The major candidates for early-round upsets have been well-established over the past few years.
Vanderbilt always comes to mind, as the Commodores had lost to double-digit seeds in the round of 64 three times between 2008 and 2011, before beating Harvard this season. Louisville has had its troubles as well, losing in the round of 64 each of the past two seasons, although one was as a No. 9 seed to eighth-seeded California. The Cardinals rid themselves of their demons this year, advancing to the Sweet 16.
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Heading into next year, the team that will get more attention for its first-weekend failures will likely be Georgetown. After Sunday's loss to No. 11 seed North Carolina State, the Hoyas have now been knocked out of their last four NCAA tournaments by double-digit seeds. There was No. 10 Davidson in 2008, No. 14 Ohio in 2010, No. 11 VCU in 2011 and now the Wolfpack. Georgetown went into the tournament as a six-seed or better in each of those tournaments, but didn't live up to its seed in any of the four tries.
Everyone will say Georgetown is one of the toughest teams in the country to prepare for, given its tough-to-defend offense and versatile defense. However, I think the opposite. You know what you're going to get with the Hoyas. You're going to need to defend a Princeton-esque offense that utilizes plenty of backdoor cuts, and you're going to have deal with plenty of length and switching defenses at the other end. It's difficult, sure, but there are no surprises with the Hoyas. You know exactly what they're going to do.
Georgetown has plenty of talent, but its style isn't conducive to using that to its potential. The Hoyas don't really dominate teams or run them off the floor because of their pace, and it seems they are susceptible to prolonged droughts offensively in most games.
With Vanderbilt snapping its streak this season, will John Thompson III become the new Kevin Stallings? Is Georgetown the new Vanderbilt?