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  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    #1
    +1264
    (75%)
    42-14 in Last 56 MLB ML Picks
    NYY
    -150
    Money Line
    Picked: May 2 @ 6:02am

    Analysis

    Can't say I like this as much as I did yesterday's game, but Orioles starter Kyle Bradish has not been sharp this season. Consider a Ben Rice Over 1.5 total bases prop (3-for-5 with a dinger off Bradish career). What I may do is have a little fun and play this with a Kentucky Derby choice -- and it won't be favored Renegade on the post. The betting favorite on race day hasn’t won at Churchill Downs since 2018 (Justify). I like Further Ado at 6/1. There is my horse racing knowledge for 2026, but you will definitely want to read our picks from the excellent Gene Menez, Jeff Hochman and others for that. They seem to win every year.
  • expert headshot
    Prop Bet Guy
    +39
    (57%)
    4-3 in Last 7 MLB Player Props Picks
    player headshot
    D. Cease
    Under 17.5
    -137
    Outs Recorded
    Picked: May 2 @ 10:22am

    Analysis

    Caesar’s / MGM. As solid as Dylan Cease has been in his first season as a Blue Jay (2.87 ERA and 3.25 xERA), he has only finished 6 innings in one of his six starts. He’s highly inefficient with his pitch count, needing 4.36 per plate appearance, which is the most amongst qualifiers. He’ll face a patient Twins lineup that sees the 11th most pitches per plate appearance, draws the fifth highest walk rate, and has the ninth lowest chase rate. If they can string together anything offensively, keeping Cease under this line should be no issue. I’d bet this down to under 16.5 outs for a partial unit.
  • expert headshot
    Adam Thompson
    #4
    +816.5
    (73%)
    19-7 in Last 26 NBA Picks
    PHI +8
    -110
    Spread
    Picked: May 1 @ 2:36pm

    Analysis

    I’m not entirely convinced that Boston wins this one outright. Philly has a three-headed monster going on right now: Tyrese Maxey had 30 in Game 5, Joel Embiid had 33 in Game 6, even Paul George had 23 in one of them and 16/9/7 in the other. Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown aren’t shooting well right now, Philly has really shortened its bench, Boston seems like it’s trying to figure it out.
  • expert headshot
    Prop Bet Guy
    +401
    (83%)
    5-1 in Last 6 NBA Player Props Picks
    player headshot
    V. Edgecombe
    Over 5.5
    -114
    Rebounds
    Picked: May 1 @ 10:26pm

    Analysis

    FanDuel. VJ Edgecombe leads the 76ers in total rebounds these playoffs, averaging 7.0 per game, and clearing this line in four of six games. It’s a great matchup for the rookie as the Celtics shoot a ton of three-pointers, which typically produce longer rebound chances, a plus for wings, such as Edgecombe. VJ is also not typically matched up defensively against Jayson Tatum or Jaylen Brown, leaving him free to crash. Look for the rookie to contribute on the glass in Game 7.
  • expert headshot
    Mike Barner
    #2
    +2315
    (60%)
    115-77 in Last 192 NBA Player Props Picks
    player headshot
    J. Tatum
    Over 23.5
    -118
    Points
    Picked: May 2 @ 12:01pm

    Analysis

    With the score out of hand in Game 6, Jayson Tatum only played 29 minutes. Celtics head coach Joe Mazzulla said that Tatum is fine for Game 7, so expect him to play closer to the 38 minutes that he averaged over the first five games of the series. In four of those games, he scored at least 24 points. With the Celtics’ season on the line, expect Tatum to be aggressive and hit this over.

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