austin-riley-getty-images-braves-2.jpg
USATSI

Rogers Centre showcases an American League matchup to a national audience on Sunday afternoon. The Toronto Blue Jays (56-45) welcome the Detroit Tigers (41-61) to town for the finale of a four-game weekend series. The matchup doubles as the final game between Detroit and Toronto in 2022. Garrett Hill is projected to begin the day on the mound for the Tigers, opposing Jose Berrios for the Blue Jays.

Caesars Sportsbook lists the Blue Jays as -292 money line favorites, and first pitch is scheduled for 12:05 p.m. ET. The total number of runs Vegas thinks will be scored, or the over-under, is 8.5 in the latest Blue Jays vs. Tigers odds. Before you make any MLB predictions with the Tigers vs. Blue Jays match-up, you need to see the MLB predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's advanced computer simulation model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times, and it is 284-243 on top-rated MLB money-line picks since the start of the 2021 season, returning over $400 for $100 players. This is the same model that pegged the 2021 Atlanta Braves at 10-1 as one of three best bets to win it all last season. Anybody who has followed it has seen profitable returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Tigers vs. Blue Jays and just locked in its picks and MLB predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Now, here are several MLB odds and betting lines for Blue Jays vs. Tigers:

  • Tigers vs. Blue Jays money line: Blue Jays -292, Tigers +235
  • Tigers vs. Blue Jays over-under: 8.5 runs
  • Tigers vs. Blue Jays run line: Blue Jays -1.5 (-140)
  • DET: The Tigers are 16-34 in road games
  • TOR: The Blue Jays are 33-21 in home games
  • Tigers vs. Blue Jays picks: See picks at SportsLine
Featured Game | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers

Why you should back the Tigers

Detroit's offense has struggled this season, but the Tigers can find value elsewhere in this matchup. Detroit's team speed is strong, illustrated by a top-five mark in the American League in stolen bases. In addition, this could be a strong matchup for Detroit's lineup against a starting pitcher that has struggled in recent days. Berrios enters with a 1.37 WHIP and a 5.20 ERA this season, while opponents have an .808 OPS against him. Over his last seven starts, Berrios has a 6.31 ERA, and Detroit can capitalize on those issues. 

Detroit's bullpen is also top-notch, ranking in the top three of the AL in wins above replacement from relief pitchers. The Tigers are also in the top four of the AL in bullpen ERA, and the team's relief corps has a combined ground ball rate of 45 percent.

Why you should back the Blue Jays

In addition to a massive edge on the offensive side, Toronto projects to have the starting pitching advantage on Sunday. Berrios, a two-time All-Star, will start for the Blue Jays and, while he has not been dominant throughout the season, there is plenty to like. Berrios has a 3.41 ERA in five July starts and a 3.47 ERA in home starts this season. He also averages 9.0 strikeouts and 2.7 walks per nine innings across his impressive career.

In contrast, Detroit is starting the rookie Hill who has a 5.57 ERA overall and a 7.20 ERA in his last three outings. Hill has only 10 strikeouts across 21 MLB innings, and Toronto's offense can exploit his shortcomings. The Blue Jays have been the American League's best offensive team by a solid margin since the All-Star break, and Toronto leads the AL in hits, batting average, on-base percentage, and total bases for the full 2022 campaign.

How to make Tigers vs. Blue Jays picks

SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total, projecting 8.9 combined runs, and it says one side of the money line has all the value. You can only get the MLB model's picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Blue Jays vs. Tigers? And which side has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of Tigers vs. Blue Jays you need to jump on Sunday, all from the model that has crushed its MLB picks, and find out.