs. Falcons and just locked in its picks and NFL predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NFL odds betting lines for the game:

  • Falcons vs. Saints spread: Saints -2
  • Falcons vs. Saints over/under: 42 points
  • Falcons vs. Saints money line: Saints -130, Falcons +110
  • Falcons vs. Saints picks: See picks here
  • Falcons vs. Saints live stream: fubo (try for free)

What you need to know about the Falcons

The Falcons have struggled during their three-game losing streak, but this is a good spot for them to bounce back. New Orleans has a miserable 1-7-1 record against the spread as the favorite. Ridder has been more comfortable at home, completing more than 67% of his passes.

His job will be easier with star New Orleans cornerback Marshon Lattimore (ankle) ruled out. New Orleans has also struggled against the run in recent weeks, setting up a potential breakout game for Atlanta running back Bijan Robinson, who has been effective with more than 800 yards from scrimmage, but is looking to add to his total of two rushing touchdowns. See which team to pick here.

What you need to know about the Saints

Meanwhile, the Saints couldn't handle the Vikings in their Week 10 matchup, falling 27-19. The Saints got a strong effort from second year wide receiver Chris Olave, who racked up 94 receiving yards and a touchdown. Quarterback Derek Carr suffered a shoulder injury and concussion in the loss but is expected to start in this matchup. 

New Orleans is one of the best defensive teams in the NFL this season. The Saints enter this matchup ranked eighth in the league in total defense (312.7 total yards allowed per game), passing defense (199.1 yards allowed per game), and points allowed per game (19.8). Linebacker Demario Davis leads the team with 73 tackles to go along with four sacks, three pass breakups, and a forced fumble. See which team to pick here.

How to make Falcons vs. Saints picks

The model has simulated Falcons vs. Saints 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Over on the point total, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that is hitting in over 50% of simulations. You can only see the model's pick at SportsLine.

So who wins the Saints vs. Falcons matchup, and which side of the spread hits over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Falcons vs. Saints spread to back, all from the model that has returned well over $7,000 on top-rated NFL picks, and find out.