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Week 2 of the preseason was fairly uneventful up until Monday night. Then we had the Jameis Winston coming out party (starring Marquez Callaway, and injuries to Travis Etienne and Adam Trautman. While we don't have information on the severity of those injuries, we do have drafts coming up and some tough decisions will have to be made.

I'm not drafting Trautman at all and I'm not sure a clean bill of health would change that. He has not been involved in the passing game at all this preseason. Etienne should still be drafted, but I wouldn't take him until Round 9. James Robinson, on the other hand, is moving in the opposite direction.

James Robinson should be viewed as a high-end RB2

We don't know how long Travis Etienne will be out, but the truth is, he hasn't been very involved this preseason anyway. Carlos Hyde was getting more action with the first team. While that figured to change, and still could, this leaves Robinson in a similar position as last year, at least early on. He's the clear bellcow back for Jacksonville. Even on an offense that looks as miserable as the Jaguars, that makes Robinson a top-18 back worth a pick in the first three rounds. 

Verdict: Don't believe it.

Much of Robinson's value last year came from the fact that he was a true bell cow and I'm not sure that role exists in Urban Meyer's offense. Hyde looks like an actual part of the game plan, and while Robinson should still easily lead the team in touches, it won't be as big of a share as he had last year. And in the second half of the season, all of our concerns about Etienne will be there again, especially in the passing game.

Robinson is a low-end No. 2 running back who should be better than that early in the year. He's a good Round 4 pick in non-PPR and an excellent option in Round 5 in full PPR. 

Corey Davis is a target hog with the Jets 

Should Davis be drafted as a top-30 WR? Davis has played two quarters for the Jets and he has six catches for 88 yards on 10 targets. He's been targeted on 83% of his routes. Considering what the Jets paid him this offseason, it's pretty obvious that they view Davis as their No. 1 receiver who should be in line for the most targets of his career. Davis has been over eight years per target each of the past three seasons, so 120 to 130 targets could go a long way, especially if Zach Wilson continues to impress.

Verdict: Don't believe it.

There are a couple of problems with this, but the main one is that Elijah Moore hasn't played in either preseason game. Moore is fully expected to be ready for Week 1, and for most of training camp, he was talked about as New York's best offensive player. I would expect Davis to lead the team in targets, but if Moore and Jamison Crowder are both involved, I'm not sure there's actually huge target upside for Davis, who has never seen more than 112 targets in a season.

I have moved Davis into my top 40 receivers, but there's just too much upside in front of him for me to move him much higher.

Ja'Marr Chase is too rusty, set to bust at his ADP

It's been a difficult start in the NFL for Chase. First, we had reports that he couldn't separate in camp, then he dropped everything in his first preseason debut, then came reports he could lose snaps to Auden Tate early in the year. None of this should be that surprising, Chase is a rookie receiver who didn't play football in 2020. While I'm still optimistic in Dynasty, it's hard to see how he'll justify his sixth-round ADP.

Verdict: Don't believe it.

Justin Jefferson didn't play 70% of the snaps until Week 3 last year. A.J. Brown didn't play even 60% of snaps until Week 4 in 2019. They both turned out okay. And neither of them were as good as Chase in college, or landed on a team with their former quarterback. I do not care about regular season drops and I really don't care about preseason drops. They only matter if the quarterback stops throwing to a guy because of them, that seems unlikely with Joe Burrow

Due to expectations of a slow start I have dropped Chase from WR20 to WR25. Maybe I was a little too optimistic. I still 100% believe a finish like Jefferson or Brown had is possible for Chase. And I'm still happy to draft Chase in Round 6.

Jaylen Waddle is the Dolphins' No. 1 WR

And is he a high-upside WR3 in Fantasy? Well let's break it down. There was a rookie wide receiver who had a good week, that was Waddle. He was featured heavily in the Dolphins' first-team game plan, largely because he's the only Dolphins first-team receiver who can get on the field. His connection with Tua Tagovailoa is obvious as is Miami's intent on manufacturing touches for him. While he's still behind Chase, they are moving in opposite directions.

Verdict: Believe it.

Will Fuller hasn't practiced for three weeks and Devante Parker has once again struggled to stay on the field. Both are expected back by Week 1, but of course Fuller still has to serve that Week 1 suspension. Waddle has played more games with Tagovailoa than either of them and has spent a lot more time practicing with him. He's also a special talent who we knew had big upside, we just weren't sure he was ready to contribute as a rookie. He looks ready. Waddle is worth a pick as early as Round 7 now.

Myles Gaskin is a solid No. 2 RB with top-12 PPR upside

We'll keep this short because we broke it down last week. Thankfully, the Dolphins acted more like they knew Gaskin was their back in Week 2, and he looked as spry as ever. He will share touches, and that's why he's not a top-12 running back, but he's a solid No. 2 with top-12 upside.

Verdict: Believe it.

The Dolphins were very good about using their best back last year, regardless of pedigree. And when Gaskin was healthy, that was him. Maybe expect a little more sharing than we saw last year, but that's okay because Gaskin averaged more than 100 yards per game in his final eight games. There's room to come down from that and still be a very good pick in Round 4.