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  • expert headshot
    Adam Thompson
    #3
    +647
    (73%)
    11-4 in Last 15 MLB ML Picks
    LAD
    -160
    Money Line
    WIN
    Picked: Apr 23 @ 10:27am

    Analysis

    The Dodgers are hitting the ball way better, and Logan Webb has been hit hard in four of five starts. Tyler Glasnow has gone six-plus innings in all four starts, negating what is the Dodgers’ lone blip (slumping bullpen). One other note: The Dodgers rank No. 1 in OPS during day games and average 7.0 runs per game under the sun, the Giants rank dead-last and average 2.3.
  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    +415.5
    (100%)
    7-0 in Last 7 MLB Picks
    CHC +1.5
    -145
    Spread
    WIN
    Picked: Apr 23 @ 10:05am

    Analysis

    I'm getting the much better team -- at least so far -- on an eight-game winning streak playing at home getting +1.5 at nearly the same price as the slumping road team's moneyline. Yeah, I'm going to play something on that. I get why the Phillies are favored behind Cristopher Sanchez (2-2, 1.59 ERA), but the Cubs saw him 10 days again and had a little success. Chicago's Edward Cabrera (2-0, 2.38 ERA) can be as dominant as anyone. Also as wild, so that's his thing. The Phils haven't seen him in 2026, and Cabrera had good numbers against them in 2025 while with Miami.
  • expert headshot
    Sia Nejad
    Counselor of Cash
    PHI
    -133
    First 5 Innings Moneyline
    LOSS
    Picked: Apr 23 @ 9:41am

    Analysis

    It's not exactly the "buy low" I had in mind as I'm laying some juice (BetMGM has the best price) for a struggling Phillies team, but I do love the pitching matchup. Christopher Sanchez hasn't been perfect this year, but he's a far better pitcher than Edward Cabrera. The Phillies bats have been quiet, but they're better against righties and I expect them to get to Cabrera, who has allowed plenty of baserunners over his last two outings.
  • expert headshot
    Adam Thompson
    #3
    +647
    (73%)
    11-4 in Last 15 MLB ML Picks
    CHC
    +105
    Money Line
    WIN
    Picked: Apr 23 @ 10:25am

    Analysis

    Phillies starter Cristopher Sanchez is dynamic (1.59 ERA), but he’s about the only thing going right in Philly. The Cubs’ bullpen is better by over two full runs, and the team has a big .939 OPS vs. LHPs the last 15 days, offering a glimpse of hope. Cubbies starter Edward Cabrera (2.38 ERA) has been no slouch. Plus odds at home? We’ll take it.
  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    Severance Pays
    MIL +1.5
    -140
    First 5 Innings Run Line
    WIN
    Picked: Apr 23 @ 9:53am

    Analysis

    So I can either play Tigers F5 -0.5 at -150 (thought would be the choice and why I went to look) or Brewers F5 +1.5 at -140. Think I have to take Milwaukee at that quite cheap number even facing Tarik Skubal. Winds are blowing in a bit at Comerica Park today so obviously that should help keep runs down. Brewers pitcher Brandon Sproat has allowed just one run in back-to-back outings. Obviously if he does that again, we cash even if the Brewers don't score in the first five. If they can just push one run across, I feel pretty good as the Tigers aren't all that great offensively.

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