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Despite the fact that the New York Yankees sit 17 games ahead of the Baltimore Orioles in the AL East standings, the two teams were trending in very different directions prior to the MLB All-Star break. New York had lost seven of its last 10 games before the Midsummer Classic, while Baltimore had won 11 of 13 to get back into the AL Wild Card picture. Now the two rivals will go head-to-head on Friday in what will already be their 14th matchup of the season. New York will send Jameson Taillon (10-2, 3.86 ERA) to the mound on Friday, while Baltimore will start Tyler Wells (7-5, 3.38 ERA).

First pitch is set for 7:05 p.m. ET at Camden Yards in Baltimore. New York is listed as a -155 favorite (risk $155 to win $100) on the money line in the latest Orioles vs. Yankees odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the over-under for total runs scored is nine. Before making any Yankees vs. Orioles picks, be sure to check out the latest MLB predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times, and it is 280-240 on top-rated MLB money-line picks since the start of the 2021 season, returning over $500 for $100 players. This is the same model that pegged the 2021 Atlanta Braves at 10-1 as one of three best bets to win it all last season. Anybody who has followed it has seen profitable returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Orioles vs. Yankees, and just revealed its coveted picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine to see all of the model's MLB picks. Here are several MLB odds and betting lines for Yankees vs. Orioles:

  • Orioles vs. Yankees money line: New York -155, Baltimore +130
  • Orioles vs. Yankees run-line: Baltimore +1.5 (-120)
  • Orioles vs. Yankees over-under: 9 runs 
  • NYY: The Yankees have won eight of their last 10 head-to-head matchups against Baltimore 
  • BAL: The Orioles are +1433 on the money line for the season
  • Orioles vs. Yankees picks: See picks at SportsLine.
Featured Game | Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees

Why you should back the Yankees

Taillon will take the mound for the Yankees and the 30-year-old veteran has been peppering the strike zone this season to great effect. He's only walked 1.1 batters per nine innings this season to lead the American League and has an impressive 82-12 strikeout-to-walk ratio while posting a 10-2 record with a 3.86 ERA.

Meanwhile, despite losing seven of their last 10 games before the break, the Yankees continue to be red-hot offensively in July. They've already had five games where they've scored 10 runs or more and have scored five runs or more in 12 of the 17 contests they've played. The Yankees lead Major League Baseball with a +196 run differential on the season and are 9-4 with a +13 run differential against the Orioles this year.

Why you should back the Orioles

The Orioles got back into the thick of things with a 10-game winning streak earlier this month and after losing two of three just before the break, they'll be hoping to find the momentum again to start the second half. Ryan Mountcastle, Austin Hays and Anthony Santander have been the most consistent offensive threats for Baltimore this season but the team still ranks just 10th in the AL in runs scored (386) and 11th in OPS (.688).

Luckily, the pitching staff has been rounding into form and has been dominant at times during the month of July. Baltimore has a 3.46 team ERA and a 1.13 WHIP while striking out 9.3 batters per nine innings in the month of July. Wells will take the mound on Friday and he's been the most consistent pitcher in Baltimore's starting rotation. He's had two starts against the Yankees this year, going five innings and giving up two runs in both outings.

How to make Yankees vs. Orioles picks

SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total, projecting 9.6 combined runs. It also says one side of the money line has all the value. You can only get the model's MLB picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Orioles vs. Yankees? And which side has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its MLB picks, and find out.