No. 2 Washington returns to the College Football Playoffs for the first time since the 2016 college football season but is seeking its first CFP victory when it faces No. 3 Texas in the 2024 Sugar Bowl on Monday night. Texas (12-1) plays in its first CFP in program history and looks to reverse a poor trend for Big 12 teams in the CFP. The Big 12 is 1-5 in the CFP entering a matchup against Washington (13-0). The Pac-12 also only has one victory in the CFP, with the conference going 1-2 over its first two appearances.

The game is scheduled to kick off at 8:45 pm. ET from the Caesars Superdome in New Orleans. The Longhorns are 4-point favorites, according to the latest Washington vs. Texas odds via SportsLine consensus, while the over/under is 62.5 points. Before making any Texas vs. Washington picks or Sugar Bowl predictions, you need to see the college football predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's Jimmie Kaylor

Kaylor is a NFL, college football and DFS expert for SportsLine, who has covered the NFL and college football for close to a decade as a member of the Pro Football Writers of America. His background as a former college football All-American and NFL player gives him a unique perspective when building his fantasy lineups and locking in his betting picks. He has his finger on the pulse of the college football landscape and has been cashing in big for the last two years. 

Kaylor has been red-hot all season, going 92-35-2 overall on his college football best bets for SportsLine this season so far. He is up 54.8 units, returning a profit of $5,480 for $100 bettors. Anyone who has followed his picks this season is way up.

Now Kaylor has dialed in on Texas vs. Washington in the CFP semifinal and just revealed his coveted picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see his picks. Here are the college football odds and betting lines for the 2024 Sugar Bowl:

  • Washington vs. Texas spread: Texas -4
  • Washington vs. Texas over/under: 62.5 points 
  • Washington vs. Texas money line: Washington +148, Texas -178
  • Washington vs. Texas picks: See picks at SportsLine
  • Washington vs. Texas live stream: fubo (try for free)

Why Texas can cover

Texas established itself as a legitimate national title contender early in the season when it went on the road and beat Alabama by double digits in September. The Longhorns beat Texas Tech and Oklahoma State by a combined score of 106-28 in their most recent games, improving to 4-2 against the spread in their last six games. Sophomore quarterback Quinn Ewers has completed 70.7% of his passes for 3,161 yards, 21 touchdowns and six interceptions this season.

The Longhorns also have an elite rushing attack, with freshman running back CJ Baxter rushing for 595 yards and four touchdowns. Their defense has been outstanding as well, ranked No. 13 in points allowed per game this season. Washington has not been nearly as dominant this season, with eight of its last nine victories coming by single digits, and Texas has covered the spread in four of its last five postseason games. See which team to pick here.

Why Washington can cover

The Huskies' 13-0 season featured five wins over ranked programs, including two victories over Oregon en route to winning the Pac-12 Championship. Washington quarterback Michael Penix Jr. led the nation in passing at 4,218 yards while throwing 33 touchdowns compared to seven interceptions. He threw for more than 400 yards three times and surpassed 300 yards in two of his final four games, including completing 27 of 39 passes (69.2%) for 319 yards with a touchdown and an interception in a 34-31 win over Oregon in the Pac-12 Championship Game.

Rome Odunze, a 6-foot-3 junior, had at least 100 receiving yards in each of the final four games of the season and was third in college football in receiving yards (1,428) while scoring 13 touchdowns. Dillon Johnson rushed for 1,113 yards and 14 touchdowns with some of his biggest games coming against the toughest competition. Johnson rushed for 152 yards and two touchdowns in the Pac-12 Championship Game, reaching the 100-yard mark in both matchups against the Ducks. Washington averaged 37.7 points per game, the 10th most in college football, and with playmakers all over the field, it'll be a challenging unit for Texas to contain. See which team to pick here.

How to make Texas vs. Washington picks

Kaylor has analyzed Texas vs. Washington from every angle and he's leaning Over on the point total. He has also discovered a critical X-factor that has him jumping all over one side of the spread. He's only sharing what it is, and which side to back, at SportsLine.

So who wins Washington vs. Texas in the 2024 Sugar Bowl CFP semifinal, and what critical x-factor makes one side of the spread a must back? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to jump on, all from the expert on a 92-35 roll on his college football best bets, and find out.