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USATSI

It has not been a great season for streaming quarterbacks. In fact, it's been pretty awful. But twice Tua Tagovailoa has come through for us, and we're expecting he'll make it a third in Week 11. So much so, that I'm comfortable starting him over Aaron Rodgers, Russell Wilson and Jalen Hurts. But that isn't all about Tagovailoa.

For Wilson and Hurts, it's pretty easy to see why. Volume concerns. Wilson's Seahawks are running a league-worst 56 plays per game and they've been run-heavy to boot. Speaking of run-heavy, Hurts hasn't attempted even 25 passes in a game since Week 7 and he's only topped 30 attempts once since Week 5.

Rodgers is a bit more complicated. He has had three pretty bad games this season. The miserable game against the Saints in Week 1, the game he played without Davante Adams, and his return last week. While it's easy to make excuses for those bad games, it's also true that he has more bad weeks than top-six weeks this season. 

There are adjustments made throughout the week and I wouldn't be surprised if Rodgers moves up a few spots by the end of the week. But people making waiver claims can't wait too long. And waivers are pretty complicated.

Cam Newton is projected at 17th and won't likely rank inside my top-12 quarterbacks this week. But in most situations he'd be my favorite quarterback to add, especially if Tagovailoa is already rostered. Because if Cam looks good this week, you may just have yourself a must-start quarterback, I still believe he has that kind of upside. 

Let's get to the rest of the Week 11 preview:

Week 11 QB Preview
QB Preview
Numbers to know
  • 18 -- Jalen Hurts pass attempts per game the past three weeks.
  • 23.3 -- Tua Tagovailoa has averaged 23.3 FPPG in his four complete games.
  • 5 -- Ryan Tannehill has five rush attempts inside the 5-yard line. Among QBs, only Jalen Hurts and Lamar Jackson have more.
  • 26 -- Justin Fields has 26 rush attempts in his past three games. If he has success against Baltimore,  we may be looking at an emerging top-12 QB.
  • 11.7 -- The Bills are allowing 11.7 FPPG to opposing QBs. That's 20% better than any other defense.
  • 19.9% -- Nearly a fifth of Baker Mayfield's throws have been graded bad throws by Pro Football Reference, the highest mark for an active non-rookie this season.
  • 6.1% -- Mike White has been intercepted on more than six percent of his pass attempts. No matter who starts for the Jets, you should start the Dolphins defense.
  • 0 -- Russell Wilson's Seahawks were shut out for the first time in his career as a starter.
QB Preview
Matchups that matter
Matchups that Matter
Projections powered by Sportsline
CLE Cleveland • #6
Age: 26 • Experience: 4 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
vs DET CLE -10 O/U 44.5
OPP VS QB
20th
PROJ PTS
17.8
QB RNK
20th
YTD Stats
PAYDS
1990
RUYDS
80
TD
10
INT
4
FPTS/G
15.6
SF San Francisco • #10
Age: 30 • Experience: 8 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
vs LAR LAR -3.5 O/U 50
OPP VS QB
4th
PROJ PTS
1.1
QB RNK
17th
YTD Stats
PAYDS
1754
RUYDS
33
TD
11
INT
5
FPTS/G
17.9
IND Indianapolis • #2
Age: 29 • Experience: 6 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
@ BUF BUF -7 O/U 49
OPP VS QB
1st
PROJ PTS
14.5
QB RNK
9th
YTD Stats
PAYDS
2378
RUYDS
120
TD
18
INT
3
FPTS/G
20.5
MIA Miami • #1
Age: 23 • Experience: 2 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
@ NYJ MIA -3 O/U 45
OPP VS QB
18th
PROJ PTS
21
QB RNK
NR
YTD Stats
PAYDS
1198
RUYDS
62
TD
10
INT
5
FPTS/G
17.7
TEN Tennessee • #17
Age: 33 • Experience: 10 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
vs HOU TEN -10.5 O/U 45
OPP VS QB
24th
PROJ PTS
26.5
QB RNK
16th
YTD Stats
PAYDS
2358
RUYDS
169
TD
17
INT
8
FPTS/G
19.3
SEA Seattle • #3
Age: 33 • Experience: 10 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
vs ARI ARI -2.5 O/U 50
OPP VS QB
8th
PROJ PTS
18.7
QB RNK
11th
YTD Stats
PAYDS
1357
RUYDS
100
TD
11
INT
3
FPTS/G
20.7
QB Preview
Waiver Wire Targets
Waiver Wire/Streamers
CAR Carolina • #1
Age: 32 • Experience: 11 year
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
vs WAS CAR -3 O/U 43
OPP VS QB
32nd
QB RNK
15th
ROSTERED
59%
YTD Stats
PAYDS
8
RUYDS
14
TD
2
INT
0
FPTS/G
13.7
Looking at the numbers, Newton's next matchups are very favorable. He's surrounded by a good cast and he has a coaching staff creative enough to maximize his skills. There's plenty of risk, but it doesn't outweigh the upside.
MIA Miami • #1
Age: 23 • Experience: 2 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
@ NYJ MIA -3.5 O/U 44.5
OPP VS QB
17th
QB RNK
8th
ROSTERED
57%
YTD Stats
PAYDS
1198
RUYDS
62
TD
10
INT
5
FPTS/G
17.7
I do prefer Tagovailoa over Newton just for this week, but I don't believe he has the same upside and I'm probably not starting him next week against Carolina, so it's more of a one-game stream situation.
SF San Francisco • #10
Age: 30 • Experience: 8 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
@ JAC SF -6.5 O/U 45
OPP VS QB
10th
QB RNK
16th
ROSTERED
52%
YTD Stats
PAYDS
2059
RUYDS
258
TD
10
INT
5
FPTS/G
17.8
There's a pretty big drop-off for me after Tagovailoa and Newton. Garoppolo has a Newton-esque projection this week without any of the long-term upside. But I would rather start Garoppolo than Matt Ryan or Carson Wentz.
One To Stash
CHI Chicago • #1
Age: 22 • Experience: Rookie
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
vs BAL BAL -4.5 O/U 45
OPP VS QB
18th
QB RNK
17th
ROSTERED
44%
YTD Stats
PAYDS
1282
RUYDS
288
TD
6
INT
8
FPTS/G
10.6
Fields was the No. 3 QB in Fantasy scoring in Weeks 8-9, so it's possible he's turned the corner. As you can see from the projections below, I want to see one more week before I buy in. But I do want him on my roster.
QB Preview
DFS Plays
Top Play
Projections powered by Sportsline
BAL Baltimore • #8
Age: 25 • Experience: 4 yrs.
Weekly Breakdown
MATCHUP
@ CHI BAL -6 O/U 45.5
OPP VS QB
21st
PROJ PTS
23.8
QB RNK
1st
YTD Stats
PAYDS
2447
RUYDS
639
TD
16
INT
8
FPTS/G
26.6
Yes, Week 10 was gross, but I wouldn't expect a repeat. I have Jackson and Josh Allen very close in the projections, so the price difference is what makes the difference. Plus, it's easier to stack a Ravens defense because the opponents might actually have some success.

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