No. 11 seed Lorenzo Musetti will try to bounce back from a disappointing semifinal loss to Novak Djokovic when he faces No. 13 seed Felix Auger-Aliassime in the men's bronze medal match at the 2024 Paris Olympics on Saturday. Musetti had opportunities to seize momentum in both sets on Friday afternoon, but he ultimately fell in straight sets. Auger-Aliassime is coming off a more decisive loss, as Carlos Alcaraz cruised to a 6-1, 6-1 victory. However, the Canadian bounced back by winning a bronze medal in mixed doubles alongside Gabriela Dabrowski.
Saturday morning's match is slated to begin at 11 a.m. ET on Court Philippe-Chatrier. The latest Paris Olympics tennis odds list Musetti as the -125 favorite (risk $125 to win $100) on the money line, while Auger-Aliassime is the +105 underdog. The over/under for total games is 22.5, with Musetti favored by 0.5 games. Before making any Musetti vs. Auger-Aliassime picks or 2024 Olympic tennis predictions, you need to see what SportsLine tennis handicapper Jose Onorato has to say.
Onorato grew up playing competitive tennis in Caracas, Venezuela. After coming to the U.S., he trained with famed coach Nick Bollettieri at IMG Academy in Florida and faced players like Robert Farah, now one of the world's top-ranked doubles players.
Onorato, who holds dual degrees in finance and economics from the University of Miami, does extensive research before placing any tennis bets. He studies current form, players' tendencies on a particular surface, weather conditions and many other relevant factors. That systematic approach has helped Onorato go 168-106-9 (+107.12 units) since 2022. Two months ago in the 2024 French Open, he correctly picked Iga Swiatek (-160) to win the women's title.
Now, Onorato has broken down the latest odds for the 2024 Olympic men's tennis bronze medal match between Lorenzo Musetti and Felix Auger-Aliassime and has identified his best bets. He's sharing all of his picks and analysis at SportsLine.
Why you should back Musetti
Musetti was unable to overcome Djokovic in the big moments on Friday, but Auger-Aliassime is far less experienced playing in this type of match. The Canadian has only made two semifinal appearances in 2024 prior to this event, and he is coming off a blowout loss to Alcaraz. He has also been playing mixed doubles every day this week, leaving him less rested than Musetti in this matchup.
The Italian has made five straight semifinal appearances, taking a huge step forward in his career this season. He became the first Italian to reach the semifinals of the Olympics since 1984, and he can now win the nation's first medal in tennis singles since 1924. Musetti has been in much better form than Auger-Aliassime, making him the deserved favorite on Saturday. You can see Onorato's picks here.
Why you should back Auger-Aliassime
While Alcaraz proved too much to handle on Friday, Auger-Aliassime has put together an impressive run at the Olympics. He knocked off Daniil Medvedev and Casper Ruud in back-to-back matches to earn his right to compete for a medal in singles. Auger-Aliassime also picked up a bronze medal in mixed doubles on Friday afternoon, taking some of the pressure off himself heading into this match.
He was the first Canadian to reach the semifinals at the Olympics, rediscovering his top form that he lost due to injury issues last year. Auger-Aliassime has won his last four sets against Musetti, and he holds a 3-2 edge in their all-time meetings. Musetti might be more disappointed to settle for a spot in the bronze medal match, while motivation should not be an issue for the Canadian. You can see Onorato's picks here.
How to make 2024 Olympic men's singles bronze medal picks
Onorato has thoroughly studied Musetti vs. Auger-Aliassime and has locked in his pick to win the bronze medal. He's sharing his picks and analysis only at SportsLine.
What are the best bets for Auger-Aliassime vs. Musetti in the 2024 Paris Olympics men's third-place match? Visit SportsLine now to see Onorato's best bets, all from the tennis expert who is up 107.12 units since 2022, and find out.
