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Jamie Benn and the Dallas Stars look to increase their series lead against Connor McDavid and the Oilers in Edmonton on Wednesday in Game 4 of the 2024 NHL Western Conference Final. The Oilers got off to a hot start in Game 3, taking a 2-0 lead at home on Monday. The lead was short-lived as Dallas rallied behind a Jason Robertson hat trick to win 5-3 and take a 2-1 series lead.

Opening faceoff at Rogers Place is set for 8:30 p.m. ET. Edmonton is a -134 favorite (risk $134 to win $100) on the money line in the latest Oilers vs. Stars odds from SportsLine consensus while Dallas is a +114 underdog. The over/under for total goals scored is 6 and Edmonton is a -1.5 (+188) favorite on the puck line. Before making any Stars vs. Oilers picks, you need to check out the NHL predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

SportsLine's model simulates every NHL game 10,000 times, taking into account factors like current form, individual matchups, injuries and short- and long-term trends when making NHL picks. It entered the 2024 NHL playoffs on a 7-4 run on top-rated puck-line picks.     

Now, the model has set its sights on Oilers vs. Stars and just locked in its NHL picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the latest NHL odds and trends for Stars vs. Oilers: 

  • Oilers vs. Stars money line: Edmonton -134, Dallas +114
  • Oilers vs. Stars over/under: 6 goals
  • Oilers vs. Stars puck line: Edmonton -1.5 (+188)
  • DAL: 2-0-0 in Game 4 in the 2024 Stanley Cup playoffs
  • EDM: 2-0-0 in Game 4 in the 2024 Stanley Cup playoffs
  • Stars vs. Oilers picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why you should back the Stars

Jake Oettinger's recovery after giving up two early goals in Game 3 is just one example of what has made Dallas successful in these playoffs. He enters Game 4 with a 2.09 goals-against average and .923 save percentage, and he will stand on his head yet again as Edmonton's top line tries to outscore Dallas' depth on Wednesday.

Getting Roope Hintz back in the lineup has added to the Stars' already-impressive depth, and they are even more dangerous now that Robertson and Wyatt Johnston have broken their scoring slumps. Dallas' defense has also held up their end of the bargain as Miro Heiskanen and Esa Lindell pitch in as helpers in addition to backing up Oettinger. See who to back at SportsLine

Why you should back the Oilers

Bench boss Kris Knoblauch is expected to make some lineup changes for Game 4, but the loss in Game 3 should also light a fire under the Oilers' big guns. McDavid has had an impact on the series, but Edmonton is going to need Zach Hyman and Leon Draisaitl to step up at home in Game 4. One plus is that getting Adam Henrique back at third-line center has added some depth scoring.

The model appears confident that Stuart Skinner will lock down in net in Game 4 as well. He had held the opposition to two or fewer goals since returning to the starting role in Round 2, but has since given up seven over the last two games. He enters Game 4 with a 2.76 goals-against average and .885 save percentage. See who to back at SportsLine

How to make Oilers vs. Stars picks

SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the total, projecting 7.2 combined goals. It also says one side of the money line is the better value. You can only get the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Stars vs. Oilers, and which side of the money line is the better value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Stars vs. Oilers money line to jump on Wednesday, all from the advanced model that has simulated this matchup 10,000 times.