Golf's final major of the year will get underway on Thursday when the 2023 Open Championship tees off at Royal Liverpool Golf Club. Rory McIlroy, who was victorious at last week's Genesis Scottish Open, enters as the 21-4 betting favorite in the latest 2023 Open Championship odds from Caesars Sportsbook. Other top contenders in the 2023 Open Championship field include Scottie Scheffler (15-2), Jon Rahm (12-1), Rickie Fowler (12-1), Tommy Fleetwood (15-1), Viktor Hovland (15-1), and Cameron Smith (15-1).
Which 2023 Open Championship matchup picks should you target, and what 2023 Open Championship prop bets could set you up for a strong payday? Before locking in any Open Championship 2023 prop picks of your own, be sure to check out the PGA predictions and betting advice from SportsLine golf expert Mike McClure.
We simulated the 2023 Open Championship 10,000 times, and there are some major surprises. Our proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed in June of 2020. In fact, the model is up almost $10,000 on its best bets since that point, nailing tournament after tournament.
McClure's model predicted Rahm would finish on top of the leaderboard at the 2023 Sentry Tournament of Champions and The American Express. And at the 2023 Masters, the model was all over Rahm's second career major victory heading into the weekend. Rahm was two strokes off the lead heading into the third round, but the model still projected him as the winner. It was the second straight Masters win for the model, which also nailed Scheffler winning in 2022.
In addition, the model included Nick Taylor in its best bets to win the 2023 RBC Canadian Open. That bet hit at +7000, and for the entire tournament, McClure's best bets returned nearly $1,900. McClure's best bets also included Jason Day (17-1) winning outright at the 2023 AT&T Byron Nelson, even though he hadn't won a PGA Tour event since 2018.
This same model has also nailed a whopping nine majors entering the weekend. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.
Now, McClure has set his sights on the 2023 Open Championship field and just revealed his top PGA prop bets. You can head to SportsLine now to see all of McClure's 2023 Open Championship prop picks, sleepers, head-to-head matchups and best bets.
Top 2023 Open Championship prop picks
One of McClure's favorite prop bet picks this week at the Scottish Open 2023 is Justin Thomas finishing ahead of Robert MacIntyre at -110 odds (risk $110 to win $100). Thomas has been wildly inconsistent in 2023 and enters the week coming off a 60th-place finish at the Scottish Open. Still, McClure is expecting big things from the two-time major champion this week in England.
Despite his struggles, Thomas has still managed to rack up nine top-25 finishes this year and is a proven winner on the major championship stage. The world No. 20 enters the week ranked 12th on the PGA Tour in strokes gained around the green (0.362), 23rd in strokes gained tee-to-green (0.950), and 34th in strokes gained on approach (0.421). All said, McClure sees plenty of value in taking Thomas to finish ahead of a relatively unproven player in MacIntyre. You can see the rest of McClure's 2023 Open Championship props at SportsLine.
Find more 2023 Open Championship head-to-head picks, sleepers, props
McClure has also locked in plenty of other prop bets for the the Open Championship 2023, including a longshot over 100-1 to win it all. Anyone who backs one of his 2023 Open Championship sleepers could hit it big. You can only see his 2023 Open Championship best bets at SportsLine.
So what 2023 Open Championship prop picks should you target this week, and which massive longshot has a chance to stun the golfing world? Visit SportsLine to see McClure's 2023 Open Championship best bets, all from the expert who's up over $10,000 since the PGA Tour restart, and find out.
2023 Open Championship odds, field, contenders
See full the Open Championship 2023 picks, best bets, and predictions here.
Rory McIlroy +525
Scottie Scheffler +750
Jon Rahm +1200
Rickie Fowler +1200
Tommy Fleetwood +1500
Viktor Hovland +1500
Cameron Smith +1500
Brooks Koepka +1800
Xander Schauffele +2500
Tyrrell Hatton +2500
Collin Morikawa +2800
Shane Lowry +3000
Dustin Johnson +3000
Jordan Spieth +3000
Patrick Cantlay +3000
Matt Fitzpatrick +3500
Tom Kim +4000
Justin Rose +4500
Cameron Young +4500
Tony Finau +5000
Adam Scott +5000
Bryson DeChambeau +5000
Max Homa +5000
Wyndham Clark +5000
Justin Thomas +5500
Min Woo Lee +5500
Hideki Matsuyama +6500
Jason Day +6500
Robert ManIntyre +6600
Taylor Gooch +7000
Sam Burns +7000
Sungjae Im +8000
Patrick Reed +8500
Denny McCarthy +8500
Keegan Bradley +8500
Corey Conners +8500
Ryan Fox +9000
Louis Oosthuizen +9000
Padraig Harrington +10000
Sepp Straka +10000
Branden Grace +10000
Russell Henley +10000
Sahith Theegala +125000
Joaquin Niemann +12500
Phil Mickelson +12500
Victor Perez +15000
Paul Casey +15000
Antoine Rozner +1500
Harris English +1500
Si-woo Kim +1500
Rasmus Højgaard +15000
Thomas Detry +15000
Yannik Paul +15000
Taylor Moore +15000
Brian Harman +17500
Adrian Meronk +17500
Adam Schenk +17500
Lucas Herbert +17500
Nicolai Hojgaard +17500
Jordan Smith +20000
Christian Bezuidenhout +20000
Richie Ramsay +20000
Sergio Garcia +20000
Marc Leishman +20000
Davis Riley +20000
Thobjorn Olesen +20000
Thomas Pieters +20000
Kurt Kitayama +20000
Gary Woodland +20000
Brendon Todd +20000
Byeong Hun An +20000
Alex Noren +20000
Aaron Wise +20000
Abraham Ancer +22500
Keith Mitchell +22500
Adrian Otaegui +25000
Lee Westwood +25000
Ewen Ferguson +25000
Danny Willett +25000
Seamus Power +25000
Tom Hoge +25000
KH Lee +25000
Richard Bland +25000
Harold Varner +25000
Rikuya Hoshino +30000
JJ Spaun +30000
Guido Migliozzi +30000
Connor Syme +30000
Takumi Kanaya +30000
Billy Horschel +30000
J.T. Poston +30000
Francesco Molinari +30000
Jazz Janewattanond +30000
Charl Schwartzel +30000
Hurly Long +30000
Christen Lawrence +30000
Cameron Tringale +30000
Pablo Larrazabal +30000
Emiliano Grillo +30000
Callum Shrinkwin +30000
Mackenzie Hughes +30000
Matthew Southgate +30000
Matt Wallace +35000
Henrik Stenson +35000
David Lingmerth +35000
Ari Arnaus +35000
Luke List +35000
Matthew Jordan +35000
Dan Bradbury +35000
Laurie Canter +35000
Andrew Putnam +40000
Sami Valimaki +40000
Zach Johnson +40000
Lee Hodges +40000
Shubhankar Sharma +50000
Scott Stallings +50000
Paul Lawrie +50000
Michael Kim +50000
Stewart Cink +50000
Ben Griffin +50000
Trey Mullinax +50000
Nacho Elvira +50000
Todd Hamilton +50000
David Micheluzzi +50000
Kalle Samooja +50000
Alejandro Canizares +50000
Ernie Els +50000
Kazuki Higa +50000
Ockie Strydom +50000
Marc Warren +75000
Ben Curtis +75000
Oliver Farr +75000
Alex Fitzpatrick +75000
Bio Kim +75000
Darren Clarke +100000
Justin Leonard +100000
John Daly +150000
David Duval +150000