A game with Louisville is still left on Houston's schedule. If the Cougars lose that one as well, it's likely that they will be left out of the New Year's Six bowl games altogether. An undefeated team like Boise State or even Western Michigan could surpass Houston in the rankings despite each of those teams playing an inferior schedule.
With the Cougars dropping out of contention, Washington moves into the projected fourth seed in the CFP. The Huskies continued to assert their dominance in the Pac-12 by hanging 70 on the former beast of the league, Oregon.
|College Football Playoff projections
|(1) Alabama vs. (4) Washington
|(2) Clemson vs. (3) Ohio State
Louisville is also hurt by Houston's loss Saturday because now a victory next month over the Cougars would be devalued some. The Cardinals, which had the week off, are hoping to still get into playoff contention by finishing 11-1 and having their only loss be to undefeated Clemson.
The current prediction is that no Group of Five team will finish unbeaten and that Houston will still earn that spot in the New Year's Six. Note that at this point, that requires Navy to lose twice to open the door for Houston to even win its division. The Group of Five spot goes to the highest ranked conference champion from those conferences. Stanford moves over to the Rose Bowl to replace Washington, despite its back-to-back losses.
|New Year's Six bowl projections
|New Orleans, La.
|Oklahoma (Big 12) vs. Texas A&M (SEC)
|Michigan (Big Ten) vs. Stanford (Pac-12)
|Houston (At-large) vs. Tennessee (At-large)
|Louisville (ACC) vs. Wisconsin
The number of otherwise ineligible teams needed to fill the 80 bowl spots is down to six this week. Army gets a spot with a 6-6 record, but two wins over FCS teams. Hawaii projects to 6-7 in a 13-game regular season, and that also gets priority over 5-7 teams. That means the only teams in this week's bowl projections that are expected to finish 5-7 are Boston College, Missouri, Northwestern and Utah State.