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Bowl Projections


Heisman Hopefuls · Expert Picks · Bowl Projections · Freshman Watch
 

Updated Nov. 7

BCS National Championship Game -- Get Tickets!

Jan. 7
Pasadena, Calif.
BCS #1 vs. BCS #2
Comment: The top two teams -- Florida and Texas -- are projected to meet in Pasadena. The Gators will be looking for their third title in the past four seasons, while Texas is looking for its first since 2005.
Post your BCS Title Game prediction

The champions of selected conferences are contractually committed to certain bowls, unless they are No. 1 or No. 2. (ACC: Orange; Big Ten: Rose; Big 12: Fiesta; Pac-10: Rose; SEC: Sugar). If a Bowl loses a host team to the title game, then the bowl gets first choice at a replacement team. The rest of the selection order for 2010 is as follows: Orange, Fiesta, Sugar.

One champion from C-USA, MAC, Mountain West, Sun Belt or WAC will earn an automatic berth in a BCS bowl game if either: A. Such team is ranked in the top 12 of the final BCS Standings, or, B. Such team is ranked in the top 16 of the final BCS Standings and its ranking in the final BCS Standings is higher than that of a champion of a conference that has an annual automatic berth in one of the BCS bowls.
 
Video: Bowl Projections 11/3


Orange Bowl -- Get Tickets!
Jan. 5
Miami, Fla.
BCS vs. BCS
Comment: The ACC champion is locked to the Orange Bowl and we now project it to be Georgia Tech. With Miami's loss to Clemson, the Hurricanes now have two ACC losses and so does Virginia Tech, so it falls on Georgia Tech. The Orange Bowl gets the first pick after the replacement picks and takes an undefeated TCU.
 
Fiesta Bowl -- Get Tickets!
Jan. 4
Glendale, Ariz.
BCS vs. BCS
Comment: The Big 12 champion is locked to the Fiesta Bowl, but with Texas projected to the title game, the Fiesta gets a replacement pick. Since there will be no other Big 12 teams worthy of a BCS selection, we project it will be USC. With its other at-large pick, it will take an undefeated Boise State.
Sugar Bowl -- Get Tickets!
Jan. 1
New Orleans
BCS vs. BCS
Comment: With Florida going to the title game, the Sugar Bowl will take a one-loss Alabama. Cincinnati is the favorite to win the Big East and land here.
 
Rose Bowl -- Get Tickets!
Jan. 1
Pasadena, Calif.
BCS vs. BCS
Comment: The Pac-10 champion vs. the Big Ten champion. With Oregon's win over USC last week, it is in control of the conference, while the Big Ten will most likely be decided between Ohio State and Iowa. Since the game is in Columbus, Ohio State is the projected winner, allowing it to head to the Rose Bowl.
Non-BCS Games
BowlDateLocationTVTimeMatchupPrediction
GMACJan. 6Mobile, Ala.ESPN7 p.m.MAC vs. ACC No. 9Temple vs. Middle Tennessee State*
AlamoJan. 2San AntonioESPN9 p.m.Big Ten No. 4/5 vs. Big 12Wisconsin vs. Kansas State
LibertyJan. 2Memphis, Tenn.ESPN5:30 p.m.C-USA No. 1 vs. SECHouston vs. Georgia
CottonJan. 2DallasFOX2 p.m.Big 12 No. 2 vs. SECOklahoma State vs. Auburn
Papajohns.comJan. 2Birmingham, Ala.ESPN2 p.m.Big East vs. SECRutgers vs. Kentucky
InternationalJan. 2TorontoESPN2NoonBig East vs. MACPittsburgh vs. Ohio
GatorJan. 1Jacksonville, Fla.CBS1 p.m.ACC No. 3 vs. Big East/Big 12Virginia Tech vs. Notre Dame
Capital OneJan. 1Orlando, Fla.ABC1 p.m.Big Ten No. 2 vs. SEC No. 2Iowa vs. LSU
OutbackJan. 1Tampa, Fla.ESPN11 a.m.Big Ten No. 3 vs. SECPenn State vs. Tennessee
Chick-fil-ADec. 31AtlantaESPN7:30 p.m.SEC vs. ACC No. 2Mississippi vs. Miami (Fla.)
InsightDec. 31Tempe, Ariz.NFL Net.5:30 p.m.Big Ten No. 6 vs. Big 12 No. 6Northwestern vs. Texas Tech
SunDec. 31El Paso, Tex.CBSNoonPac-10 No. 3 vs. Big 12/Big EastArizona vs. Oklahoma
Armed ForcesDec. 31Fort Worth, Tex.ESPNNoonMWC vs. C-USASan Diego State vs. Tulsa
HolidayDec. 30San Diego, Calif.ESPN8 p.m.Pac-10 No. 2 vs. Big 12 No. 3Stanford vs. Nebraska
TexasDec. 30HoustonNFL Net.8 p.m.Big 12 No. 8 vs. NavyTexas A&M vs. Navy
HumanitarianDec. 30Boise, IdahoESPN4:30 p.m.WAC vs. MWCIdaho vs. Air Force
Champs SportsDec. 29Orlando, Fla.ESPN8 p.m.ACC No. 4 vs. Big Ten No. 4/5Clemson vs. Michigan State
EagleBankDec. 29Washington D.C.ESPN4:30 p.m.Army vs. ACC No. 8Northern Illinois* vs. Marshall*
IndependenceDec. 28Shreveport, La.ESPN5 p.m.Big 12 vs. SECKansas vs. Arkansas
Music CityDec. 27Nashville, Tenn.ESPN8:15 p.m.SEC vs. ACC No. 5/6/7South Carolina vs. North Carolina
EmeraldDec. 26San FranciscoESPN8:30 p.m.ACC No. 5/6/7 vs. Pac-10Boston College vs. Oregon State
Meineke Car CareDec. 26Charlotte, N.C.ESPN4 p.m.ACC No. 5/6/7 vs. Big East No. 3Florida State vs. West Virginia
PizzaDec. 26Detroit, Mich.ESPN5 p.m.MAC vs. Big Ten No. 7Central Michigan vs. Minnesota
HawaiiDec. 24HonoluluESPN8 p.m.WAC vs. C-USANevada vs. SMU
PoinsettiaDec. 23San Diego, Calif.ESPN8 p.m.MWC vs. Pac-10 No. 6BYU vs. UCLA
MaacoDec. 22Las Vegas, Nev.ESPN8 p.m.Pac-10 vs. MWC No. 1California vs. Utah
New OrleansDec. 20New OrleansESPN8 p.m.Sun Belt No. 1 vs. C-USATroy vs. East Carolina
St. PetersburgDec. 19St. Petersburg, Fla.ESPN8 p.m.Big East vs. C-USASouth Florida vs. UCF
New MexicoDec. 19Albuquerque, N.M.ESPN4:30 p.m.MWC vs. WACMissouri* vs. Fresno State
Notre Dame is considered a Big East school in the bowl selection process. If Army is bowl-eligible, it will play in the EagleBank Bowl. If not, a C-USA, MAC or Big Ten school can replace it. Navy is slated to play in the Texas Bowl if it is bowl-eligible. The Sun Belt has a deal with the St. Petersburg Bowl if C-USA can not fill its selections. * - Replacement team.
Talk Back
Reputation:97
Level:Superstar
Since:Nov 3, 2006

November 8, 2009 11:27 pm

Mike Fair’s Top-10

1.       Florida 9-0:  They are really that good

2.       Alabama 9-0:  They are really that goo ...(more)

Reputation:86
Level:All-Star
Since:Aug 31, 2006

November 9, 2009 11:10 am
What about a REMATCH in the BCS National Championship game ....

Florida and Alabama both go undefeated to the SEC CG, and one of them wins in a close game.....

Meanwhile ... Texas gets upset in the BigXII CG by 8-4 Kansas State or Nebraska (that has happened before!!!) and Pitt beats Cincy.

So, now, the FL/BAMA winner is in, but who do they
...(more)
Reputation:67
Level:Pro
Since:Dec 2, 2007

November 8, 2009 11:19 am

So you must be predicting Cincinnati to lose a game? After the replacements for the title game of Texas and Florida are selected Alabama/Florida loser to the Sugar and USC to the fiesta. The order of the bowls selecting the teams are Orange, Fiesta and Sugar.

So Cincinnati being the highest ranked BCS team from a major conference, plus with how much their going to be talked ...(more)

Reputation:98
Level:Superstar
Since:Aug 29, 2006

November 8, 2009 10:37 am
I think the tigers could have something to say about the Orange Bowl.  We had a bad game against Maryland and that's still being held against us.  That's OK though, we'll fly under the radar for the rest of the regular season, and suprise a very good GT team in the ACCCG.  Maybe the nation will wake up then and see that Clemson has finally turned the corner.  With 3 losses ...(more)
Reputation:98
Level:Superstar
Since:Aug 22, 2006

November 3, 2009 6:02 pm
IF they both should win out...  (This would be the qualifying statement.  Please do not tell me all the reasons why it won't happen.  I understand the IF part means IF.)

Is it a foregone conclusion that a Pitt vs. Penn State bowl game would be a spectacular sight?  Is it possible?  Fiesta?  Sugar?  What committee wouldn't want that matchup?  (ag
...(more)
Reputation:96
Level:Superstar
Since:Oct 9, 2006

November 8, 2009 3:32 am
I know....TCU looks great this year. But this game TCU v. Utah should be a good one.

All Utah has done now is win 29 out of their last 31 games, and the two losses were close, nobody has blown the Utes out.

Seriously, who can say that they have won 29 out of their last 31 games, not many. Winning is a UTE habit.

Utah plays to the level of their
...(more)
Reputation:99
Level:Superstar
Since:Aug 14, 2006

November 7, 2009 9:15 pm
Obviously strange things can happen tonight, but Iowa's loss and Ohio State's win really changes things in the Big Ten. Plus, now I'm not so sure Penn State can get an at-large bid to the BCS. Assuming Ohio State beats Iowa, then the Buckeyes will be headed to the Rose Bowl, and Iowa and Penn State might be on the outside looking in.

USC is back in the game now, but if they lose tonigh
...(more)
Reputation:89
Level:All-Star
Since:Nov 12, 2006

November 8, 2009 11:56 am

.... and no, this isn't a thread about creating a playoff system.  I'll save that for another day.  I won't even discuss whether or not we have too many bowls.  Again another topic altogether.  Here's why I hate the bowl system.  The match-ups are pre-determined because of conference bowl tie-ins.  Sure, some of the tie-ins make sense in terms of geography, but eve ...(more)

Reputation:95
Level:Superstar
Since:Aug 31, 2006

November 3, 2009 1:34 pm
The New Mexico Bowl gets the 4th selection from the Mountain West.  The Humanitarian Bowl gets the 5th selection.  If there are not enoug teams to fill the slots, the Humanitarian Bowl would select an at-large team - not the New Mexico Bowl.  The conference could ask the New Mexico Bowl to take an at-large team in favor of a good match up elsewhere.  The Bowl would have to ...(more)
Reputation:89
Level:All-Star
Since:Nov 12, 2006

November 8, 2009 12:08 am
Oh, I know it can't happen but if both UC and OSU earn their conference's automatic BCS bid, it would be a dream match.  Let Alabama go play Oregon or whoever in the Rose Bowl.  Send UC and OSU to Bourbon Street, or better yet play at Paul Brown Stadium in Cincy (neutral field since UC plays at Nippert Stadium).
Reputation:96
Level:Superstar
Since:Oct 10, 2006

November 1, 2009 2:47 pm

It's looking ever more like Texas vs either Florida or Alabama/LSU for the big game.

In the SEC, all too famous for cannibalism and eating its own young, only LSU or Alabama can win the head-to-head matchup and the Gators are already in the SEC Champs cat bird seat, thanks to a SC loss at TN on Saturday. Whoever wins in Atlanta goes to Pasadena.

Florida made significant adjustme ...(more)

Reputation:99
Level:Superstar
Since:Dec 13, 2006

November 1, 2009 9:34 am
Even with a loss to OU... a game we easily could have won..... we are still 3-2 in conference and lead the division by 1/2 game over NU. Yet the powers that be at CBS still dont think KSU even gets to the TEXAS BOWL?? REALLY??? I guess it is going to take KSU beating KU in Manhattan to switch that around...am I right?

Either way, it is a pretty damn good turnaround for a team that mos
...(more)
Reputation:99
Level:Superstar
Since:Aug 14, 2006

November 3, 2009 5:08 pm
I'm sure you won't all agree with my selections, but if you have any questions or comments ... Post them here. We will do a podcast next week and read some questions/concerns/comments on the bowl selection process and projections.

Thanks!

-- J. Darin Darst

Reputation:95
Level:Superstar
Since:Sep 1, 2006

September 6, 2009 4:34 pm
That will be quite hard to do following their 3rd straight North Title 
Reputation:98
Level:Superstar
Since:Dec 29, 2007

October 31, 2009 11:39 pm
How can they have South Florida, a team Pitt slaughtered ahead of Pitt in the projected bowls.  Pitt has 1 loss and is undefeated in the Big East.  They are getting better every week, with the most dynamic running back in the country.  Dion Lewis is a true freshman.  Pitt should have no problems winning next week against Syracuse.  Assuming they also beat Notre Dame and WV ...(more)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
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