Editor's note: FanDuel.com is hosting a one-week long $350,000 Fantasy Football contest for Week 5. It's only $10 to join and first prize is $30,000. Starts Sunday, October 5th at 1 p.m. ET. Enter now to play with Dave.
This week's confidence scale is based on the best game show hosts of all-time, according to me, because playing for big bucks and fabulous prizes can make anyone quite confident.
Robinson, The Weakest Link. Annoying and unlikeable,
like a Fantasy writer who went hog wild touting Kirk Cousins last week.
2. John Davidson, Hollywood Squares. Seemed phony. In fact, I'd rather link to an episode without Davidson.
3. Bert Convy, Super Password. Remembered more for his fro than for his hosting skills.
4. Bill Cullen, Too many game shows to name. Cullen was the jack of all game shows, master of none.
5. Dick Clark, The $100,000 Pyramid. On the Bandstand, on New Years and with Ed McMahon, Clark was fantastic. On the Pyramid, he was smooth but not at his very best. And where did he go when the show was over anyway?!
6. Peter Tomarken, Press Your Luck. He's synonymous with arguably the best game show of the late '80s. I used to fake sick to get out of school just to see the Whammy. The Michael Larson episode was fantastic.
7. Gene Rayburn, Match Game. Extremely entertaining and hardly at a loss for words. And that male contestant looks familiar.
8. Richard Dawson, Family Feud. It's hard to grade him just on the Feud when he also was such a smash sensation in The Running Man , where he basically played himself.
9. Pat Sajak, Wheel of Fortune. Not only the host of the nation's most-watched game show, but also a die-hard White Sox fan. I know first hand that he doesn't play Fantasy Football.
10. Bob Barker, The Price Is Right. Legend. And, you know what website you're reading this on, right?
Find all the mystery prizes in the above videos? In that case ... Week 5, come on dowwwwn!!
Buccaneers at Saints, Sun., 1 p.m. ET
It looks like Terron Armstead will be back in his spot at left tackle after leaving last week with a concussion. That will especially help Drew Brees, who might have otherwise not had as much time to throw downfield, since the Bucs could have gone with Michael Johnson one-on-one with backup Bryce Harris for four quarters. The Bucs had five sacks of Ben Roethlisberger last week, so protecting Brees will be a huge emphasis for the Saints.
Mike Glennon (5.7): Glennon is up to two touchdowns in five of seven road games, including one such outing last year in a loss at New Orleans. The Saints still don't have an interception this year and own just five sacks in four games. He's a sleeper I'd start over Tom Brady this week.
Drew Brees (8.6): We haven't seen a monster game from Brees yet this season, but this might be it. The Buccaneers have allowed 22-plus Fantasy points to three of four quarterbacks this season, including Derek Anderson. Over the last two weeks, Matt Ryan and Ben Roethlisberger averaged 29.0 Fantasy points against them. Brees should do well.
Doug Martin (6.3): Take away his touchdown last week and he had 56 total yards on 16 touches, despite playing 60 percent of the snaps. He's really not that enticing of a Fantasy option since he appears to be touchdown dependent, based on his 3.37 rushing average over his last 150 carries. In his favor is a Saints run defense that has been devastated in three of four games this season, though the one they were good in was at the Superdome.
Bobby Rainey (3.9): With five touches, Rainey was barely there in the Bucs win last week, despite playing 40 percent of the snaps. The matchup is favorable for him, but just how much work will he get?
Khiry Robinson (6.7): We're still waiting on that touchdown for Robinson, as he's posted pretty nice rushing totals the last two weeks. With Gerald McCoy back in the middle of that defensive line, it could be hard for Robinson to come through with a great stat line. He'll probably be close to how he's been the past few games -- anywhere from 80 to 100 total yards.
Travaris Cadet (4.6): The pass catching back did a nice job last week and should get a shot to keep up his job as the pass-catching back for the Saints ahead of Pierre Thomas. Enough to start in PPR leagues? Perhaps as a bye-week replacement.
Pierre Thomas (3.3): Is this the beginning of the end for Thomas, who played on 38 percent of the snaps last week and had two targets to Cadet's six? He's a risky choice this week.
Vincent Jackson (7.1): It's another good matchup for Jackson, who takes on a defense that allowed three touchdowns to receivers last week and at least one to heavily-targeted receivers in three of four weeks. Two big negatives: Jackson has gone scoreless in three straight against the Saints and there's no Mike Evans to balance the Saints' coverage away from him.
Brandin Cooks (6.3): We just saw the Buccaneers struggle with the quick, shifty Antonio Brown, allowing gobs of yardage and two touchdowns. The week before it was Julio Jones crunching them. It would behoove the Saints to try something similar with the fleet-footed Cooks, who was utilized in a number of ways last week, even though the final stat line wasn't very appealing. The hunch here is that Brees finds ways to use him.
Marques Colston (5.85): He's older and slower, but it's clear that Drew Brees still believes in him. On one play last week Brees threw at Colston in double coverage. And for whatever it's worth, Colston has at least eight Fantasy points in every game he's caught a ball in. Tampa Bay has allowed seven total touchdowns to receivers through four games.
Austin Seferian-Jenkins (5.1): I don't think this will be a breakout game for ASJ because the Saints have been competent against tight ends, but continue to keep tabs on him. Last week he had seven targets.
Jimmy Graham (9.7): The Buccaneers allowed 10 catches for 85 yards and a touchdown to Heath Miller last week. Back in Week 1 they gave up 83 yards on eight catches and a score to Greg Olsen. Graham should do at least as well as those guys.
Buccaneers (4.3): Fantasy Rule No. 131: Never trust a less-than-elite DST at the Superdome.
Saints (6.5): In Week 3, the Saints defense held the Vikings to under 300 total yards and nine points. The Bucs have averaged 18.0 points and 290.8 total yards per game so far, which makes the Saints start-worthy as a streaming choice, but don't expect a complete shutdown.
Bills at Lions, Sun., 1 p.m. ET
We knew the second the Bills signed Kyle Orton that EJ Manuel's leash would be short. Sure enough, the Bills don't want a chance at a division title slip away, so the move to Orton was elementary. A career 60 percent passer, Orton tends to play favorites with his receivers, which should be a big plus for Sammy Watkins. A big minus, however, is taking on a red-hot Lions defense in Week 5. The Lions have 10 sacks and are allowing a league low 267.2 total yards per game.
Bonus fun fact: Bills defensive coordinator Jim Schwartz previously served as the Lions head coach, which probably means the Lions offensive players will be awfully familiar with the schemes the Bills defense will put out there.
Kyle Orton (4.9): This is a tough opening act considering the Lions' outstanding pass defense. Motown has held every opposing quarterback to one touchdown so far this season.
Matthew Stafford (9.0): Three of four quarterbacks have thrown for 250-plus yards on the Bills (all have topped 240 yards) and two quarterbacks have hit two touchdowns (Jay Cutler and Philip Rivers have, Ryan Tannehill, Ryan Fitzpatrick did not). Stafford's a no-brainer.
Fred Jackson (5.5): Jackson once again played more than C.J. Spiller last week but didn't have as many touches. He's still the preferred passing downs player and has nine more catches and 14 more targets than Spiller. It's worth noting that the Lions are allowing an impressive 3.4 yards per carry but a gaudy 11.3 yards per catch to running backs. I wouldn't use him if I could help it.
C.J. Spiller (5.4): The Lions run defense looks too good to trust Spiller to do any better than the eight Fantasy points or less he's provided in the last three weeks. Maybe Chris Johnson's 35-yard touchdown run last week is a glimmer of hope, but that's one bad play out of dozens of good ones by a very good Lions run defense.
Reggie Bush (7.05): Bush might find himself with a big workload against the Bills since Joique Bell and Theo Riddick have been ruled out. Bush has posted 10 games with nine-plus Fantasy points in his last 14 games with at least 15 touches (he's 1 for 3 this year). Look for that kind of number this week, especially since it looks like Bills defenders Kyle Williams and Nigel Bradham won't play.
Sammy Watkins (6.9): Bank on an uptick in stats from Watkins with Orton under center, as he's more accurate and willing to throw to Watkins -- at least in theory. Watkins is the Bills best receiver, after all. Expect him to serve as a No. 2 receiver, but don't rule out a very good game from Watkins considering the likelihood of Buffalo playing from behind.
Calvin Johnson (8.55): There's truth to the news that Megatron was a megadecoy last week against the Jets. He did not run very well at all and only played 57 percent of the snaps. It's possible that the same thing could happen this week but Johnson just has too much upside to pass up, especially against a bad Bills pass defense.
Golden Tate (6.2): We're due for a Tate touchdown after he's caught 24 of 31 passes for 317 yards (less than 30 fewer yards than Johnson). It's possible given the Bills secondary and how they've fared against speedy receivers like Tate. He's worth the risk as a low-end No. 2/high-end No. 3 wideout.
Scott Chandler (4.7): I would not be the least bit surprised to see Chandler pick up some targets with Orton under center, as the veteran has a decent track record of utilizing his tight end. Enough to use in Week 5? Only as a low-end bye-week replacement.
Eric Ebron (5.3): You've got to love the three catches on four targets for 36 yards and a touchdown, his first in his first game with meaningful playing time. Consistency will be a factor with him in Fantasy, but he'll absolutely stress the defense when he's running downfield at the same time as the Lions receivers. Use him if you're in a pinch in Week 5.
Bills (3.5): They might come up with a sack or two and perhaps an interception of Matthew Stafford, but it's hard to figure they'll slow down the Lions offense.
Lions (8.3): The Lions DST is likable to begin with, but you throw in Kyle Orton taking over the Bills offense and you have a shot at some numbers.
Falcons at Giants, Sun., 1 p.m. ET
It's beginning to look like 2013 all over again for the Falcons. Last week they suffered three offensive line injuries, including a very serious one for center Joe Hawley. They also watched as their defense got annihilated by the incomparable trio of Matt Asiata, Jerick McKinnon and rookie Teddy Bridgewater (with special guest Jarius Wright). If the Falcons can't protect Matt Ryan effectively and also can't hold down opposing offenses, the season will be wasted. Don't expect a quick turnaround in these areas against the Giants in Week 5.
Matt Ryan (8.1): Expect a solid game from Ryan, who might need to scale back his deep tosses given the lack of protection his offensive line will be able to give.
Eli Manning (8.0): So far this season the Falcons have held every opposing quarterback they've faced to one total touchdown, in part because they've been so bad against the run that they've given up eight touchdowns to running backs. The streak ends here as Manning will continue to flourish in a new offense that he still needs experience in.
Steven Jackson (4.0): Forget about the limited amount of touches he gets each week (12.5 carries per game on average) or the matchup he has against the Giants (which isn't bad). How is he going to pick up yardage behind a tattered offensive line?!
Rashad Jennings (9.1): One link should sell you on Jennings against the Falcons: This one.
Andre Williams (3.8): Remember how last week Williams got a bunch of snaps in garbage time thanks to the Giants getting out to a huge lead? And remember how Jerick McKinnon had a lot of second-half work to help grind down the clock against the Falcons? Two big reasons why Williams carries value as a sleeper this week.
Julio Jones (9.1): There's some concern that the Falcons bad O-line could impact the productivity of the receivers but it's not worth risking sitting Jones for.
Roddy White (6.8): Did much better than expected last week, despite catching four of 14 targets. The Giants should be content using single coverage on White, so there's a chance he'll keep the good stats coming as a low-end No. 2 receiver.
Victor Cruz (8.4): A week after seeing Jarius Wright take short passes for long distances the Giants have to be conjuring up ways of setting Cruz free. Expect a lot of salsa.
Rueben Randle (5.8): Randle shouldn't be expected to get double digits but should come close given the matchup. He's had at least eight Fantasy points in two of his last three games and 10 targets in each of his last two games.
Larry Donnell (8.4): Don't expect Donnell to suddenly slow down because defenses are still scared to overcompensate for him and leave Cruz free. Donnell's averaging nearly eight targets and over six catches per game and is a constant in the red zone for the G-men. The Falcons have been decent against tight ends, holding Jimmy Graham to eight catches and 82 yards back in Week 1. Donnell will be better in PPR leagues than standard leagues this week.
Falcons (2.6): Face it: The Giants have become one of the most dangerous offenses in the early going. It's tough to expect them to suddenly falter against the Falcons.
Giants (6.75): Would you believe that two of the last three DSTs to play the Falcons have finished as Top 12 options? Would you believe the Giants DST has finished as at least tied for the 12th best in standard scoring leagues in each of the last three weeks?
Ravens at Colts, Sun., 1 p.m. ET
The Colts have looked unstoppable over the last two weeks against the Jaguars and Titans. The Ravens defense should be a different story. Baltimore ranks 24th against the pass but have allowed just three passing touchdowns. Baltimore also ranks seventh against the run with just two touchdowns allowed. This is a big test for the Colts offense and specifically Andrew Luck.
Joe Flacco (7.0): Expect Flacco to throw a bunch in this one, making him a sleeper for Week 5 and a definite replacement for Tom Brady. Three of four quarterbacks to face the Colts (including Blake Bortles) have posted at least 19 Fantasy points.
Andrew Luck (8.5): Only one quarterback -- Andy Dalton -- has found 20 Fantasy points against the Ravens. Much is expected of Luck and it has been great to see him throw a bunch of touchdowns lately, but this will be a tough challenge for him. Start him with good expectations but don't expect him to finish as the No. 1 quarterback in Week 5.
Justin Forsett (6.1): Ravens offensive coordinator Gary Kubiak has had success running the ball against the Colts going back to his days with the Texans, though 2013 was an exception. This time around the matchup is solid and Forsett is the Ravens' best all-around back.
Lorenzo Taliaferro (5.8): Three of the four running back touchdowns scored on the Colts so far this season have come from 3 yards or closer -- that's Taliaferro's territory.
Ahmad Bradshaw (6.9): Bradshaw's numbers have been saved by receiving touchdowns in each of the last three weeks -- it's hard to believe he'll keep catching them. He's had 13 or fewer carries in every game and 11 touches or less in each of the Colts' last two (both blowout wins). It seems unlikely he'll take on a bigger workload but even if he does, it will come against a tougher opponent than the ones he's faced to date. Only two backs this season have posted double-digits in Fantasy points against the Ravens, none more than 11 in standard leagues. Be wary of a step back.
Trent Richardson (3.7): The Ravens are stout against the run and Richardson doesn't seem to have the look of a player who will benefit from garbage time this week. Keep him benched.
Steve Smith (8.5): No receiver is hotter, and no one is more due for a letdown. But I wouldn't expect it this week, even with the Colts allowing so-so numbers to receivers this season. Kubiak has a really nice track record of attacking the Colts secondary with his top receiver, doing so as recently as last season with the Texans. No one is sitting Smith.
Torrey Smith (4.7): Finally, Smith scored on a long throw last week. In fact, both of his catches in Week 4 were 20-plus-yard receptions. The Ravens will continue to dial up shots downfield for Smith -- it's a matter of whether or not he comes down with them. He's a decent choice as a third receiver, even though he ranks outside of my Top 36 this week.
Reggie Wayne (7.9): Wayne made me look like a fool last week, picking up 7 of 8 targets for over 100 yards and a touchdown. The sense this week is that Wayne will be needed and the volume will be there. Top outside receivers have scored on the Ravens in three of four games. He's a good starting choice.
T.Y. Hilton (5.9): Reasons to start Hilton: He has 10 or more targets in three of four games, including last week. He's had at least 80 yards in each of the last two weeks. Reasons to sit Hilton: The Ravens pass defense has been pretty good, holding opponents to one receiving touchdown or less through four games. And Hilton, for all his appeal, is very much a boom-or-bust candidate. I still feel better about him than I do Torrey Smith or Wes Welker.
Hakeem Nicks (4.4): Nicks is still playing a decent amount (61 percent of snaps last week) but isn't getting an abundance of targets. He's become a touchdown-dependent receiver on a team that uses almost everyone to catch touchdowns. And he's playing a defense that's been good at holding receivers out of the end zone. Don't use him.
Owen Daniels (6.7): It wouldn't be shocking to see Daniels get a season-high in targets (more than six) and deliver a good game. Prominent tight ends have earned at least eight Fantasy points in three of four games against Indy.
Dwayne Allen (6.3): Allen has scored in three of four, an unsustainable pace. The Ravens are the best in the league at holding tight ends to low Fantasy point totals, cracking down on Heath Miller and Greg Olsen among others. I wouldn't use Allen unless you didn't have another choice.
Coby Fleener (5.5): Fleener has been nearly as prolific as Allen, posting touchdowns in consecutive games. Surprisingly, he's also played at least half of the snaps for the Colts in those games.
Ravens (4.5): They haven't been a great defense for Fantasy owners even though they're holding opponents to 15.0 points per game -- by comparison the Colts have been better. Don't chance it with them against Luck & Co.
Colts (4.7): Maybe you're in a deep league and you want to hold on to the Colts to use them at Houston in Week 6. That's fine, just don't expect another whopper of a game like the Colts have given you the last two weeks.
Rams at Eagles, Sun., 1 p.m. ET
To call the Rams defense disappointing is a major understatement. Armed with what was expected to be the best defensive line in football, St. Louis has totaled one whole sack in three games. They also rank a stunning 30th against the run! The Eagles offensive line is still a concern even with Lane Johnson coming back to play right tackle. If the Rams' defensive front can't make progress against the Eagles, then clearly it's going to be a problem all season.
Austin Davis (5.5): There's a part of me that wants to tout Davis as a big-time sleeper. After all, the Eagles have allowed every quarterback they've faced to toss multiple touchdowns and total at least 20 Fantasy points. Davis had a great game in Week 3 against the Cowboys and has sported the best completion percentage of any guy with at least 90 pass attempts this season. Citing the matchup, I'd go with him over Tom Brady and a handful of other low-end quarterbacks if I was in a pinch this week.
Nick Foles (7.5): The book on Foles is simple: If you put pressure on him, he wilts. Thing is, the Rams haven't put much pressure on the quarterback this season. They've combined for one sack and six quarterback hits through three games. Foles will have his bookend tackles back for this game and should be able to work around any pressures the Rams send. The Rams have allowed at least two total touchdowns to every quarterback they've faced, though they haven't given up 20-plus Fantasy points to a passer yet this year. Foles will be the first.
Zac Stacy (7.9): It would make sense to give Stacy a lot of work to mimic what the 49ers did last week, although it took San Francisco a little while to realize that running the ball was the way to go. The Eagles have allowed one rushing touchdown and four receiving scores to running backs in their last three games. The key: all but one of the touchdowns came from 10 yards or less, meaning that the Eagles are susceptible to short-yardage scores, which Stacy should be able to deliver.
LeSean McCoy (8.6): We're expecting a good week for McCoy. The Rams have not been good against the run and the Eagles offensive line should be stronger with Johnson back in at right tackle.
Darren Sproles (4.9): It's more than fine to start Sproles if special-teams yardage counts. But if it doesn't, I might second-guess using Sproles. He has 56 total yards over the last two weeks -- he had 57 yards on one play at Indy in Week 2! He's very much a boom-or-bust player who has seen his touches dwindle since the first two weeks.
Brian Quick (5.7): The Eagles track record against receivers might look bad, but only three wideouts have surpassed even eight Fantasy points against them. Thing is, they've really surpassed eight -- Allen Hurns, Pierre Garcon and DeSean Jackson hit at least 17 Fantasy points. I could see the Rams trying some long passes to Quick off of play-action. Quick has nine targets in two of three games and at least 70 yards or a touchdown in every game. He's a sleeper in one-week leagues as well as in three-receiver leagues.
Jeremy Maclin (8.2): Maclin remains a must-start. He disappointed with a sub-10-point game last week but was credited with 15 targets. The most targeted receiver in two of three games against the Rams has delivered at least 50 yards and a touchdown.
Jordan Matthews (5.1): It looks like Matthews will stay in the slot for the Eagles, which means he'll see a lot of LaMarcus Joyner. Size-wise, that's a very favorable mismatch for Matthews. I'd call him a sleeper for this week in any format.
Riley Cooper (3.1): Coop has 26 targets but a bunch of regrettable drops. He's tough to trust.
Zach Ertz (5.6): It's beginning to look like Ertz is this year's Jared Cook, as he had a great Week 1 game and has come up small since. Typically the Rams play tight ends well; no tight end this season has more than seven Fantasy points against them. Teams have learned to cover him on key passing plays and near the end zone. Expect the trend to continue.
Rams (3.2): Hard to call them trustworthy when they haven't put up good numbers yet this year and are playing at the Eagles.
Eagles (5.7): Worth starting just on the chance that Darren Sproles returns a punt for a touchdown. Plus, the Eagles have five takeaways so far this season with seven sacks. And the Rams offense doesn't exactly scare people (averaging 18.7 points per game).
Steelers at Jaguars, Sun., 1 p.m. ET
Pittsburgh's defense is beleaguered and broken, as is Jacksonville's. As such, this could potentially become a high-scoring game. The Steelers run defense remains a weak point, so expect the Jaguars to try hard with Toby Gerhart and Denard Robinson. They combined for 19 carries last week and Gerhart scored. It's the best way the Jaguars could stay in the game and keep Big Ben off the field.
Ben Roethlisberger (8.4): Fine, so the Jaguars are up to 11 passing touchdowns allowed versus one interception, and they've allowed at least 275 passing yards in their last three games. If you're not starting Roethlisberger in seasonal or one-week leagues, when will you?
Blake Bortles (5.9): Bortles had a dazzling completion percentage but not a lot of nice stats otherwise. Things will change against the Steelers, who have given up over 300 passing yards and two passing touchdowns to each team they've faced in the last two weeks. He's keeping his passes short, attempting only four long passes last week (connecting on two; the incompletions were toward the end of the second and fourth quarters). Because the Steelers might be able to scheme up for that, his numbers might not be so solid.
Le'Veon Bell (9.6): The Jaguars were able to drop the hammer on the Chargers run game last week, holding them to a combined 110 yards and no scores. Before Week 4, the Jaguars allowed an average of 184.3 total yards per game to running backs with six total touchdowns. Bell should thrive.
LeGarrette Blount (4.7): If you think this game will be a blowout, then Blount should be a sleeper as a clock grinder in the second half (if not a potential touchdown vulture).
Toby Gerhart (5.2): It will take a touchdown for Gerhart to deliver a good stat line. Questions about his touches put a cap on his potential. So even though the matchup is favorable, there's no promise he'll deliver nice numbers.
Storm Johnson (0.0): I know everyone's looking for the next sleeper running back. If Gerhart and Robinson continue to struggle, we might get close to seeing Johnson pick up some reps. He's over an ankle injury. Put him on your radar.
Antonio Brown (9.8): This week Brown will get a chance to dominate a Jaguars pass defense that's allowed 213.0 yards per game to receivers this year and three touchdowns to wideouts last week. Brown has hit at least 10 Fantasy points in 11 of his last 13 games. Enjoy.
Markus Wheaton (4.25): Non-No. 1 receivers have scored on the Jaguars in each of the last two weeks. Maybe we'd have more confidence in Wheaton if he'd land more than five Fantasy points per week. He has just two red-zone targets this season -- Brown has seven and Heath Miller has four.
Allen Robinson (5.2): I expect a good game from Robinson, particularly with Cecil Shorts not expected to play. Robinson led all Jags receivers in targets last week and is more conducive to the Jaguars short-area passing game. He's probably better suited for PPR formats than standard, but his size could make him a winner in goal-to-go passing situations against the Steelers corners.
Allen Hurns (4.8): It wouldn't be a shock for Hurns to come up with a big catch like he did last week. The Steelers have allowed just five deep throws (not overall pass plays) that totaled 30 or more yards, but four have come in their last five quarters of play, suggesting they're just now starting to show weakness there. Hurns is a major sleeper.
Heath Miller (7.9): Count on another big game from Miller against a Jaguars pass defense that's allowed four touchdowns to tight ends this season, albeit none last week to Antonio Gates. Miller re-emerged as a big target for Roethlisberger last week and should get leaned on again in Week 5.
Clay Harbor (5.0): Week 4 was not a bad debut for Harbor, who connected on all eight of his targets from Bortles. Statistically, it was the best game of his career. The Steelers are typically rock solid against opposing tight ends, but this year they've already allowed three scores to them. Harbor is in the bye-week replacement conversation.
Steelers (5.4): I know you're thinking that the Steelers will come up big like every defense has against the Jaguars so far this season. It's possible, but this is a defense that has delivered five Fantasy points or less in three of four games this season. I wouldn't rush to get them off waivers.
Jaguars (1.5): Would you start the Jaguars DST if they were taking on the Raiders? Maybe. Probably, in fact. But guess what? They're taking on the Steelers. So don't get cute.
Texans at Cowboys, Sun., 1 p.m. ET
The Texans have three wins on the strength of their defense keeping inept offenses from being successful. This week they take on a Cowboys offense that flexed a strong offensive line and a willingness to throw deep and run often against the Saints. J.J. Watt won't be enough to keep the Cowboys offense from continuing to put up points.
Ryan Fitzpatrick (4.7): With Arian Foster iffy, Fitzpatrick is going to have to shoulder a lot of the workload in this game. Is that ever good news? Maybe for his receivers, but not necessarily for him. The Cowboys have five sacks and 19 quarterback hits through four games while allowing 275.5 yards per game and eight touchdowns. Three of four quarterbacks they've faced have posted at least 21 Fantasy points. If there were more bye weeks we'd hail Fitzbeardrick as a bye-week replacement, but it'll take some serious guts to start him.
Tony Romo (7.9): Remember, the Texans have only played one really threatening offense so far. They've also allowed multiple passing touchdowns in each of their last two games, including a pair to the recently benched EJ Manuel! Romo should be able to find a couple of scores -- it's the big yardage and the potential third touchdown that could be elusive.
Arian Foster (6.0): It looked like Foster shook off a slow start (minus-7 yards after his first three carries) and was able to run without incident while his O-line struggled with the Bills' big guys. Foster also made more of a dent as a receiver than a rusher. I expect his total yardage to improve this week as the Cowboys have allowed 5.5 yards per carry and 9.4 yards per catch through four games.
Alfred Blue (3.6 if Foster plays): Blue hasn't shown a lot with the playing time he's found in the last two weeks. With Foster expected to take on more work this week, Blue should stick on Fantasy benches.
DeMarco Murray (9.7): As good as it gets in Fantasy. Murray will take on a Texans defense that has allowed just over 150 total yards per game. Keep him rolling.
DeAndre Hopkins (7.2): It's starting to feel like Hopkins will deliver a dud, but it's hard to think it'll happen this week. The Cowboys pass defense has gotten by with some really nice play from their secondary, allowing just two touchdowns to receivers on the year, but Hopkins has been special every week. If the Cowboys are to build a lead then the Texans are likely to play from behind, and that can open the door for Hopkins to pick up some numbers.
Andre Johnson (5.65): Just as it feels like we're waiting for Hopkins to cool off, we're also waiting for Johnson to come through. He has now caught 22 of 34 targets for 262 yards, including three of six red-zone catches for 17 yards. He has no touchdowns. He could be a very useful weapon working underneath, but injury concerns keep his appeal low.
Dez Bryant (8.6): Dez has posted 10 or more Fantasy points for three straight games. Expect him to make it four.
Terrance Williams (6.4): It seems unlikely for Williams to keep up the touchdown pace. The Texans have allowed four touchdowns to receivers in their last three games, but only one went to a non-No. 1 receiver. None went to a receiver with five or fewer targets. I'd call Williams a bit of a risk in Week 5.
Garrett Graham (5.4): The matchup is glorious for Graham as the Cowboys have allowed at least one touchdown to a tight end in every game they've played so far. On the season, Graham has 12 targets good for nine catches and 95 yards and has just one red-zone target and no targets into the end zone. If you're looking for a sleeper as a bye-week replacement, go ahead and chance it with Graham.
Jason Witten (5.2): It's definitely true that Witten is blocking more than running, but when he does go out on a route he's not as much of a slug as you might think. I'm not a fan of Witten this week because Romo might not throw for a ton of yards, plus the Texans haven't been so bad against tight ends.
Texans (5.1): Since a Week 1 meltdown against the 49ers, the Cowboys haven't allowed an opposing DST to finish as a Top 12 option. The Texans have finished as a Top 12 option in three of four weeks but have to be considered a risk for this game. Furthermore, they take on the Colts and Steelers in Weeks 6 and 7, making them less than desirable for those matchups. You could consider bailing on them now and settling on a another DST.
Cowboys (5.3): This will read as crazy to you as it sounded to me: The Cowboys rank 26th against the pass and 14th against the run but still have finished in the Top 10 among DSTs in each of the last three weeks. The Texans have not been kind to opposing DSTs, so don't get tempted to try the Cowboys as anything more than a low-end streaming option.
Bears at Panthers, Sun., 1 p.m. ET
The Panthers defense is fading fast, allowing 389 rush yards to running backs and 380 yards to wide receivers in their last two games. It's the lack of a pass rush and the lack of blitzes getting home against good quarterbacks as well as the lack of a disciplined run defense -- the last two offensive lines mostly dominated the Panthers front seven. The next test comes this week against Matt Forte and Jay Cutler. Forte can always ding a defense with his skill set and the Bears' blocking isn't so bad. Cutler is hit and miss against beating the blitz and prone to turning over the football, so maybe the Panthers can win there. But if they can't, their next two games are at Cincinnati and at Green Bay, and their defense could continue to get shredded in those matchups.
Jay Cutler (7.7): Three of four quarterbacks have posted two or more passing touchdowns on the Panthers, but just one of them topped 20 Fantasy points. The Panthers have allowed at least 290 passing yards in two of their last three games. So long as Cutler stays upright he should deliver.
Cam Newton (6.7): In two career meetings against the Bears, Newton has delivered mixed results. He's thrown for over 300 yards in each of them, but needed a pair of rushing touchdowns in 2011 to bring home a giant Fantasy game. With his mobility an issue and the Bears familiar with his style of play, this shouldn't be a big game for him.
Matt Forte (8.3): What looked like a scary matchup before the season has become a favorable one. Teams are able to run on the Panthers as evidenced by their last two games, but even before that Carolina was vulnerable. On the season the Panthers are allowing 165.0 total yards per game to running backs. Start him.
Darrin Reaves (5.0 if Jonathan Stewart is inactive): In case Jonathan Stewart can't play, we'll see Reaves pick up the slack against a bad Bears run defense. Reaves isn't a quality talent but if he's in a position to get 15 touches against this defense, then he's serviceable for desperate Fantasy owners. We'd like Stewart better if he can pick up a week's worth of practice.
Brandon Marshall (8.3): Marshall's been around the end zone lately and the Panthers have allowed five touchdowns to receivers in their last two games. It helps Marshall's outlook that he practiced early on this week.
Alshon Jeffery (7.8): On the year, the Panthers are allowing 159.0 pass yards per game to receivers, but against potent passing offenses like the Lions, Steelers and Ravens, they're allowing 181.0 yards per game. Jeffery has averaged at least 13 yards per game in three of four contests.
Kelvin Benjamin (8.1): The rookie has delivered at least 13 Fantasy points in three of four games. The Bears allowed four touchdowns to receivers last week and six total in their last three games. Benjamin is a must-start.
Martellus Bennett (8.0): We're about to find out if Bennett has staying power or will start to fade as he has in the last three Octobers. Carolina's pass defense has played well against opposing tight ends, holding all starters to five points or less. It would be stunning to see Bennett score less than, say, eight points, so keep him active. But if he starts to hit the skids, think about trading him while he has great value.
Greg Olsen (7.1): For the second time this season, Olsen will take on a defense he has great familiarity with. The Bears have held opposing tight ends to five Fantasy points or less in every game this season, but we're still not buying that Olsen will fall off. He's start-worthy.
Bears (4.1): Only once this season has a DST finished in the Top 12 against the Panthers, a surprising tally considering the state of their offense. If Jared Allen boosts the pass rush for the Bears then they'll be worth evaluating as a sleeper unit, nothing more.
Panthers (5.0): The Panthers could pick off a Cutler pass and sack him once or twice, but beyond that it's hard to imagine the defense slowing the Bears offense and holding them to a handful of points. With the schedule only getting tougher for Carolina, you should opt to eject on them and go with another DST off waivers.
Browns at Titans, Sun., 1 p.m. ET
Remember when a lot of people thought (us included) that this would be the week that Johnny Manziel would start for the Browns? That's not happening, as Brian Hoyer has played well. That should continue to be the case against the Titans, particularly after they were smashed for four touchdowns by the Colts last week. But Hoyer just needs to keep from turning the ball over to keep the gig. The Titans had three interceptions in Week 1, just two since. Hoyer has yet to throw a pick or fumble.
Brian Hoyer (4.5): It wouldn't be surprising to see the Browns come out with some new wrinkles this week. One possibility: more two-tight end sets to exploit the Titans defense, much like the Colts did. Hoyer's not good enough to start in Fantasy, but he should continue to keep his receivers effective.
Jake Locker (4.6): The Browns haven't allowed a quarterback to notch 20 Fantasy points or more yet this year, and they have an interception in every game. You're not starting Locker anyway.
Ben Tate (6.6): Expected to make his triumphant return to the Browns backfield, Tate will face off against a Titans run defense that has allowed 169.7 total yards per game to backs in their last three. Don't discount Tate -- he's a good No. 2 Fantasy rusher given the matchup.
Isaiah Crowell (5.7): It sounds like Crowell will be the top backup behind Tate, not Terrance West. Seeing as how the Titans run defense has hit a fresh low and the Browns offense has been able to run effectively, there's a chance for Crowell to pick up some yardage and possibly score. He's still unowned in half of CBSSports.com's leagues and is an excellent guy to pick up and hope for a breakout.
Terrance West (3.0): West figures to see more playing time whenever Tate struggles or gets hurt again. Since that's the case, keep him on rosters if you'd like through Week 5. If he's a flop then you could cut him for someone else.
Bishop Sankey (7.8): The time has come! Ken Whisenhunt said this week that Sankey will start to get more playing time and be a bigger factor in the Tennessee offense. You'll be rewarded for your patience with a matchup in which Sankey will face a Browns run defense that's allowed 137.7 rush yards per game to opposing backs with four total rushing touchdowns. I'm aggressively calling Sankey a Top 20 running back this week -- and I might still be low on him. By the way, Sankey's next three games are against the Jaguars, Redskins and Texans. Hopefully this is just the beginning -- I'm trying to trade for him in all of my leagues.
Andrew Hawkins/Miles Austin (4.45 avg.): The Titans were whipped last week by deep throws to Reggie Wayne and T.Y. Hilton. That stuff might actually favor Austin over Hawkins, who's more of a short- and mid-range guy. Both are decent PPR sleepers with Hawkins the more appealing of the two.
Kendall Wright (4.2): Part of me is ready to give up on Wright. He scored in Week 1 and has not had more than 55 yards in any game since. By comparison he had 10 games with at least 60 yards last season. On the plus side, he has 18 targets in his last two games.
Jordan Cameron (5.7): Should anyone be excited about starting Cameron? Well, the Titans did allow two touchdowns to tight ends last week and three tight ends have at least eight Fantasy points against them on the season. That makes the matchup sound good, but with 70 yards on three catches over two games for Cameron, it's not like there's a mad rush to use him. Though I have an inkling that the Browns will find ways to use him more and in the red zone, he's a guy you might just settle for starting this week.
Delanie Walker (6.6): Jimmy Graham put up a huge number against the Browns in Week 2 while Heath Miller and Owen Daniels did next to nothing against them in Weeks 1 and 3. Walker seems like too important of a player in the Titans offense to forget about. I'd use him.
Browns (6.1): If you're into playing the matchups then this one makes sense, as the Titans have allowed a DST to finish in the Top 12 each of the last three weeks. But the Browns defense has grossly underwhelmed so far this season. I suppose they're worth streaming in Week 5 with the hope that they used the bye week to tinker and improve.
Titans (4.8): A shocker! Not a single DST to face the Browns has finished in the Top 12 since the season began. Makes sense, because the Browns are taking care of the football and protecting Hoyer. Tennessee has 20 points in Week 1, 12 points combined in Weeks 2 through 4. You can do better than this.
Cardinals at Broncos, Sun., 4:05 p.m. ET
Peyton faces his second straight tough defense in a row, although this time he had an extra week to study up on the Cardinals. Expect to see Denver improve on being more functional in using short-range passes as well as in running the football. The Cardinals have held opponents to 15.0 points per game -- they'll be lucky to keep the Broncos to under twice that amount.
Drew Stanton (5.3): With Carson Palmer still not healed, we'll see Stanton. It feels like his receiving corps has helped his numbers pop, but no one's trusting him for Fantasy purposes, even if the Broncos have allowed 25 or more Fantasy points to two of three opponents.
Peyton Manning (9.5): Unrelated-to-Peyton note/embarrassing fact about the author, Vol. 4 of 16: I might have ingested kitty litter when I was a child (and man, that explains a lot about me).
Andre Ellington (7.5): Ellington looked good before the bye, before he had a week to rest his foot. The Broncos have allowed opposing backs to rack up a lot of yardage and some touchdowns over a lot of carries. Ellington's carry totals have gone up in each game, so hopefully the Cardinals are comfortable with him handling 20 touches in an attempt to control the game clock.
Montee Ball (7.0): The Cardinals have consistently done a nice job against the run, holding backs to 2.6 yards per carry on the year. But they have allowed a pair of touchdowns to backs in three games. That's what you have to hope for when you start Ball because the yardage hasn't been there for him, nor have the touches (15.5 per game in his last two). In fact, I've backed up Ball with C.J. Anderson in my leagues just in case the Broncos move on from him in a couple of games.
Michael Floyd (7.3): Floyd's averaging 22.9 yards per catch, a total that should drop over time, but for now he looks good given his two games with 110 receiving yards. Interestingly enough, the Broncos have allowed nearly 200 yards just to receivers in two of three games, but no wide receiver has had more than nine Fantasy points against them. Don't be shocked if Floyd is the first.
Larry Fitzgerald (5.55): He's been brutal this year with 10 catches for 107 yards and no touchdowns, though he's had some close calls. The game flow will likely dictate that the Cardinals throw, and Fitzgerald should grab a lot of underneath passes as Arizona takes what Denver gives them.
John Brown (5.5): Fitzgerald might be a glorified possession receiver for the Cardinals while Brown could take a step toward being a game-wrecker. We'll see if the Cardinals tinkered with his role during the bye.
Demaryius Thomas (8.7): Broncos coaches seemed optimistic that the bye would work wonders for Thomas, who has been good but not great. The team will get Wes Welker back and Thomas could end up staying on the outside, playing in a spot he's been used to. Thomas has also worked on the JUGS machine so he doesn't drop more passes. Best of all, the week hopefully healed up any issues with his injured foot. Start him.
Emmanuel Sanders (7.7): Count on Sanders to remain a focal point of the Broncos offense, taking advantage of single coverage whenever possible. Though he hasn't scored, Fantasy owners should love his 25 of 33 targets caught for 334 yards. Sanders has yet to be the top priority of any defense the Broncos have played.
Wes Welker (5.4): I might expect the Broncos to pick on Cardinals slot corner Jerraud Powers and target Welker over and over. They've missed that element of their offense for much of the season and started to regain it in the fourth quarter of Week 3, when Welker caught three of four targets for 41 yards.
Cardinals (3.3): Predictably, no DST unit has done well against the Broncos this season, including the Seahawks in Seattle. Don't expect that to change.
Broncos (6.7): Predictably, no DST unit has done well against the Cardinals this season, including the 49ers in Week 3. Don't expect that to change.
Jets at Chargers, Sun., 4:25 p.m. ET
It's a tale of two quarterbacks -- or maybe three quarterbacks. The Chargers can't run the ball with any kind of efficiency and the Jets are strong against the run, so expect a big dose of Philip Rivers. The Jets wish they could pull off a similar approach, but Geno Smith has been spotty, and that's putting it nicely. We could see Michael Vick soon as the Jets scurry to salvage their season.
Geno Smith (3.1): I'm surprised the Jets are still going with him knowing the division could be theirs if their offense turns around. No one will start him, especially since the Chargers have done well against mediocre quarterbacks over the past two weeks.
Philip Rivers (9.2): The Jets have allowed every quarterback, including Derek Carr, to toss multiple touchdowns against them. The last three have posted at least 20 Fantasy points. And the Chargers can't run the ball. It's a big, big win for Rivers.
Chris Ivory (6.4): Luckily for the Jets, the weakness of the Chargers defense is their strength. Bank on seeing a lot of Ivory against the Bolts, making him a Top 20 option.
Chris Johnson (5.3): Johnson isn't going away -- he's had 18 touches over the last two weeks, though most of them have come on carries. San Diego has allowed three receiving touchdowns to backs, an anomaly the Jets probably won't try to scheme against since if they're in close range to the end zone it'll probably end up being a chance for Ivory, not a pass catcher like Johnson.
Donald Brown (4.3): Brown has averaged roughly 2.0 yards per carry and will take on a defense allowing 2.9 yards per carry on the season. Avoid this guy.
Eric Decker (5.3): We thought Decker would catch a lot of passes, not a lot of touchdowns. The opposite has turned out to be the case, as he's snared 14 of 24 targets for two touchdowns and 204 yards. Decker's familiarity with the Chargers might not help -- he struggled against them.
Keenan Allen (7.6): There can't be any more questions about Allen's health after last week's breakout. The Jets secondary is so sloppy that the Chargers should easily find ways to get their star receiver his first touchdown of the season. He's practically a must-start.
Eddie Royal (6.1): Royal's finding regular targets because Rivers can't use them toward the running backs as he might have. And while defenses are focused on slowing down Allen and Antonio Gates, Royal has busted single coverage for pretty incredible numbers. It wouldn't be surprising at all to see him notch another touchdown.
Malcom Floyd (4.9): Targets might be an issue for him moving forward, but there's no doubt that Rivers trusts Floyd as a deep-ball threat or as a typical short- and mid-range guy. He's a sleeper for this week.
Jace Amaro (4.6): I'm not sure he's worth starting as anything more than a desperation play, but we're starting to get to the point where he could start getting noticed as a sleeper. It helps his case that the Chargers had a hard time keeping up with Jaguars tight ends last week.
Antonio Gates (7.2): Gates is back to being a potential sit given who else you have on your roster and who you can get off waivers. The Jets have stunk defending against tight ends and Gates is due for a big game.
Jets (3.7): They're not ranked too high this week for good reason: The Chargers are one of just two teams to have played four games and not allowed a DST to finish as a Top 12 option in any of them.
Chargers (8.2): The Jets offense is too combustible right now. Take the chance on the Chargers DST keeping the Jets' totals low.
Chiefs at 49ers, Sun., 4:25 p.m. ET
The Niners might have acted cordial when they moved on from Alex Smith, but there wasn't much excitement for him in their building. I could imagine Jim Harbaugh threatening his coaches with teeth-grinding anger not to let Smith beat him in San Francisco. Smith is sure to have a trick or two up his sleeve against the Niners defense, making this battle all the more interesting.
Alex Smith (6.1): It felt like the Niners defense became more of a bend-but-don't-break unit last week against the Eagles, though Philly's play-calling helped them look good. Chances are the Niners will aim to get Smith into passing situations in hopes of creating a turnover. Smith has mastered working the offense into manageable third downs and then coming through on them. There are a lot of people who know Smith's weaknesses in San Francisco and it could end up costing Smith some big numbers. It is worth noting that Smith has three touchdowns in each of his last two games. Use him at your own risk, but certainly ahead of Tom Brady.
Colin Kaepernick (6.9): The Chiefs defense looked like world-beaters on Monday night in containing Tom Brady. But the Raiders even contained Brady two weeks ago, so it's not a huge accomplishment. Kaepernick is far more athletic and has at least 20 Fantasy points in three of four games. The biggest concern is that Kap ends up handing off more than throwing, especially since the Niners found a way to win by leaning on their running backs last week.
Jamaal Charles (8.2): There shouldn't be any doubt in starting him after last week's dominant performance, though the Niners have been very good against the run. Since DeMarco Murray steamrolled them in Week 1 they've held Matt Forte, Andre Ellington and LeSean McCoy (and their teammates) to 35.3 rush yards and 10.0 receiving yards per game with no touchdowns. You should have lowered expectations for Charles but still consider him a must-start option.
Knile Davis (3.1): Davis was valuable last week because of the extra playing time he had in a blowout win. Though he might have a nice run or two, don't count on him to deliver big stats against a good Niners run defense.
Frank Gore (8.4): You might think of the Chiefs run defense as solid after Stevan Ridley and Shane Vereen combined for a pitiful 54 rush yards last week, but they're not. In fact, the Chiefs still gave up well over 4.5 yards per carry against New England in Week 4 ... and everyone else they've faced, too. The Niners realized last week that leaning on Gore isn't such a bad thing -- over this season and last season they're actually 10-1 when Gore gets at least 15 carries. Expect it to continue.
Carlos Hyde (5.6): We've seen Hyde find the end zone before and he could end up with a crack at scoring again. The Chiefs haven't allowed a touchdown to a running back yet this season, but if the Niners lean on the run that should change. Hyde is sleeper material.
Dwayne Bowe (3.9): I'd argue that Bowe had a breakout game against the Patriots, catching five passes for 81 yards. For him, in this version of the Chiefs offense, that's outstanding. San Francisco has allowed six touchdowns to receivers this year, but it's mostly been in coverage of rookie Jimmie Ward. Bowe is unlikely to face off against him. You could use Bowe as a bye-week replacement, but that's about it.
Michael Crabtree (7.0): Crabtree might cause a little concern this week. He's been hot, no doubt, but the Chiefs haven't been so bad against the pass. They've allowed a touchdown per game but only two of four receivers who actually caught a touchdown had more than 10 Fantasy points (another one had exactly 10 points). If the Niners are going to go back to the ground game, then Crabtree's numbers might suffer.
Steve Johnson (3.9): We've seen Stevie make some plays this year, especially when Vernon Davis is out. If Davis remains sidelined, you could try going with Johnson as a deep, deep sleeper. Admittedly, there are probably better options.
Anquan Boldin (3.7): Since his 99-yard game in Week 1, Boldin has delivered 62 yards or less and doesn't have a touchdown to his name this year. He's definitely due for one but with the Chiefs pass defense playing OK and the Niners expected to run, he's not a great choice for Week 5.
Travis Kelce (6.5): The Chiefs would be insane to get away from Kelce after using him to beat the Patriots last week. The key is giving him a lot of targets -- he's not considered explosive enough to turn in a huge stat line on just three or four catches. He had nine targets last week and 19 total in his last three. The Niners have typically been good against tight ends, but Kelce's expected workload keeps him relevant.
Derek Carrier (4.8): If Vernon Davis is inactive, there's a chance for Carrier to be a surprise contributor based on the Chiefs' poor play against tight ends this season.
Chiefs (3.1): It's taken a meltdown by Colin Kaepernick and special-teams play for DSTs to finish strong against the 49ers over the last three weeks. Kansas City's defense isn't quite as good and their special teams hasn't done bupkis yet.
49ers (6.9): If you buy into the San Francisco coaches recognizing everything there is to know about Alex Smith, then this unit is a must start.
Bengals at Patriots, Sun., 8:30 p.m. ET
When these teams played last season at Cincinnati, we saw Tom Brady look about as unimpressive as ever. The Patriots have a way of bouncing back after bad losses as well as defeating opponents they've lost to recently, so they deserve some benefit of the doubt. But this is also a Patriots offense that has regressed from last season and needs to find a way to get their mojo back. If they involve Shane Vereen more in the passing game and perhaps try using one of their young deep-threat receivers, then things could improve quickly. Of course, the Bengals are familiar with the Patriots personnel and won't be intimidated.
Andy Dalton (6.6): Last week was the first time the Patriots allowed over 20 Fantasy points to a quarterback, and it happened in large part because of what Alex Smith got from Jamaal Charles on short passes. Cincy could do the same thing with some deep shots to A.J. Green mixed in along with a trick play that may or may not involve Dalton. We'd start Dalton over Brady but wouldn't call him a Top 12 option.
Tom Brady (4.0): Sure, in the past we've written off Brady and he's come back to haunt us. But he's taking on a Bengals defense that held him to 197 yards and no touchdowns in a loss last year. This year's Bengals defense has done well against every quarterback they've played, including Matt Ryan. And let's be honest here -- Brady has six games with at least 20 Fantasy points in his last 20 games (last season and this season). While I'm confident that the Patriots will get their act together, it feels like I need to see progress before I can trust Brady again. If you're gutsier than I am, go ahead and start Brady but there are enough quarterbacks out there to use in place of him.
Giovani Bernard (8.9): The week off should have done Bernard some good after he averaged 22.3 touches per game. Expect another nice workload against a Patriots defense that allowed over 200 total yards to backs last week.
Jeremy Hill (4.1): Hill has scored in consecutive games but has just one game out of three on the year with more than seven touches -- a blowout win against the Falcons. If you start Hill, know that you're basically looking for a short-yardage touchdown, which happens to be exactly what the Pats have allowed to running backs in both rushing scores this season.
Shane Vereen (5.9): While the Patriots might hem and haw over who could end up working out for them at receiver, there's no doubt that adding more Vereen passes into their offense will be good for them. Vereen has four or five catches in all but one game this season (14 on the year) -- he had seven or more catches in five of eight games last season. He also hasn't been as explosive as a receiver (6.6 yards per catch) as he was last year (9.1 yards per catch). But I'd count on him this week by comparison to Stevan Ridley.
Stevan Ridley (4.75): The matchup isn't particularly bad as the Bengals have allowed 4.6 yards per carry this season and a rushing touchdown in 2 of 3 games and might not have linebacker Vontaze Burfict available. If Burfict is out I might chance it with Ridley, but the reality is that he's had two matchups that were better than this one in the last two weeks and couldn't find the opportunities to score.
A.J. Green (9.3): Everyone is mocking the Patriots for their defense even with big-name cornerback Darrelle Revis on the field, but the fact remains that they've allowed only one touchdown to a receiver this season. Then again, they've played the Vikings, Raiders and Chiefs over the last three weeks.
Mohamed Sanu (3.8): No receiver has had 90 or more yards against the Patriots this season and Sanu hasn't topped 90 receiving yards since college. He'll need to score in some form or fashion to be effective in Fantasy, making him a risky play.
Julian Edelman (6.6): The big fear is that a blueprint for covering Edelman was re-established last week by the Chiefs. Certainly the Bengals have the cornerbacks to keep up with Edelman, limiting his potential to PPR leagues only. Against the Bengals last season he caught two passes for 35 yards -- he should do better than that, but the Bengals have had more trouble with downfield threats so far this season.
Aaron Dobson/Kenbrell Thompkins/Brian Tyms (0.4 avg.): Combined, these guys are owned in 21 percent of CBSSports.com leagues. Here's an idea for your Sunday morning -- stash whoever is active among these three on your bench. If the Patriots passing game shows signs of breaking out, keep them going forward. If the Patriots wilt again, dump them for someone else. Seems like a no-risk move to me. If all are active then go with Dobson first.
Rob Gronkowski (6.4): Gronk has found the end zone in three of four games and is starting to play more snaps. The Patriots should find ways to get him involved, even if it means short passes over the middle that lead to some hard hits. They should aim to get him at least nine targets per game like they did in Week 1. Tight ends have been heavy targets against the Bengals this season, but none have scored.
Bengals (6.8): They are worth taking a chance on, particularly since the Patriots offense has a long way to go from what they were against the Chiefs last week and what's expected of them normally.
Patriots (4.9): There hasn't been a DST yet to finish in the Top 12 against the Bengals, and it seems unlikely that a Patriots team that allowed a ton of points and yardage last week will be the first to do it.
Seahawks at Redskins, Mon., 8:30 p.m. ET
No one should envy the Redskins. Coming off of a brutal loss last week with a defense thin on quality talent and an offense with big questions at quarterback, they get the honor of hosting the Super Bowl champs. Even more frustrating (for them) is that the Seahawks have had more time to prepare for this game than the Redskins have, and the Redskins had a Thursday game last week! Kirk Cousins desperately needs a matchup where he can lean on the run and take pressure off of his shoulder but this one isn't it, nor is the matchup in Week 6 at Arizona.
Russell Wilson (7.4): There should be no hesitation at this point in going with Wilson, particularly considering the matchup. The Redskins pass rush isn't hitting on all cylinders and their secondary is a mess. It shouldn't take much for Wilson to eclipse 20 Fantasy points for the fourth straight game.
Kirk Cousins (2.8): I'm not sure I'd like Cousins if he were at home against the Jaguars! Last week's effort showed a quarterback completely removed from what we saw in Week 3 -- hesitation, bad reads and a lack of accuracy. It's hard to imagine him righting the ship against the Seahawks.
Marshawn Lynch (9.5): Would you believe the Redskins are holding opposing backs to 77.0 rush yards per game? Thanks to the Jaguars tallying 8 rush yards against them in Week 2, that statement is factual! But if we throw out that atrocity, the Redskins are giving up an even 100.0 rush yards per game to running backs. That number is about to go up.
Alfred Morris (5.1): You already know how good the Seahawks run defense is. The expected game plan for the Redskins is to key in on Morris on early downs and force the Redskins into third-and-long situations -- which is typically when we see Roy Helu on the field instead of Morris. Only two true starting running backs have scored on the Seahawks since 2013 (19 regular-season games).
Percy Harvin (6.7): There isn't a Redskins defender that can run with Harvin. He's a risk to start every week but if your lineup is strong (or if you're playing from behind after Thursday's games), he's one worth taking a chance on in case he breaks a catch or run for a long touchdown. The Redskins had a hard time keeping up with Victor Cruz last week.
Pierre Garcon (5.0): Doesn't it feel like there's too much consistency with what to expect from Jay Gruden's passing game? New wrinkles might not favor Garcon like they might DeSean Jackson or the tight ends. So you have to count on volume to keep Garcon productive. The best receivers against the Seahawks this season have had over 10 targets, save for Randall Cobb who scored on them in Week 1. Garcon does have two games already with 12-plus targets but has 10-plus Fantasy points in only one of them. I'd avoid him if at all possible.
DeSean Jackson (4.25): Let's be real, Jackson has only one great play through four games -- the bomb at Philadelphia in Week 3. Until Cousins gets his act together Fantasy owners shouldn't bother with D-Jax, particularly against a physical secondary like this one.
Jordan Reed/Niles Paul (5.8 if one is active): As of this writing, we're not sure which Redskins tight end will get the nod against the Seahawks. This is important since the Seahawks have struggled with tight ends in their last two games, allowing two scores to the Broncos and three to the Chargers. Of course, those teams have great quarterbacks. Reed and Paul could fall into 70 or 80 yards but they'd have to be made active first. Not sure I'd wait around through Sunday's options to trust either one, especially if both are active come Monday.
Redskins (2.2): The Redskins DST scored 26 Fantasy points against the Jaguars in Week 2, 11 points combined in their other three games. So ... yeah. Don't add them.
Seahawks (9.3): This is legitimately the first game all season where we should feel great about starting the Seahawks DST. Don't get used to it, though -- Dallas at home is up next.
Vikings at Packers, Thu., 8:25 p.m. ET
With Teddy Bridgewater banged up and the Packers allowing an average of 131.5 rush yards per game to running backs, it makes sense for the Vikings to lead with the run game. After all, Green Bay ranks dead last in the league against the run. But the Packers are going to know that coming in, too. They'll be willing to take their chances with Christian Ponder if it means keeping the Vikings run game limited.
Christian Ponder (2.2): The Vikings might actually have a chance to pull off the upset with a healthy Bridgewater, but that's not expected to happen. Ponder is sporting a 60.2 career completion percentage and has never played well at Green Bay. Spending all of training camp and the preseason as third string while others have worked with the starters in a new offense won't help the situation.
Aaron Rodgers (9.8): The Vikings pass defense faces their third-straight elite passer in Rodgers, who rebounded exceptionally well last week. His track record against them is pretty darn good, though Rodgers did have a little trouble when he took on a Mike Zimmer coached defense last year (one stacked with quality cornerbacks).
Matt Asiata (7.1): Bank on a touchdown but not much else. The fear here is that Ponder's presence pushes the Packers into committing to stop the run more on early downs. Asiata has had at least 70 total yards in each game so far with a score in two of three and the Packers run defense stinks, but there's still some worry about a letdown game.
Jerick McKinnon (4.8): Four running backs have averaged at least 5.1 yards per carry on at least 12 carries against the Packers this season (another one did it on three carries, which isn't that big of a deal). That stat seems more tailored to the speedy McKinnon than the burly Asiata. The concern is that the Vikings backs will face stacked fronts before falling behind and being forced to throw. That could keep McKinnon's snaps down.
Eddie Lacy (8.0): Lacy gets a tasty matchup for the second straight week as Minnesota has allowed a rushing touchdown to a back in three straight (four total), including three at the goal line (one was a pass to a fullback last week). Don't count on a huge rushing average, but Lacy should get a chance to score.
Greg Jennings (4.1): Hate to say it and even suggest it, but Jennings has the better outlook than Cordarrelle Patterson. Jennings has more targets, catches, yards and touchdowns with just as many 20-plus-yard catches. And this is still a revenge game for Jennings.
Cordarrelle Patterson (4.0): It looked like he was a decoy last week, drawing plenty of double teams. No receiver has had more than 82 yards against the Packers so far this season and Patterson would need more than the five or so he's averaged in his last three games.
Jarius Wright (3.5): Maybe the most interesting thing about Wright's breakout performance last week was that his two biggest plays were catch-and-runs from short passes. The leap in targets from six in Weeks 1 and 2 to 10 in Week 4 say a lot about how the Vikings will move forward, at least until Kyle Rudolph comes back. He's worth stashing.
Jordy Nelson (9.5): Nelson has at least nine catches in three of his last four games and the Vikings have allowed 13.0 yards per catch combined to the most heavily-targeted receiver in each of their games. Those receivers have two touchdowns as well.
Randall Cobb (8.9): Cobb has five touchdowns in four games, including at least one in three of four. He's also caught 70 percent of his targets.
Davante Adams (1.6): Adams is worth a deep-league stash and showed a flash last week when he caught a deep chuck from Rodgers for a touchdown on a play that was called back (he beat double coverage too). If the Packers can't find a regular tight end to roll with, Adams' targets should rise.
Vikings (2.1): Definitely not an option against the Packers at Lambeau.
Packers (8.1): Something tells me that the Pack will step up this week. Maybe because Christian Ponder is leading the Vikings on the road on a short week. Yep, that must be it.