Tua Tagovailoa, Justin Fields, Kyler Murray, and Trevor Lawrence were all drafted to be must-start Fantasy options when healthy this season. As we enter Week 16, all four sit outside of the top 12 QBs in terms of Fantasy points per game. That in itself doesn't necessarily mean you should sit them, but you at least have to consider the case.
Fields is my highest ranked and the guy whose low ranking is easiest to explain. He only played 53% of the snaps and scored just five Fantasy points in Week 6 against the Vikings. Last week he lost four points on Hail Mary INTs, and a lot more than that if you think Darnell Mooney should have caught one of them for a touchdown. He's facing a Cardinals defense that has allowed the fifth-most FPPG to QBs so I'm comfortably starting Fields this week.
Tagovailoa also cracks my top 12, as long as Tyreek Hill is available. Tagovailoa has thrown for at least 300 yards or three-plus TDs in every healthy home game he's played with a healthy Hill. While it's easy to say that you should sit the Dolphins QB if Hill is out again, it will get complicated if Hill doesn't practice and is a true game-time decision.
Murray is the one QB out of this group I'm sitting in one-QB leagues. It has been a struggle for Murray in his return from injury. His 5.8 AY/A and 78.4 passer rating are both career lows. He's also facing a Bears defense that has only allowed one QB to top 20 Fantasy points since Week 9. Did I mention that the game is in Chicago where the forecast calls for cold and rainy conditions?
Lawrence doesn't show up in our projections because he's in the concussion protocol. If he does play, he'll do it without two of his top three receivers, but also against one of the best matchups in Fantasy. He had scored 23 or more Fantasy points in four straight games last week, so he will likely project as a starter in this matchup if he's cleared. But for now, you have to plan to be without him and I have a low-rostered waiver wire replacement for you below.
Heath's Week 16 Previews: QB | RB | WR | TE
My full set of projections for quarterback and every other position can be found at SportsLine. Here's everything else you need to know about quarterback in Week 16:
Week 16 QB Preview
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Numbers to know
- 18 -- The Ravens have only allowed three quarterbacks all season to score more than 18 Fantasy points. This will be the biggest test Brock Purdy has faced yet.
- 15.0 -- Tua Tagovailoa has scored 15 or fewer Fantasy points in three of his last four games.
- 26 -- The Jaguars have allowed 26 or more Fantasy points to four of the past six quarterbacks they have faced. Baker Mayfield is a good start.
- 66% -- Nick Mullens has completed 66% of his passes in his career and 76% this season. That type of accuracy with Justin Jefferson, Jordan Addison, and T.J. Hockenson will play even in a one-QB league.
- 256 -- Kyler Murray has yet to top 256 yards passing in a game this season and he still doesn't have a game with multiple passing touchdowns.
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Heath's projections
My full set of Week 16 Fantasy Football projections for every position are now available on SportsLine. Find out which of my favorite plays are projected to score higher than consensus rankings and which don't live up to their draft hype, at least in Week 16. Projected stats for all starting quarterbacks are available, so be sure to check out the full set of projections at SportsLine.
