The 2023 Discount Tire Hall Of Fame Series features the No. 4 Purdue Boilermakers (8-1) and the Alabama Crimson Tide (6-2) matching up on Saturday afternoon in Toronto. This is the ninth game in history between these programs. Alabama beat Purdue 65-56 in the last contest back in 2011. The Crimson Tide are second in the nation in scoring offense (94.1). Meanwhile, Purdue is in the 25th spot in points per game (84.9).
Tipoff from Coca-Cola Coliseum is set for 1:30 p.m. ET. The Boilermakers are 6-point favorites in the latest Purdue vs. Alabama odds via SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 160.5. Before making any Alabama vs. Purdue picks, you'll want to see the college basketball predictions from SportsLine's proven model.
The model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. It enters Week 5 of the 2023-24 season on a 98-61 roll on all top-rated college basketball picks dating back to last season, returning more than $2,000 for $100 players. It is also off to a 10-2 start on top-rated spread picks this season. Anyone following has seen huge returns.
- Purdue vs. Alabama spread: Boilermakers -6
- Purdue vs. Alabama over/under: 160.5 points
- Purdue vs. Alabama money line: Boilermakers -258, Crimson Tide +211
- ALA: Hit the 1H Under in 24 of last 37 games
- PUR: 6-2-1 ATS this season
- Purdue vs. Alabama picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why Purdue can cover
The Boilermakers have a strong backcourt that can help take some of the pressure off star big man Zach Edey. Senior guard Lance Jones averages 11 points, 2.1 assists and makes 36% of his 3-pointers. He's finished with at least 15 points in two of his last three games. In his last outing, Jones tallied 17 points and went 3-of-6 from 3-point land.
Sophomore guard Fletcher Loyer provides Purdue with another strong option on the perimeter. Loyer is always moving without the ball and owns a quick release to get plenty of shots off. The Indiana native averages 10.9 points, 2.7 rebounds and shoots 38% from downtown. On Dec. 1 versus Northwestern, Loyer tallied 17 points, three rebounds, and went 3-of-5 from 3-point land. See who to back at SportsLine.
Why Alabama can cover
Senior guard Mark Sears is the catalyst for this offense. Sears has the skill set to score from all three levels and absorbs contact from defenders in the lane. The Alabama native is averaging a team-best 19.8 points with 4.4 rebounds and 4.3 assists per contest. He's also very efficient, shooting 57% from the floor. On Nov. 28 versus Clemson, Sears totaled 23 points, three assists and went 4-of-9 from downtown.
Senior guard Aaron Estrada is a shot-creator who transferred in from Hofstra. The New Jersey native logs 16.4 points, 4.3 rebounds and makes 44% of his 3-pointers. He's notched 20-plus points in three games this season. On Nov. 25 against Oregon, Estrada piled up 22 points, four assists and shot 3-of-6 from three. See who to back at SportsLine.
How to make Alabama vs. Purdue picks
The model has simulated this matchup 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning Under, and it also says one side of the spread hits nearly 70% of the time. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Purdue vs. Alabama, and which side of the spread hits nearly 70% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the model that is on a 98-61 roll on its top-ranked college basketball picks, and find out.