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NHL Picks

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Today's Top Free Expert Picks

  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    +279
    (62%)
    45-28 in Last 73 TB ML Picks
    WAS @ TB • Sat 7:00pm
    TB
    -148
    Money Line
    Picked: Oct 2 @ 12:30pm

    Analysis

    The NHL is one league where I like to play lookahead lines, and this is the scenario where it's perfect to me. Washington is playing tonight at Carolina and using No. 1 goalie Logan Thompson. Nothing good can happen for the Caps against the Hurricanes in terms of then playing 24 hours later in Tampa. Backup Charlie Lindgren already is confirmed and he was decidedly not good last season (3.52 GAA). The Lightning and future HOF goalie Andrei Vasilevskiy were embarrassed in their season opener at the Rangers, so I expect a very focused effort in the home opener Saturday.
  • expert headshot
    Todd Fuhrman
    Vegas Insider
    MON @ PIT • Sat 7:00pm
    Over 6
    -115
    Over/Under
    Picked: Oct 2 @ 12:35pm

    Analysis

    I'm a big picture seller of the Penguins this season mainly because I don't have much confidence in what they're going to be icing every night on the blue line. The shutout performance against the Flyers had more to do with Philly issues in my opinion than anything else. Montreal has an ability to attack with speed and the Pens best defensive approach will be to match that firepower against Sid's boyhood team. I made this total 6.5 U -115 so happy to go over an affordable 6 on Saturday
  • expert headshot
    Thomas Casale
    Casale on Campus
    CHI @ BUF • Sat 7:00pm
    BUF -1.5
    +120
    Spread
    Picked: Oct 2 @ 6:09pm

    Analysis

    I like Buffalo in its home opener -1.5 at +120. I think this line should be closer to -110. The Sabres lost their opener at Columbus, but I expect them to still be a scoring machine at home this season. While I think the Blackhawks are improved from last season, they have a tough start to the year with three straight road games versus playoff teams. They already lost to Utah and Vegas, and now have to travel across the country to face Buffalo. The Sabres have won the last five meetings by a combined score of 27-8 and covered the puck line each time. I like that trend to continue on Saturday.
  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    Severance Pays
    BOS @ MIN • Sat 8:00pm
    MIN
    -180
    Money Line
    Picked: Oct 2 @ 3:12pm

    Analysis

    This is in the same boat as my earlier Lightning play. Minnesota is sitting home Friday waiting, while Boston is playing a tough game tonight in Winnipeg and then has to obviously travel -- hey, maybe customs is tricky now with Canada -- for the Wild's home opener. The Bruins are playing No. 1 Jeremy Swayman vs. the Jets, so that means inexperienced No. 2 Michael DiPietro in net Saturday. The 27-year-old has two career NHL starts and not since 2021-22 with Vancouver. He lost both with 10 goals allowed. This would be a spot where my old -1 would have been so appreciated. So not having that, I'll just up the ante on this wager with every edge pointing toward the Wild.

Today's Top Free Player Prop Picks

Built using SportsLine's cutting-edge machine learning, predictions and ratings are generated for each player prop by analyzing historical performance, opponent matchup scores, odds, and prop line movements
  • UTA @ CLB • 7:00 pm
    player headshot
    N. Schmaltz
    Under 2.5
    -170
    Shots on Goal
    PROJ: 2.3
  • MON @ PIT • 7:00 pm
    player headshot
    E. Malkin
    Over 1.5
    -188
    Shots on Goal
    PROJ: 2.3
  • SEA @ EDM • 7:00 pm
    player headshot
    B. McMann
    Under 2.5
    -146
    Shots on Goal
    PROJ: 1.9

Latest News

The NHL is gaining momentum as a popular sport for betting as access to sportsbooks expands across the country. Sportsbooks will often offer promotions such as same-game parlays and profit boosts to entice potential bettors to use their apps when betting on the NHL. Puck lines, money lines and totals are the standard markets for NHL betting discussion, while player props offer another avenue for betting on hockey during the season and the Stanley Cup playoffs. Bettors can also take positions on who will win the title or awards such as the Conn Smythe Trophy in futures markets.

NHL Sports Betting Terms:

  • With regular action most days from the start of the season in the fall until the Stanley Cup final in June, NHL betting provides the opportunity to make predictions on the outcomes of hockey games for a majority of the year. Here are terms you should know to familiarize yourself with NHL betting:

  • Lines

    The term “lines” refers to odds for bettable outcomes in NHL games, including money lines, puck lines (which are known as spreads in other sports) and totals. When making money line bets, the only aspect of the outcome that decides whether the bet is successful is who wins the game, no matter the final score. The favored team returns less potential profit in the event of a win than the underdog, with the odds determined by the sportsbook based upon the likelihood of each team winning. A negative number for a money line represents the size of the wager needed to win $100, while a positive number represents profit potential on a $100 bet. For example, a -150 favorite would require a $150 bet to have the opportunity to win $100, while a +150 underdog would pay $150 in profit on a successful $100 wager. Puck lines are based on scoring margin, with the favored team typically being -1.5 and the underdog +1.5. Betting on the favored team means they would need to win the game by at least two goals, while a bet on the underdog pays out if they win the game by any margin or lose by one goal. With one goal being the most common scoring differential in the NHL, the payouts tend to be higher when betting on the favorite with a -1.5 puck line, offering bettors the opportunity to pursue higher profit potential than the money line while backing a favorite.

  • Totals

    Wagering on totals involves taking a position on the number of goals scored in a game or a portion of the game, such as the first period. When betting the total, bettors must decide whether the total amount of goals scored by both teams for the game or segment of the game will be over (more) or under (less) than the line listed by sportsbooks. The payouts related to each side will also be listed with the total. For example, a total of 6.5 goals with -120 on the Over and +100 on the Under would return $100 in profit for a $120 bet on Over 6.5 if there are seven or more goals scored in the game by both teams combined. If there are six or fewer goals scored, a $100 bet would return $100 in profit.

  • Props

    Bettors can wager on other more specific outcomes in NHL games besides the standard markets above. These proposition bets (also known as props) can include player props, such as the number of goals or assists a certain player accumulates; team props, such as whether one team will go over its own goal total set by the sportsbook; or game props, such as whether a game will go into overtime. Player props are a popular way to bet on NHL games and are a core part of same-game parlay bets. Players have lines generated by sportsbooks that are tied to statistical outcomes in their control, and bettors can take positions on whether a player goes over or under those totals. This could involve points, assists, saves and shots on goal, for example. Bettors can also wager on players to score a goal at any time in the game or to lead the game in a category like points. Team props include team totals, which isolates each team for totals betting rather than combining them for the standard totals market. Bettors will only be invested in, for example, whether the home team in a matchup scores more or fewer than 3.5 goals rather than whether both teams combine for more or fewer than 6.5 goals. Team props include betting on team totals, which in effect splits the game total into a unique number for each team correlated with the spread and allows bettors to take positions on only one team. Some markets can also involve both teams or neither team scoring above a certain points threshold. Game props involve other outcomes outside of specific players, such as which team scores first or whether one team will come from behind to win the game. Bettors can also try to predict the exact final score of the game for higher potential profit than betting on the puck line or total.

  • Live Betting

    Bettors can also get involved in certain betting markets after an NHL game starts via live betting, where sportsbooks will adjust the odds for standard and select prop markets to reflect the course of the game in real time. Interested bettors are able to assess the flow of the game and account for key injuries or other factors when deciding whether to live bet against the sportsbooks’ real-time odds. Hedging is also a key strategy for some live bettors, which allows the opportunity to make a second bet opposite a position taken before the game started at a better number. For example, if a pregame underdog bet at +1.5 takes an early lead and becomes the -1.5 favorite on the puck line, taking the other team at +1.5 would guarantee that one of the two bets would hit while providing the opportunity to win both if either team loses by just one goal.

  • Futures Betting

    Futures betting involves betting into markets based around outcomes that resolve further in the future than a single game. Examples include betting on who will win the Stanley Cup, the Hart Trophy for regular season MVP or other events involving more than a single game. Another component of futures betting is win totals, where each team will have a total number of wins listed by the sportsbooks and bettors can take positions on those teams to win more (Over) or fewer (Under) games. A win total of 50.5 would pay to the Under if the team wins 50 or fewer games and to the Over if the team wins 51 or more games. League awards are also considered futures betting, with bettors able to predict the winners of the Hart, Norris and Vezina Trophies as well as other awards. These awards may only be available in certain markets where allowed by state regulations. Another way to back particular players is to bet on them to lead the league in a particular category such as goals scored.